Election Day 2024 live results: Trump projected to win Pa., third swing state

This has obviously been a rough night for Democrats so far, with a Sherrod Brown loss in Ohio and Senate hopes dashed in Texas and Florida. But the real contest for the presidency is just beginning, with one competitive state -- North Carolina -- projected for Trump, and the rest still being counted. Expectations that this would be a close race seem likely to be fulfilled, though it's possible that this will be the red wave that was anticipated in 2022.

ABC News projects that Harris will win Virginia's 13 electoral votes. With 86% of the expected vote reporting, she leads by not quite 5 points. However, that lead is half of what Biden carried the state by in 2020, part of her general underperformance of Biden across the country.

In 2008, Barack Obama picked up North Carolina's Electoral College votes, and with growth in Charlotte and the Research Triangle, it seemed like the state could be increasingly competitive. But in 2012, it was a rare bright spot for Republicans, and it has remained just outside the Democrats' reach since then, both in Senate and presidential races. Even as Democrats were gaining votes among newcomers to the state, they were shedding the support of the more ancestral Democrats who had put folks like John Edwards in the Senate.

Mid-cycle redistricting in New York made the central-upstate 22nd District a bit more Democratic, to the detriment of Republican Rep. Brandon Williams. ABC News projects that Democratic state Sen. John Mannion will defeat Williams to give Democrats their second pickup of the night, joining Alabama's 2nd. However, the GOP has picked up three Democratic-held seats in North Carolina, thanks to a new Republican drawn congressional map.