Your Voice Your Vote 2024

California Exit Poll: President

Entrance and Exit Polls Explainer

Entrance and Exit polls are surveys conducted on Election Day outside of polling places in a sample of precincts across the country. Entrance Polls take place before voters enter a Caucus, whereas Exit Polls take place after voters leave a Primary. People are asked not only whom they voted for, but also what issues mattered most to them. For more details, read the Exit Polls Explainer.


For more information about the research methods, read the Exit Poll Methodology.

Are you:

(586 Respondents)
Candidate order
Are you:TrumpHaleyOther
Male (56%)
328 respondents
79%
19%
-
Female (44%)
258 respondents
78%
17%
-

Are you:

(562 Respondents)
Candidate order
Are you:TrumpHaleyOther
White (64%)
360 respondents
79%
18%
-
Black (3%)
17 respondents
-
-
-
Hispanic/Latino (21%)
118 respondents
-
-
-
Asian (4%)
22 respondents
-
-
-
Other (8%)
45 respondents
-
-
-

Are you:

(562 Respondents)
Candidate order
Are you:TrumpHaleyOther
White (64%)
360 respondents
79%
18%
-
Non-White (36%)
202 respondents
78%
18%
-

In which age group are you?

(577 Respondents)
Candidate order
In which age group are you?TrumpHaleyOther
18-29 (7%)
40 respondents
-
-
-
30-44 (12%)
69 respondents
-
-
-
45-64 (37%)
213 respondents
76%
21%
-
65 or over (45%)
260 respondents
79%
17%
-

In which age group are you?

(577 Respondents)
Candidate order
In which age group are you?TrumpHaleyOther
18-24 (5%)
29 respondents
-
-
-
25-29 (2%)
12 respondents
-
-
-
30-39 (9%)
52 respondents
-
-
-
40-49 (10%)
58 respondents
-
-
-
50-64 (30%)
173 respondents
73%
24%
-
65 or over (45%)
260 respondents
79%
17%
-

To which age group do you belong?

(577 Respondents)
Candidate order
To which age group do you belong?TrumpHaleyOther
18-44 (19%)
110 respondents
-
-
-
45+ (81%)
467 respondents
78%
19%
-

Which best describes your education? You have:

(581 Respondents)
Candidate order
Which best describes your education? You have:TrumpHaleyOther
Never attended college (13%)
76 respondents
-
-
-
Attended college but received no degree (26%)
151 respondents
81%
17%
-
Associate's degree (AA or AS) (18%)
105 respondents
-
-
-
Bachelor's degree (BA or BS) (24%)
139 respondents
78%
19%
-
An advanced degree after a bachelor's degree (such as JD, MA, MBA, MD, PhD) (18%)
105 respondents
74%
22%
-

What was the last grade of school you completed?

(581 Respondents)
Candidate order
What was the last grade of school you completed?TrumpHaleyOther
College graduate (42%)
244 respondents
77%
20%
-
No college degree (58%)
337 respondents
80%
16%
-

Education by race

(559 Respondents)
Candidate order
Education by raceTrumpHaleyOther
White college graduates (28%)
157 respondents
74%
24%
-
White non-college graduates (35%)
196 respondents
83%
14%
-
Non White college graduates (13%)
73 respondents
-
-
-
Non White non-college graduates (23%)
129 respondents
-
-
-

Before today, had you ever voted in a Republican presidential primary?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Before today, had you ever voted in a Republican presidential primary?TrumpHaleyOther
Yes (89%)
523 respondents
81%
17%
-
No (10%)
59 respondents
-
-
-

No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a:

(582 Respondents)
Candidate order
No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a:TrumpHaleyOther
Democrat (1%)
6 respondents
-
-
-
Republican (68%)
396 respondents
81%
17%
-
Independent or something else (31%)
180 respondents
75%
17%
-

On most political matters, do you consider yourself:

(580 Respondents)
Candidate order
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:TrumpHaleyOther
Very liberal (1%)
6 respondents
-
-
-
Somewhat liberal (5%)
29 respondents
-
-
-
Moderate (24%)
139 respondents
66%
30%
-
Somewhat conservative (43%)
249 respondents
80%
16%
-
Very conservative (28%)
162 respondents
94%
5%
-

On most political matters, do you consider yourself:

(580 Respondents)
Candidate order
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:TrumpHaleyOther
Liberal (6%)
35 respondents
-
-
-
Moderate (24%)
139 respondents
66%
30%
-
Conservative (71%)
412 respondents
86%
12%
-

On most political matters, do you consider yourself:

(580 Respondents)
Candidate order
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:TrumpHaleyOther
Conservative (71%)
412 respondents
86%
12%
-
Moderate or liberal (29%)
168 respondents
61%
34%
-

White evangelical or white born-again Christians

(584 Respondents)
Candidate order
White evangelical or white born-again ChristiansTrumpHaleyOther
White evangelical or white born-again Christian (23%)
134 respondents
88%
11%
-
All others (77%)
450 respondents
76%
20%
-

Have you ever served in the U.S. military?

