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Election Day 2024 live results: Trump projected to win Pa., third swing state

We're tracking races for president, Senate, House and more across the country.

By538 and ABC News via five thirty eight logo
Last Updated: November 5, 2024, 11:56 PM EST

Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. With wins in Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, Trump is on track to win the presidency.

Voters are still at polling places around the country, casting ballots to decide who controls not only the White House, but also Congress, state and local governments.

Reporters from 538 and ABC News will be following along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on the results. Keep up to date with our full live blog below!

Julia Azari Image
Nov 05, 2024, 10:46 PM EST

ABC News projects Trump will win Kansas

Another call expected call for Trump -- ABC News now projects that Trump has won the state of Kansas, which last gave its Electoral College votes to a Democrat in 1964, when Lyndon Johnson was on the ballot.

Nov 05, 2024, 10:45 PM EST

Donald Trump is projected to carry Iowa

ABC News is projecting that Trump will hold Iowa’s six electoral votes. The state became a topic of conversation over the last few days as the well-regarded pollster Selzer & Co. released a poll conducted on behalf of the Des Moines Register and Mediacom showing Harris ahead by 3 percentage points in the Hawkeye State, a surprising result for a state Trump won by 9 points in 2016 and 8 points in 2020. While Selzer has been known to publish outliers in the past that turned out to be more prescient than expected, it appears that this was not one of those times: Trump is ahead of Harris by 12 points in Iowa with 54% of the expected vote reporting.

Donald Trump will win Iowa, ABC News projects.
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2024 Election: Donald Trump projected to win Iowa

Donald Trump will win Iowa, ABC News projects.
ABCNews.com
Dan Hopkins Image
Nov 05, 2024, 10:44 PM EST

Some Philadelphia math

The AP currently has Harris leading with about 307,000 votes here in Philadelphia to Trump's 83,000 -- with about 56% of the expected vote in. With an estimated 306,000 expected vote remaining to be counted, that works out to an expected turnout of around 613,000 votes for either Harris or Trump. But in 2020, Joe Biden won 604,000 votes here to Trump's 133,000, for a total of around 737,000.

So Harris may be able to make up the deficits that Geoffrey wrote about earlier in places like Lackawanna (Scranton) if she can get more votes out of Philadelphia than Biden did. Given that the intensity of Democratic Get-Out-The-Vote operations here, especially relative to the COVID-19 election of 2020, that is certainly possible.

Monica Potts Image
Nov 05, 2024, 10:41 PM EST

Republicans projected to win Missouri's Senate race, lead Nebraska

With polls closed, ABC News is projecting that Republican Josh Hawley has won reelection to the Senate in Missouri, and Republican Mike Kehoe will win the governor's race, succeeding the current Republican governor, Mike Parson, who is term-limited out. ABC News also projects that Sen. Pete Ricketts, who was appointed after former Sen. Ben Sasse resigned, will keep his seat and win his first election to the chamber.

We're still waiting on a projection in the Nebraska Senate race between Deb Fischer and Dan Osborn, but Nathaniel was right earlier: the independent is underperforming his benchmarks, and Fischer is still a favorite to win.