Election 2024 updates: With Arizona, Trump sweeps all 7 swing states

ABC News is projecting that Democrat Josh Stein will win North Carolina’s gubernatorial race. He’s currently leading Republican Mark Robinson, 59% to 37%, with 8% of the vote in.

1:26

Josh Stein projected to win North Carolina’s gubernatorial race

ABC News is projecting that Democrat Josh Stein will win North Carolina’s gubernatorial race. He’s currently leading Republican Mark Robinson, 59% to 37%, with 8% of the vote in.

ABCNews.com

You probably saw the viral campaign ad, voiced by Julia Roberts, where a MAGA wife and her husband go to the polls, and the wife secretly votes for Harris. While we don't know if this is common or not, according to a recent survey by Gender on the Ballot, 20% of Republican women say they sometimes or regularly feel pressure from their partner to agree with them politically compared to 16% of Democrats.

To the question of just how nationalized this election is. The Democrats have to hope that the answer is, "not too nationalized." That's because in recent years, their capacity to compete in the Senate has depended on winning a set of states that lean slightly Republican relative to the nation as a whole. So if the GOP wins the Senate races in every state where they do better than they do nationwide, they will take home states including Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona, all of which have Senate races up tonight.

At 8 pm, ABC News projected Trump wins in Alabama, Florida, Missouri, Oklahoma, and Tennessee. Oklahoma hasn’t been in the Democratic column in a presidential race since 1964, while Alabama also last cast its electoral college votes for a Democrat in 1976, when Jimmy Carter (from neighboring Georgia) was the nominee.

Missouri and Tennessee both went Democratic for the last time in 1996 with Bill Clinton seeking re-election.

And Florida was a swing state until more recently, so the fact that it was called so early is a striking reminder of how times (and swing states) change. The 2000 election was decided after 36 days and an intensive recount in Florida, where George W. Bush very narrowly prevailed over Al Gore.