Arizona Exit Poll: Senate
What are exit polls?
Exit polls are surveys conducted on Election Day at polling places across the country. People are asked who they voted for and what issues mattered most to them.
Learn more about exit polls and methodology.
Are you:
| 1,322 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Male 47% of respondents | 46% | 50% |
Female 53% of respondents | 55% | 43% |
Are you:
| 1,300 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
White 70% of respondents | 49% | 48% |
Black 4% of respondents | - | - |
Hispanic/Latino 17% of respondents | 58% | 40% |
Asian 1% of respondents | - | - |
Other 7% of respondents | - | - |
Are you:
| 1,300 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
White 70% of respondents | 49% | 48% |
Non-White 30% of respondents | 57% | 40% |
Sex by race
| 1,295 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
White men 34% of respondents | 44% | 52% |
White women 36% of respondents | 54% | 44% |
Black men 2% of respondents | - | - |
Black women 3% of respondents | - | - |
Latino men 7% of respondents | - | - |
Latino women 10% of respondents | - | - |
All other races 9% of respondents | - | - |
In which age group are you?
| 1,318 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
18-29 12% of respondents | 76% | 20% |
30-44 19% of respondents | 58% | 37% |
45-64 34% of respondents | 44% | 53% |
65 or over 34% of respondents | 46% | 52% |
To which age group do you belong?
| 1,318 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
18-44 32% of respondents | 65% | 31% |
45+ 68% of respondents | 45% | 52% |
In which age group are you?
| 1,318 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
18-24 7% of respondents | - | - |
25-29 5% of respondents | - | - |
30-39 13% of respondents | 59% | 38% |
40-49 14% of respondents | 53% | 42% |
50-64 27% of respondents | 42% | 54% |
65 or over 34% of respondents | 46% | 52% |
Which best describes your education? You have:
| 1,320 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Never attended college 9% of respondents | - | - |
Attended college but received no degree 32% of respondents | 52% | 44% |
Associate's degree (AA or AS) 18% of respondents | 41% | 55% |
Bachelor's degree (BA or BS) 23% of respondents | 55% | 43% |
An advanced degree after a bachelor's degree (such as JD, MA, MBA, MD, PhD) 18% of respondents | 61% | 38% |
What was the last grade of school you completed?
| 1,320 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
College graduate 41% of respondents | 58% | 41% |
No college degree 59% of respondents | 47% | 49% |
Education by race
| 1,297 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
White college graduates 32% of respondents | 58% | 40% |
White non-college graduates 38% of respondents | 42% | 54% |
Non White college graduates 8% of respondents | 56% | 40% |
Non White non-college graduates 21% of respondents | 57% | 40% |
Education by White by Sex
| 1,293 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
White women college graduates 16% of respondents | 64% | 35% |
White women non-college graduates 20% of respondents | 46% | 50% |
White men college graduates 16% of respondents | 53% | 46% |
White men non-college graduates 18% of respondents | 37% | 58% |
Non-whites 30% of respondents | 57% | 40% |
No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a:
| 1,326 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Democrat 27% of respondents | 97% | 2% |
Republican 33% of respondents | 9% | 89% |
Independent or something else 40% of respondents | 55% | 39% |
Party by gender
| 1,320 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Democratic men 9% of respondents | 95% | 3% |
Democratic women 19% of respondents | 99% | 1% |
Republican men 16% of respondents | 10% | 89% |
Republican women 17% of respondents | 9% | 90% |
Independent men 22% of respondents | 54% | 38% |
Independent women 18% of respondents | 55% | 41% |
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:
| 1,320 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Liberal 22% of respondents | 97% | 1% |
Moderate 42% of respondents | 63% | 33% |
Conservative 36% of respondents | 8% | 89% |
Are you currently married?
| 1,208 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Yes 59% of respondents | 43% | 54% |
No 41% of respondents | 63% | 35% |
Gender by marital status
| 1,205 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Married men 28% of respondents | 41% | 54% |
Married women 31% of respondents | 45% | 53% |
Non-married men 19% of respondents | 55% | 44% |
Non-married women 23% of respondents | 69% | 29% |
Is this the first time you have ever voted in a midterm election?
