Election 2024 updates: With Arizona, Trump sweeps all 7 swing states

The final electoral college count is Trump: 312, Harris: 226.

By538 and ABC News via five thirty eight logo
Last Updated: November 9, 2024, 9:00 PM EST

Just days after former President Donald Trump was projected to have won the presidency, Trump's transition team operation has begun, with transition co-chairs confirming that he will be selecting personnel to serve under his leadership in the coming days.

Trump is also the projected winner in Arizona, a state the former president flipped after losing it to Joe Biden in 2020.

Trump's projected win in the vital swing state marks a sweep of the battleground states.

G. Elliott Morris Image
Nov 05, 2024, 11:11 PM EST

Democrat Marcy Kaptur looks vulnerable in OH-09

With 90% of the expected vote reporting, Marcy Kaptur, the incumbent Democrat representing Toledo and parts of rural northeastern Ohio, is currently trailing challenger Derek Merrin by just 0.4 points (or less than 2,000 votes). The contest has been flopping back and forth all night. That's obviously too close to say anything about how the district may ultimately go, but it's notable in how far this departed from our model's expectations and other indicators in the district. The polls had Katpur leading by 11; the fundamentals saw a closer race, at D+4. At this point we're very likely to end up closer to those fundamentals and the expert race raters than the polls, even if she does win.

Like I remind people, we should expect "likely" House ratings to go the other way about 10-15% of the time. This year, that would be five to six seats. We'll keep an eye on other plausible House upsets and report back.

Nov 05, 2024, 11:09 PM EST

Trump party mood shifts

The vibe at Trump's watch party has significantly shifted to a livelier mood in the last hour.

CNN is playing on the TV screen, and as returns started rolling in showing Trump with a lead in battleground states, the campaign briefly turned off the news and started playing a supercut video of Trump dancing while YMCA was blasting.

People were mimicking Trump's dancing, bouncing around as we heard multiple cheers throughout the convention ballroom.

Dan Hopkins Image
Nov 05, 2024, 11:08 PM EST

Closely divided doesn't always mean deeply divided

Dan Hopkins Image
Nov 05, 2024, 11:06 PM EST

Senate Democrats seem to be at the cliff's edge