Your Voice Your Vote 2024

New Hampshire Exit Poll: President

Entrance and Exit Polls Explainer

Entrance and Exit polls are surveys conducted on Election Day outside of polling places in a sample of precincts across the country. Entrance Polls take place before voters enter a Caucus, whereas Exit Polls take place after voters leave a Primary. People are asked not only whom they voted for, but also what issues mattered most to them. For more details, read the Exit Polls Explainer.


For more information about the research methods, read the Exit Poll Methodology.

Are you:

(2,185 Respondents)
Candidate order
Are you:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Male (52%)
1,136 respondents
59%
39%
1%
-
Female (48%)
1,049 respondents
51%
47%
1%
-

Are you:

(2,147 Respondents)
Candidate order
Are you:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
White (93%)
1,997 respondents
54%
43%
1%
-
Black (1%)
21 respondents
-
-
-
-
Hispanic/Latino (4%)
86 respondents
-
-
-
-
Asian (1%)
21 respondents
-
-
-
-
Other (1%)
21 respondents
-
-
-
-

Are you:

(2,147 Respondents)
Candidate order
Are you:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
White (93%)
1,997 respondents
54%
43%
1%
-
Non-White (7%)
150 respondents
58%
37%
-
-

In which age group are you?

(2,182 Respondents)
Candidate order
In which age group are you?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
18-29 (10%)
218 respondents
58%
36%
2%
-
30-44 (19%)
415 respondents
56%
42%
1%
-
45-64 (41%)
895 respondents
55%
43%
1%
-
65 or over (31%)
676 respondents
53%
45%
1%
-

In which age group are you?

(2,182 Respondents)
Candidate order
In which age group are you?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
18-24 (6%)
131 respondents
-
-
-
-
25-29 (4%)
87 respondents
-
-
-
-
30-39 (11%)
240 respondents
54%
43%
2%
-
40-49 (15%)
327 respondents
56%
41%
2%
-
50-64 (34%)
742 respondents
55%
43%
-
-
65 or over (31%)
676 respondents
53%
45%
1%
-

To which age group do you belong?

(2,182 Respondents)
Candidate order
To which age group do you belong?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
18-44 (28%)
611 respondents
56%
40%
1%
-
45+ (72%)
1,571 respondents
54%
44%
1%
-

Which best describes your education? You have:

(2,167 Respondents)
Candidate order
Which best describes your education? You have:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Never attended college (16%)
347 respondents
76%
22%
1%
-
Attended college but received no degree (19%)
412 respondents
61%
37%
1%
-
Associate's degree (AA or AS) (17%)
368 respondents
64%
34%
1%
-
Bachelor's degree (BA or BS) (28%)
607 respondents
45%
53%
1%
-
An advanced degree after a bachelor's degree (such as JD, MA, MBA, MD, PhD) (20%)
433 respondents
36%
60%
2%
-

What was the last grade of school you completed?

(2,167 Respondents)
Candidate order
What was the last grade of school you completed?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
College graduate (48%)
1,040 respondents
42%
56%
1%
-
No college degree (52%)
1,127 respondents
67%
31%
1%
-

Education by race

(2,125 Respondents)
Candidate order
Education by raceTrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
White college graduates (44%)
935 respondents
40%
57%
2%
-
White non-college graduates (49%)
1,041 respondents
66%
32%
-
-
Non White college graduates (4%)
85 respondents
49%
47%
-
-
Non White non-college graduates (4%)
85 respondents
-
-
-
-

2023 total family income:

(950 Respondents)
Candidate order
2023 total family income:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Under $50,000 (16%)
152 respondents
66%
31%
2%
-
$50,000-$99,999 (39%)
371 respondents
57%
42%
-
-
$100,000 or more (46%)
437 respondents
47%
50%
1%
-

Before today, had you ever voted in a Republican presidential primary?

