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Trump and Harris are both a normal polling error away from a blowout
How Donald Trump won the presidency
2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump
538's final forecasts for the 2024 election
Republicans have a good shot at flipping the Senate
How 538's 2024 Senate election forecast works
How 538's pollster ratings work
Trump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecast
Would Kamala Harris be a stronger candidate than Biden?
What you might've missed at the RNC
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Trump and Harris are both a normal polling error away from a blowout
By G. Elliott Morris
October 30, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
How Donald Trump won the presidency
By G. Elliott Morris
November 6, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump
By G. Elliott Morris
November 8, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
538's final forecasts for the 2024 election
By G. Elliott Morris
November 5, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
Republicans have a good shot at flipping the Senate
By G. Elliott Morris and Geoffrey Skelley
October 23, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris, Geoffrey Skelley
, ABC News
How 538's 2024 Senate election forecast works
By G. Elliott Morris
October 23, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
How 538's pollster ratings work
By G. Elliott Morris
January 25, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
Trump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecast
By G. Elliott Morris
June 11, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
Would Kamala Harris be a stronger candidate than Biden?
By G. Elliott Morris
July 4, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
What you might've missed at the RNC
By Nathaniel Rakich, Monica Potts, Kaleigh Rogers and G. Elliott Morris
July 18, 2024
Story
from 538
Nathaniel Rakich, Monica Potts, Kaleigh Rogers, G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
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