| 1,213 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Yes 11% of respondents | - | - |
No 89% of respondents | 49% | 48% |
How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
| 1,216 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Strongly approve 16% of respondents | 98% | 1% |
Somewhat approve 26% of respondents | 98% | 1% |
Somewhat disapprove 6% of respondents | - | - |
Strongly disapprove 50% of respondents | 6% | 90% |
How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
| 1,216 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Strongly or somewhat approve 43% of respondents | 98% | 1% |
Strongly or somewhat disapprove 57% of respondents | 15% | 81% |
Do you think Joe Biden's policies are mostly:
| 1,217 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Helping the country 34% of respondents | 99% | 1% |
Hurting the country 52% of respondents | 9% | 87% |
Not making a difference 14% of respondents | 89% | 5% |
Which ONE of these five issues mattered most in deciding how you voted today: (CHECK ONLY ONE)
| 1,216 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Crime 5% of respondents | - | - |
Abortion 32% of respondents | 91% | 7% |
Inflation 36% of respondents | 28% | 68% |
Gun policy 6% of respondents | - | - |
Immigration 18% of respondents | 11% | 87% |
Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:
| 1,216 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Excellent 1% of respondents | - | - |
Good 20% of respondents | 97% | 1% |
Not so good 33% of respondents | 72% | 25% |
Poor 46% of respondents | 14% | 82% |
Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:
| 1,216 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Excellent or good 21% of respondents | 97% | 2% |
Not so good or poor 79% of respondents | 38% | 58% |
In the last year, has inflation caused you and your family:
| 1,217 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
A severe hardship 24% of respondents | 24% | 71% |
A moderate hardship 57% of respondents | 50% | 47% |
No hardship at all 19% of respondents | 87% | 11% |
Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be:
| 1,216 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Legal in all cases 28% of respondents | 90% | 6% |
Legal in most cases 35% of respondents | 66% | 31% |
Illegal in most cases 30% of respondents | 7% | 90% |
Illegal in all cases 5% of respondents | - | - |
Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be:
| 1,216 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Legal 62% of respondents | 77% | 20% |
Illegal 35% of respondents | 7% | 91% |
How do you feel about the Supreme Court decision on abortion this year that overturned Roe v. Wade:
| 1,217 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Enthusiastic 17% of respondents | 2% | 97% |
Satisfied, but not enthusiastic 24% of respondents | 8% | 91% |
Dissatisfied, but not angry 18% of respondents | 63% | 30% |
Angry 40% of respondents | 93% | 4% |
How do you feel about the Supreme Court decision on abortion this year that overturned Roe v. Wade:
| 1,217 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Enthusiastic or satisfied 40% of respondents | 5% | 93% |
Dissatisfied or angry 58% of respondents | 84% | 12% |
Do you think immigrants to the U.S. today do more to:
| 1,217 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Help the country 50% of respondents | 85% | 11% |
Hurt the country 46% of respondents | 13% | 85% |
In the 2020 election for president, did you vote for:
| 1,216 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Joe Biden (Dem) 46% of respondents | 97% | 2% |
Donald Trump (Rep) 45% of respondents | 6% | 92% |
Other 5% of respondents | - | - |
Did not vote 3% of respondents | - | - |
Do you think that Joe Biden legitimately won the presidency in 2020?
| 1,217 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Yes 63% of respondents | 78% | 19% |
No 35% of respondents | 3% | 94% |
How confident are you that elections in your state are being conducted fairly and accurately?
| 1,216 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Very confident 43% of respondents | 85% | 13% |
Somewhat confident 30% of respondents | 34% | 63% |
Not very confident 18% of respondents | 16% | 82% |
Not at all confident 8% of respondents | - | - |
How confident are you that elections in your state are being conducted fairly and accurately?
| 1,216 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Confident 73% of respondents | 64% | 33% |
Not confident 26% of respondents | 14% | 82% |
Is your opinion of Donald Trump:
| 1,203 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Favorable 42% of respondents | 5% | 93% |
Unfavorable 57% of respondents | 84% | 12% |
Was one reason for your vote today:
| 1,175 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
To support Joe Biden 21% of respondents | 99% | - |
To oppose Joe Biden 38% of respondents | 2% | 95% |
Joe Biden was not a factor 41% of respondents | 72% | 24% |
Was one reason for your vote today:
| 1,175 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
To support Donald Trump 17% of respondents | 6% | 92% |
To oppose Donald Trump 35% of respondents | 96% | 1% |
Donald Trump was not a factor 47% of respondents | 34% | 62% |
Which ONE candidate quality mattered most in deciding how you voted for U.S. Senate? (CHECK ONLY ONE)
| 1,175 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Cares about people like me 15% of respondents | 57% | 41% |
Has the right experience 6% of respondents | - | - |
Has honesty and integrity 37% of respondents | 61% | 36% |
Shares my values 40% of respondents | 36% | 61% |
Was your vote for U.S. senator mainly:
| 1,175 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
For your candidate 74% of respondents | 54% | 44% |
Against their opponent 25% of respondents | 41% | 54% |
In deciding how to vote for U.S. senator, how important was it to you which party controls the Senate?
| 1,175 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Very important 75% of respondents | 48% | 51% |
Somewhat important 15% of respondents | 60% | 35% |
Not too important 6% of respondents | - | - |
Not at all important 3% of respondents | - | - |
In deciding how to vote for U.S. senator, how important was it to you which party controls the Senate?
| 1,175 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Very important or somewhat important 91% of respondents | 50% | 48% |
Not too important or not at all important 9% of respondents | 59% | 28% |
Are Mark Kelly's views too extreme?
| 1,175 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Yes 43% of respondents | 3% | 93% |
No 56% of respondents | 88% | 10% |
Are Blake Masters' views too extreme?
| 1,175 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Yes 54% of respondents | 87% | 9% |
No 44% of respondents | 6% | 93% |
Are Mark Kelly or Blake Master's views too extreme?
| 1,175 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Only Mark Kelly 36% of respondents | 1% | 99% |
Only Blake Masters 48% of respondents | 97% | 1% |
Both 7% of respondents | - | - |
Neither 8% of respondents | - | - |
In today's election for governor, did you just vote for:
| 1,306 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Katie Hobbs 50% of respondents | 98% | 1% |
Kari Lake 49% of respondents | 4% | 93% |
In today's election for secretary of state, did you just vote for:
| 1,289 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Adrian Fontes 52% of respondents | 94% | 3% |
Mark Finchem 47% of respondents | 6% | 93% |
Population of area, three categories
| 1,328 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
City over 50,000 45% of respondents | 54% | 42% |
Suburbs 48% of respondents | 49% | 48% |
Small city and Rural 7% of respondents | 41% | 57% |
Geo Stratum Code
| 1,328 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Maricopa Cty 61% of respondents | 51% | 45% |
Pima County 14% of respondents | 70% | 27% |
Rest of State 25% of respondents | 40% | 58% |