(1,008 Respondents)
Candidate order
Before today, had you ever voted in a Republican presidential primary?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Yes (82%)
827 respondents
60%
39%
-
-
No (16%)
161 respondents
30%
65%
1%
-

No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a:

(2,009 Respondents)
Candidate order
No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Democrat (6%)
121 respondents
5%
86%
-
-
Republican (50%)
1,005 respondents
74%
25%
1%
-
Independent or something else (44%)
884 respondents
39%
58%
1%
-

On most political matters, do you consider yourself:

(1,988 Respondents)
Candidate order
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Very conservative (25%)
497 respondents
89%
11%
1%
-
Somewhat conservative (42%)
835 respondents
61%
37%
2%
-
Moderate (28%)
557 respondents
25%
72%
1%
-
Liberal (6%)
119 respondents
8%
85%
-
-

On most political matters, do you consider yourself:

(1,988 Respondents)
Candidate order
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Liberal (6%)
119 respondents
8%
85%
-
-
Moderate (28%)
557 respondents
25%
72%
1%
-
Conservative (67%)
1,332 respondents
71%
27%
1%
-

On most political matters, do you consider yourself:

(1,988 Respondents)
Candidate order
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Conservative (67%)
1,332 respondents
71%
27%
1%
-
Moderate or liberal (33%)
656 respondents
22%
74%
1%
-

How often do you attend religious services?

(1,075 Respondents)
Candidate order
How often do you attend religious services?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
More than once a week (8%)
86 respondents
-
-
-
-
Once a week (18%)
194 respondents
58%
40%
1%
-
A few times a month (8%)
86 respondents
-
-
-
-
A few times a year (31%)
333 respondents
57%
41%
-
-
Never (33%)
355 respondents
47%
50%
1%
-

How often do you attend religious services?

(1,075 Respondents)
Candidate order
How often do you attend religious services?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Weekly (27%)
290 respondents
62%
35%
1%
-
Occasionally (38%)
409 respondents
56%
43%
-
-
Never (33%)
355 respondents
47%
50%
1%
-

White evangelical or white born-again Christians

(1,030 Respondents)
Candidate order
White evangelical or white born-again ChristiansTrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
White evangelical or white born-again Christian (19%)
196 respondents
70%
26%
4%
-
All others (81%)
834 respondents
52%
46%
1%
-

Does anyone in your household own a gun?

(958 Respondents)
Candidate order
Does anyone in your household own a gun?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Yes (55%)
527 respondents
62%
36%
1%
-
No (45%)
431 respondents
43%
53%
1%
-

Are you currently married?

(1,063 Respondents)
Candidate order
Are you currently married?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Yes (65%)
691 respondents
50%
47%
1%
-
No (35%)
372 respondents
63%
35%
-
-

Gender by marital status

(1,059 Respondents)
Candidate order
Gender by marital statusTrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Married men (32%)
339 respondents
52%
45%
1%
-
Married women (33%)
349 respondents
49%
49%
-
-
Non-married men (20%)
212 respondents
68%
30%
-
-
Non-married women (16%)
169 respondents
56%
40%
1%
-

Do you have any children under 18 living in your home?

(1,058 Respondents)
Candidate order
Do you have any children under 18 living in your home?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Yes (29%)
307 respondents
55%
42%
1%
-
No (71%)
751 respondents
55%
44%
-
-

Parents

(1,054 Respondents)
Candidate order
ParentsTrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Men with children (14%)
148 respondents
61%
36%
2%
-
Women with children (15%)
158 respondents
49%
48%
-
-
Men without children (38%)
401 respondents
56%
42%
-
-
Women without children (33%)
348 respondents
52%
46%
1%
-

Do you work full-time for pay?

(1,018 Respondents)
Candidate order
Do you work full-time for pay?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Yes (67%)
682 respondents
59%
39%
1%
-
No (33%)
336 respondents
47%
51%
1%
-

How do you feel about the way things are going in the country today?

(1,008 Respondents)
Candidate order
How do you feel about the way things are going in the country today?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Enthusiastic (3%)
30 respondents
-
-
-
-
Satisfied, but not enthusiastic (17%)
171 respondents
21%
76%
1%
-
Dissatisfied, but not angry (43%)
433 respondents
46%
52%
1%
-
Angry (36%)
363 respondents
80%
19%
-
-

How do you feel about the way things are going in the country today?

(1,008 Respondents)
Candidate order
How do you feel about the way things are going in the country today?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Enthusiastic or satisfied (19%)
192 respondents
24%
71%
2%
-
Dissatisfied or angry (79%)
796 respondents
62%
37%
-
-

Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:

(1,008 Respondents)
Candidate order
Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Excellent (3%)
30 respondents
-
-
-
-
Good (23%)
232 respondents
16%
81%
1%
-
Not so good (36%)
363 respondents
45%
52%
1%
-
Poor (38%)
383 respondents
89%
10%
1%
-

Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:

(1,008 Respondents)
Candidate order
Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Excellent or good (25%)
252 respondents
17%
79%
1%
-
Not so good or poor (74%)
746 respondents
68%
30%
1%
-

Which best describes your family's financial situation?

(1,008 Respondents)
Candidate order
Which best describes your family's financial situation?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Getting ahead financially (19%)
192 respondents
32%
65%
1%
-
Holding steady financially (58%)
585 respondents
54%
43%
-
-
Falling behind financially (20%)
202 respondents
75%
24%
1%
-

Do you expect life for the next generation of Americans to be:

(1,008 Respondents)
Candidate order
Do you expect life for the next generation of Americans to be:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Better than life today (21%)
212 respondents
59%
38%
2%
-
Worse than life today (56%)
564 respondents
60%
38%
1%
-
About the same (21%)
212 respondents
36%
63%
-
-

In world affairs, do you think the United States should take:

(1,008 Respondents)
Candidate order
In world affairs, do you think the United States should take:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
A more active role (32%)
323 respondents
59%
39%
1%
-
A less active role (40%)
403 respondents
68%
30%
1%
-
About the same role as now (24%)
242 respondents
23%
73%
-
-

Which ONE of these four issues mattered most in deciding how you voted today? (CHECK ONLY ONE)

(1,030 Respondents)
Candidate order
Which ONE of these four issues mattered most in deciding how you voted today? (CHECK ONLY ONE)TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Foreign policy (15%)
155 respondents
37%
62%
-
-
Abortion (12%)
124 respondents
26%
66%
5%
-
Immigration (30%)
309 respondents
79%
20%
1%
-
Economy (37%)
381 respondents
55%
43%
1%
-

Which ONE of these four candidate qualities mattered most in deciding how you voted today? (CHECK ONLY ONE)

(1,030 Respondents)
Candidate order
Which ONE of these four candidate qualities mattered most in deciding how you voted today? (CHECK ONLY ONE)TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Shares my values (30%)
309 respondents
56%
40%
2%
-
Has the right temperament (21%)
216 respondents
14%
84%
2%
-
Fights for people like me (31%)
319 respondents
86%
13%
-
-
Can defeat Joe Biden (14%)
144 respondents
59%
39%
-
-

Which best describes your vote for president today?

(1,008 Respondents)
Candidate order
Which best describes your vote for president today?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
I strongly favor my candidate (58%)
585 respondents
76%
23%
1%
-
I like my candidate but with reservations (22%)
222 respondents
40%
57%
1%
-
I dislike the other candidates (19%)
192 respondents
8%
89%
-
-

Would you favor or oppose a federal law banning most or all abortions nationwide?

(1,030 Respondents)
Candidate order
Would you favor or oppose a federal law banning most or all abortions nationwide?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Favor banning (27%)
278 respondents
80%
17%
3%
-
Oppose banning (67%)
690 respondents
44%
54%
1%
-

Should most undocumented immigrants in the U.S. be:

(1,008 Respondents)
Candidate order
Should most undocumented immigrants in the U.S. be:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Offered a chance to apply for legal status (42%)
423 respondents
28%
68%
1%
-
Deported to the countries they came from (55%)
554 respondents
76%
23%
-
-

If Ron DeSantis won the nomination, would you be:

(1,030 Respondents)
Candidate order
If Ron DeSantis won the nomination, would you be:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Satisfied (36%)
371 respondents
73%
24%
3%
-
Dissatisfied (59%)
608 respondents
45%
53%
-
-

If Nikki Haley won the nomination, would you be:

(1,030 Respondents)
Candidate order
If Nikki Haley won the nomination, would you be:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Satisfied (51%)
525 respondents
20%
77%
2%
-
Dissatisfied (47%)
484 respondents
93%
4%
1%
-

If Donald Trump won the nomination, would you be:

(1,030 Respondents)
Candidate order
If Donald Trump won the nomination, would you be:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Satisfied (61%)
628 respondents
89%
10%
1%
-
Dissatisfied (38%)
391 respondents
1%
94%
2%
-

Do you think that Joe Biden legitimately won the presidency in 2020?

