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Election Day 2024 live results: Trump projected to win the presidency

We tracked races for president, Senate, House and more across the country.

By538 and ABC News via five thirty eight logo
Last Updated: November 5, 2024, 11:56 PM EST

With projections made in most states across the country, ABC has projected that former President Donald Trump will win the high-stakes presidential match-up against Vice President Kamala Harris. Early Wednesday morning, Trump secured enough Electoral College votes to set himself up for a second presidency, including by flipping the key swing states of Georgia, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Plus, Republicans are set up to take back the Senate majority, with at least 51 seats locked down — while control of the House remained up in the air.

Throughout the evening and into Wednesday morning, reporters from 538 followed along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on these races and all the others down the ballot. Follow our live election-night coverage in full below.

1:01 AM EST

Attempts to reform American democracy seem to be going nowhere in 2024

Across the country, ballot measures to change how elections are run in various states seem to be running into hard times. Ballot measures in Colorado, Idaho, Arizona, South Dakota, Oregon and Montana that would either implement a ranked-choice voting system such as the one in Maine or an all-party primary such as in Alaska or California all appear to be on track to fail (only one such measure, in Washington, D.C., has passed so far).

In addition, Ohio's Issue 1, a ballot measure that would reform the way district lines are drawn in the state by implementing a nonpartisan commission to draw lines (rather than leaving the maps in the hands of the legislature), is also projected to fail. Potentially confusing ballot wording may have impacted voters' decision on the measure.

Moreover, eight states featured ballot measures that would restrict local municipalities from allowing noncitizens to vote in local elections, which is permitted in some more liberal cities like San Francisco. Every one of those measures is on track to pass, including one in Missouri that would also ban municipalities in the state from implementing ranked-choice voting for local races.

1:00 AM EST

Polls closing at 1 a.m.

It's now 1 a.m. Eastern, which means all polling places have closed in Alaska. And with that, polls are closed across the nation! Here are our forecasts for the races in the Last Frontier:

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12:59 AM EST

The wobbly keystone for Harris?

Pennsylvania is the largest of the key swing states in this election, with 19 electoral college votes. With Georgia and North Carolina projected for Trump, Harris has no straightforward back-up for Pennsylvania's Electoral College votes — she cannot make up for them by winning Arizona and Nevada, for example.

In Pennsylvania, her current deficit is 2.8 percentage points, with more than 6.2 million votes in for major-party candidates. To be sure, in 2020, 6.8 million votes were cast for the major-party candidates, but with a relatively uniform shift across the state — sorry, commonwealth — Harris will need a sizable blue shift and some considerable breaks to catch up here in Pennsylvania.

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12:55 AM EST

Trump is in a strong position right now

Only two of the seven swing states have been projected at this point — Georgia and North Carolina — but both have gone Trump's way. That's important because it cuts off one of Harris' possible paths to the presidency: the Sun Belt. At this point, she basically has no choice but to win the three northern battleground states (although she could swap Arizona for Wisconsin). And she currently trails in all three: Wisconsin is 51-47% Trump, Pennsylvania is 51-48% Trump and Michigan is 52-46% Trump. She'll probably make up ground as the final ballots are counted in those states, but it's unclear if it will be enough to close the gap. (And even if it is in one state, she'll need to do it in all three.)