Hamas' hostages: What could happen next?
The Biden administration still can't say how many Americans may be detained.
As the days drag on since Hamas terrorists launched an attack on Israel, pressure is building for the U.S. and Israel to help the scores of hostages believed to be held by Hamas across Gaza -- but both countries appear to have limited and very difficult options.
President Joe Biden confirmed Tuesday afternoon that Americans are among the hostages and that 14 Americans were killed in the fighting in Israel.
"We now know that American citizens are among those being held by Hamas," Biden said at the White House. "I've directed my team to share intelligence and deploy additional experts from across the United States government to consult with and advise Israeli counterparts on hostage recovery efforts because as president, I have no higher priority than the safety of Americans being held hostage around the world."
National security adviser Jake Sullivan alluded to the possibility of hostage negotiations, saying Biden "has proven in country after country his willingness to go further than any other president has gone before to secure the release and bring those people home. He is going to try to do that in this case as well."
Twenty or more Americans are still unaccounted for, Sullivan told reporters, detailing for the first time the number of Americans still missing. Sullivan stressed, however, that does not mean that all 20 or more are being held hostage by Hamas.
"We do not know about their condition, and we cannot confirm a precise number of American citizens," Sullivan said of the hostages.
Asked by ABC News' Mary Bruce about whether the administration has reached out to families who have lost loved ones or who may be unaccounted for, Sullivan confirmed, "We have in fact updated the families of the unaccounted for Americans that we know of."
"If there are Americans for some reason who have not been reached out to, that would be remedied immediately because Secretary Blinken, President Biden, everybody in the U.S. government is making this the highest priority. So we are in very regular contact with every family who has someone either missing or unaccounted for, and anyone who is not on that list for whatever reason, we will take care of that. That will be our highest priority," he added.
The president has not spoken with the families of the 14 Americans killed, but the State Department has been in constant contact with their families, Sullivan said. Secretary of State Antony Blinken will also travel to Israel this week "to engage our Israeli partner directly" regarding "how we can continue to best support them in their fight against the terrorist who launched these horrific attacks," according to State Department Spokesperson Matt Miller.
The U.S. has ramped up its efforts to identify American citizens who may be among the 100 to 150 hostages Israel's ambassador to the United Nations estimates are being held by Hamas, according to one official. Due to the dynamic situation and lack of visibility inside Gaza, the administration still can't say how many Americans may be detained.
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U.S. officials are somewhat reluctant to shine a spotlight on any American who may have been captured for fear that they could be singled out by Hamas. But in private conversations aimed at encouraging allies in the Middle East to use their leverage over Hamas to push for the detainees' release held prior to Biden's Tuesday press conference, they stressed that Americans were almost certainly among the hostages, making this a matter of utmost importance for the U.S.
While the U.S. has also offered intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) support to Israel's special operations forces, critics of the administration like former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy have called for a more direct approach.
However, the sheer scale of the current situation would demand nothing short of large-scale military operation, according to one official, and although circumstances could quickly change, the administration doesn't currently assess that a targeted rescue mission is feasible.
For its part, Israel has made no secret of its preparations for a ground assault on Gaza, and sources say the administration doesn't anticipate that Israel will wait on a resolution for the hostage situation before launching the operation if it ultimately decides to carry it out.
And despite prior prisoner swaps and reports that various countries are acting as "intermediaries," there are no indications that Israel is open to negotiating with Hamas.
While the hostages will remain a primary focus for administration, U.S. officials are clear-eyed about the stiff odds facing any efforts to resolve the crisis, especially given that Hamas appears to have very to gain from freeing the prisoners.
"Hamas probably sees more value in holding on to hostages than in releasing them, and Hamas seems to be more value in harming hostages than in not hurting them," said Dr. Nancy Zarse, a forensic psychologistic and former FBI contractor for the bureau's the unit dedicated to countering violent extremism. "The picture for negotiation is bleak."
Despite this, Zarse says there are some reasons for optimism, including what for now appears be Hamas stopping short of fulfilling its promise to execute hostages in retaliation for Israeli airstrikes.
"If we have negotiated past that deadline, and Hamas has not killed a hostage in response to that threat, that's a good sign -- that's a sign we are making some progress in our negotiations," she said.
But if those negotiations fail and Israel resorts to a ground incursion, Dr. Jon Alterman, the director of the Center for Strategic and International Studies' Middle East program and co-director of its commission on hostage taking and wrongful detention, said the presence of hostages is likely to complicate the operation significantly.
"Israel is extremely sensitive to hostage taking, and in the past it has traded more than 1,000 Palestinian prisoners in exchange for a single Israeli soldier," Alterman said. "It has never faced a situation where the numbers are so large, includ[ing] civilians and soldiers alike, and may be dispersed among multiple sites. Israeli efforts to free the hostages militarily could result in the death of many."
ABC News' Mary Bruce, