April 2, 2008 -- The top surrogates of the White House wannabes explored their opponents' vulnerabilities at a breakfast debate Wednesday in Washington, D.C., hinting at the arguments their candidates will make against each other this Fall.
With three senators locked in an ongoing battle for the White House, their colleagues in the U.S. Senate have carefully picked sides — a task made more difficult for the Democratic senators by the split between Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., and Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y.
Clinton Surrogate Floats Joint Ticket
Asked how Clinton would heal the Democratic party's path to the White House should she win the Democratic nomination, Sen. Evan Bayh, D-Ind., a Clinton supporter, suggested Clinton should ask Obama to be her vice-presidential nominee.
"I think she needs to first reach out to him directly, possibly ask him to be her running mate if that seems appropriate, that seems the most obvious step," said Bayh, who was once rumored to be a potential vice-presidential candidate for Clinton. "He's obviously a tremendous individual."
Clinton has hinted that she would entertain asking Obama to be her vice-presidential pick if she won the nomination — a move dismissed as political posturing by Obama, who is currently leading in state victories, the popular vote, and ABC News' delegate count.
Obama Leads Democratic Popular Vote
The race is so close that neither Clinton nor Obama can reach the 2,024 delegates necessary to clinch the Democratic nomination before the convention in August. But Bayh holds out hope that a clean victory can still be accomplished. "Winning the nomination is foremost in our minds," said the Clinton supporter.
"I think she needs to do very well in these closing 10 primaries and caucuses and we need to total up the popular vote when this is done," Bayh said, noting the party also has to figure out how to deal with the Michigan and Florida delegates that have been excluded after the party and states squabbled about primary voting dates.
But Obama supporter Sen. Dick Durbin, D-Ill., countered that the Obama campaign has "rewritten the rules" of politics in America, pointing to 250,000 new Democratic voters registered in Pennsylvania and one million donors to his campaign so far.
"What Barack Obama has done is to really unleash a new brand of politics," Durbin said. "There has been a surge of interest in the Democratic Party."
'Not Going to Run Away From President Bush'
The Democratic senators argued that the presumptive Republican nominee, their longtime Senate colleague John McCain, R-Ariz, is a candidate they can beat.
"John is a good guy but he has sort of embraced the Iraq policies of George Bush and the economic policies of Dick Cheney and that is not really a winning combination for the fall campaign," Bayh said.
But McCain supporter Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., argued against that notion. "To say John McCain is Dick Cheney is a bit of a stretch," Graham said.
"He's not going to run away from President Bush but at the end of the day, John McCain has earned a reputation, and has the scars to show it, of doing things that put the country ahead of party," Graham said, noting McCain has differed with the party on immigration, his desire to close Guantanamo Bay, and enacting robust climate change policies.
"Climate change is the road less traveled but he's traveled it even more than Al Gore," Graham said. "Al Gore has talked about it and deserves great recognition but he was around here a long time and never introduced a bill."
McCain and Sen. Joe Lieberman, D-Conn., co-sponsored a failed Senate bill in 2003 that would have capped greenhouse gas emissions levels.
Looking ahead to a possible Obama-McCain matchup in the general election, Graham argued that McCain's experience would be a key argument against Obama in a general election.
Noting the experience argument would be more difficult against Clinton, who has been touting the experience she gained in eight years as first lady, Graham argued that Clinton's negatives would help McCain win in November.
"Clinton is a friend, but she is a polarizing figure," Graham said. "She's polarizing and I don't know why but she is."
Bayh said the reason Clinton has high negatives is because "she's been in the arena for a while."
"She was the subject of the right-wing attack machine for all those years and bears some of the scars from that and wears some of them proudly," Bayh said, arguing it is unknown if Obama's candidacy could withstand the "brutal combat" of a general election.
Force of Nature
Countering that Obama has "lived a life of challenge," Durbin argued the junior Illinois senator is a "force of nature," and could win in November by winning over new voters, young people, GOP voters and Independents — and inspiring them all to get to the polls.
"He has reached into states Democrats have never seen," said Durbin noting Obama has attracted one million donors to his campaign, many of them low-dollar donors.
But Bayh challenged this argument. "Even with this new force of nature she is within 120 delegates. She must be an impressive force of her own especially getting outspent the way she is."
Bayh argued Clinton's primary victory in Ohio is a "persuasive argument" for why she should be the Democratic nominee.
"[Sen. John] Kerry would have won in 2004 if he won Ohio," Bayh said, "It was the key state last time, she won that state so that's a pretty persuasive argument."
Path to Victory
Graham said McCain's path to victory in November includes convincing Independents he will reach across the aisle, as well as relying on the Republican base voters.
"This will probably be base turnout to some extent but I think we all understand that Independent voters are up for grabs and John will try to put states in play that traditional Republicans couldn't," Graham said, pointing to New Hampshire and states on the West coast.
Graham also said McCain will go after Hispanic voters, the vast majority of whom have turned out for Clinton during the primary election.
"He's the one Republican who can go to the Hispanic community and say, 'please listen to my message, I'd like to have your support' and be well-received," Graham said.
The 2008 presidential election may come down to the war in Iraq and Graham argued McCain is going to make his argument that Iraq is the central battlefield for the war on terror.
"He knows war better than anybody running," Graham said. "He is going to campaign on the idea that Iraq is the central battlefront."
Both Democratic supporters argued McCain's support of the Iraq war will hurt him in the general election, with public opinion polls finding most Americans want to see U.S. troops leave Iraq.