(578 Respondents)
Candidate order
Have you ever served in the U.S. military?TrumpHaleyOther
Yes (17%)
98 respondents
85%
13%
-
No (83%)
480 respondents
77%
19%
-

How do you feel about the way things are going in the country today?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
How do you feel about the way things are going in the country today?TrumpHaleyOther
Enthusiastic (0%)
0 respondents
-
-
-
Satisfied, but not enthusiastic (5%)
29 respondents
-
-
-
Dissatisfied, but not angry (31%)
182 respondents
68%
30%
-
Angry (56%)
329 respondents
90%
8%
-

How do you feel about the way things are going in the country today?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
How do you feel about the way things are going in the country today?TrumpHaleyOther
Enthusiastic or satisfied (6%)
35 respondents
-
-
-
Dissatisfied or angry (87%)
512 respondents
82%
16%
-

Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:TrumpHaleyOther
Excellent (1%)
6 respondents
-
-
-
Good (8%)
47 respondents
-
-
-
Not so good (27%)
159 respondents
69%
30%
-
Poor (57%)
335 respondents
91%
6%
-

Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:TrumpHaleyOther
Excellent or good (9%)
53 respondents
-
-
-
Not so good or poor (84%)
494 respondents
84%
14%
-

Which best describes your family's financial situation?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Which best describes your family's financial situation?TrumpHaleyOther
Getting ahead financially (7%)
41 respondents
-
-
-
Holding steady financially (50%)
294 respondents
76%
22%
-
Falling behind financially (35%)
206 respondents
86%
12%
-

Which ONE of these four issues mattered most in deciding how you voted for president today? (CHECK ONLY ONE)

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Which ONE of these four issues mattered most in deciding how you voted for president today? (CHECK ONLY ONE)TrumpHaleyOther
Foreign policy (9%)
53 respondents
-
-
-
Abortion (7%)
41 respondents
-
-
-
Immigration (41%)
241 respondents
91%
7%
-
Economy (43%)
253 respondents
78%
18%
-

Which ONE of these four candidate qualities mattered most in deciding how you voted for president today? (CHECK ONLY ONE)

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Which ONE of these four candidate qualities mattered most in deciding how you voted for president today? (CHECK ONLY ONE)TrumpHaleyOther
Shares my values (36%)
212 respondents
78%
19%
-
Has the right temperament (10%)
59 respondents
-
-
-
Fights for people like me (32%)
188 respondents
93%
5%
-
Can defeat Joe Biden (20%)
118 respondents
87%
11%
-

Would you favor or oppose a federal law banning most or all abortions nationwide?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Would you favor or oppose a federal law banning most or all abortions nationwide?TrumpHaleyOther
Favor banning (37%)
218 respondents
92%
7%
-
Oppose banning (53%)
312 respondents
69%
27%
-

How do you feel about the Supreme Court decision on abortion that overturned Roe v. Wade:

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
How do you feel about the Supreme Court decision on abortion that overturned Roe v. Wade:TrumpHaleyOther
Enthusiastic (23%)
135 respondents
92%
7%
-
Satisfied, but not enthusiastic (38%)
223 respondents
87%
12%
-
Dissatisfied, but not angry (20%)
118 respondents
71%
25%
-
Angry (11%)
65 respondents
-
-
-

How do you feel about the Supreme Court decision on abortion that overturned Roe v. Wade:

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
How do you feel about the Supreme Court decision on abortion that overturned Roe v. Wade:TrumpHaleyOther
Enthusiastic or satisfied (61%)
359 respondents
89%
10%
-
Dissatisfied or angry (31%)
182 respondents
58%
37%
-

Should most undocumented immigrants in the U.S. be:

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Should most undocumented immigrants in the U.S. be:TrumpHaleyOther
Offered a chance to apply for legal status (22%)
129 respondents
50%
46%
-
Deported to the countries they came from (71%)
417 respondents
87%
11%
-

If Nikki Haley won the nomination, would you be:

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
If Nikki Haley won the nomination, would you be:TrumpHaleyOther
Satisfied (34%)
200 respondents
43%
52%
-
Dissatisfied (63%)
370 respondents
98%
-
-

If Donald Trump won the nomination, would you be:

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
If Donald Trump won the nomination, would you be:TrumpHaleyOther
Satisfied (81%)
476 respondents
94%
4%
-
Dissatisfied (17%)
100 respondents
7%
80%
-

Who do you trust more to handle the economy?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Who do you trust more to handle the economy?TrumpHaleyOther
Nikki Haley (17%)
100 respondents
2%
88%
-
Donald Trump (82%)
482 respondents
95%
4%
-

Who do you trust more to handle border security?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Who do you trust more to handle border security?TrumpHaleyOther
Nikki Haley (14%)
82 respondents
-
-
-
Donald Trump (85%)
500 respondents
92%
6%
-

Which candidate has the physical and mental health needed to serve effectively as president?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Which candidate has the physical and mental health needed to serve effectively as president?TrumpHaleyOther
Only Nikki Haley (13%)
76 respondents
4%
93%
-
Only Donald Trump (35%)
206 respondents
99%
-
-
Both of them (47%)
276 respondents
87%
11%
-
Neither of them (4%)
24 respondents
-
-
-

Does Nikki Haley have the physical and mental health needed to serve effectively as president?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Does Nikki Haley have the physical and mental health needed to serve effectively as president?TrumpHaleyOther
Nikki Haley does (61%)
359 respondents
69%
29%
-
Nikki Haley does not (39%)
229 respondents
94%
1%
-

Does Donald Trump have the physical and mental health needed to serve effectively as president?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Does Donald Trump have the physical and mental health needed to serve effectively as president?TrumpHaleyOther
Donald Trump does (82%)
482 respondents
92%
7%
-
Donald Trump does not (18%)
106 respondents
15%
72%
-

Have Nikki Haley's criticisms of Donald Trump been:

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Have Nikki Haley's criticisms of Donald Trump been:TrumpHaleyOther
Mostly fair (28%)
165 respondents
36%
59%
-
Mostly unfair (61%)
359 respondents
98%
1%
-

Have Donald Trump's criticisms of Nikki Haley been:

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Have Donald Trump's criticisms of Nikki Haley been:TrumpHaleyOther
Mostly fair (47%)
276 respondents
97%
2%
-
Mostly unfair (41%)
241 respondents
55%
40%
-

Was your vote for president mainly:

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Was your vote for president mainly:TrumpHaleyOther
For your candidate (79%)
465 respondents
85%
13%
-
Against their opponent (19%)
112 respondents
54%
40%
-

If Donald Trump were to be convicted of a crime, would you consider him fit to be president?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
If Donald Trump were to be convicted of a crime, would you consider him fit to be president?TrumpHaleyOther
Yes (72%)
423 respondents
93%
6%
-
No (20%)
118 respondents
28%
66%
-

Do you consider yourself part of the MAGA movement?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Do you consider yourself part of the MAGA movement?TrumpHaleyOther
Yes (34%)
200 respondents
96%
2%
-
No (56%)
329 respondents
67%
30%
-

Do you think that Joe Biden legitimately won the presidency in 2020?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Do you think that Joe Biden legitimately won the presidency in 2020?TrumpHaleyOther
Yes (30%)
176 respondents
44%
52%
-
No (60%)
353 respondents
96%
2%
-

In the election for president this November, will you vote for the Republican nominee regardless of who it is?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
In the election for president this November, will you vote for the Republican nominee regardless of who it is?TrumpHaleyOther
Yes (61%)
359 respondents
91%
8%
-
No (31%)
182 respondents
56%
40%
-

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job when he was president?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job when he was president?TrumpHaleyOther
Strongly approve (61%)
359 respondents
97%
2%
-
Somewhat approve (20%)
118 respondents
64%
32%
-
Somewhat disapprove (3%)
18 respondents
-
-
-
Strongly disapprove (9%)
53 respondents
-
-
-

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job when he was president?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job when he was president?TrumpHaleyOther
Approve (81%)
476 respondents
89%
10%
-
Disapprove (12%)
71 respondents
-
-
-

How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?TrumpHaleyOther
Strongly approve (2%)
12 respondents
-
-
-
Somewhat approve (4%)
24 respondents
-
-
-
Somewhat disapprove (7%)
41 respondents
-
-
-
Strongly disapprove (81%)
476 respondents
88%
11%
-

How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?TrumpHaleyOther
Strongly or somewhat approve (6%)
35 respondents
-
-
-
Strongly or somewhat disapprove (87%)
512 respondents
84%
14%
-

Population of area, three categories

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Population of area, three categoriesTrumpHaleyOther
City over 50,000 (25%)
147 respondents
76%
19%
-
Suburbs (69%)
406 respondents
78%
19%
-
Small city and Rural (7%)
41 respondents
-
-
-

Geo Stratum Code

(588 Respondents)
Candidate order
Geo Stratum CodeTrumpHaleyOther
Coastal (12%)
71 respondents
-
-
-
Inland (39%)
229 respondents
81%
15%
-
Bay Area (11%)
65 respondents
-
-
-
L.A. County (15%)
88 respondents
-
-
-
Southern Coast (23%)
135 respondents
78%
18%
-