(1,030 Respondents)
Candidate order
Do you think that Joe Biden legitimately won the presidency in 2020?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Yes (46%)
474 respondents
22%
76%
1%
-
No (51%)
525 respondents
85%
13%
1%
-

Do you consider yourself part of the MAGA movement?

(1,030 Respondents)
Candidate order
Do you consider yourself part of the MAGA movement?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Yes (33%)
340 respondents
94%
6%
-
-
No (62%)
639 respondents
34%
63%
2%
-

If Donald Trump were to be convicted of a crime, would you consider him fit to be president?

(1,030 Respondents)
Candidate order
If Donald Trump were to be convicted of a crime, would you consider him fit to be president?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Yes (54%)
556 respondents
88%
12%
-
-
No (42%)
433 respondents
13%
83%
2%
-

When did you finally decide for whom to vote in the presidential primary?

(1,117 Respondents)
Candidate order
When did you finally decide for whom to vote in the presidential primary?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Just today (7%)
78 respondents
-
-
-
-
In the last few days (11%)
123 respondents
32%
64%
2%
-
Sometime last week (7%)
78 respondents
-
-
-
-
In the last month (15%)
168 respondents
26%
71%
1%
-
Before that (59%)
659 respondents
70%
28%
1%
-

Time: Last few days/Earlier than that

(1,117 Respondents)
Candidate order
Time: Last few days/Earlier than thatTrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Last few days (18%)
201 respondents
35%
61%
1%
-
Earlier than that (81%)
905 respondents
59%
39%
1%
-

Time: Last week/Earlier than that

(1,117 Respondents)
Candidate order
Time: Last week/Earlier than thatTrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
In the last week (25%)
279 respondents
36%
60%
1%
-
Earlier than that (74%)
827 respondents
61%
37%
1%
-

Time: This month/Earlier than that

(1,117 Respondents)
Candidate order
Time: This month/Earlier than thatTrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
This month (41%)
458 respondents
33%
64%
1%
-
Earlier than that (59%)
659 respondents
70%
28%
1%
-

In your vote in today's presidential primary, how would you rate the importance of the Iowa caucus results?

(1,117 Respondents)
Candidate order
In your vote in today's presidential primary, how would you rate the importance of the Iowa caucus results?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
The most important factor (8%)
89 respondents
-
-
-
-
One of several important factors (22%)
246 respondents
64%
35%
-
-
A minor factor (20%)
223 respondents
58%
40%
1%
-
Not a factor at all (41%)
458 respondents
43%
53%
2%
-

In your vote in today's presidential primary, how would you rate the importance of the Iowa caucus results?

(1,117 Respondents)
Candidate order
In your vote in today's presidential primary, how would you rate the importance of the Iowa caucus results?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Important (30%)
335 respondents
66%
32%
-
-
Not important (61%)
681 respondents
48%
49%
2%
-

In your vote in today's presidential primary, how would you rate the importance of the Iowa caucus results?

(1,117 Respondents)
Candidate order
In your vote in today's presidential primary, how would you rate the importance of the Iowa caucus results?TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
A factor (50%)
559 respondents
63%
35%
1%
-
Not a factor (41%)
458 respondents
43%
53%
2%
-

Before voting today, were you:

(1,048 Respondents)
Candidate order
Before voting today, were you:TrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Registered as Undeclared/Independent (46%)
482 respondents
35%
64%
-
-
Registered as a Republican (50%)
524 respondents
74%
24%
1%
-
Not registered (4%)
42 respondents
-
-
-
-

Population of area, three categories

(2,192 Respondents)
Candidate order
Population of area, three categoriesTrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
City over 50,000 (9%)
197 respondents
43%
52%
2%
-
Suburbs (67%)
1,469 respondents
55%
42%
1%
-
Small city and Rural (24%)
526 respondents
57%
41%
1%
-

Geo Stratum Code

(2,192 Respondents)
Candidate order
Geo Stratum CodeTrumpHaleyDeSantisOther
Seacoast (16%)
351 respondents
48%
47%
1%
-
Manchr/Conc Corr (22%)
482 respondents
51%
46%
2%
-
SW/Conn Val (17%)
373 respondents
52%
48%
-
-
Southeast (24%)
526 respondents
62%
35%
1%
-
North (20%)
438 respondents
58%
41%
1%
-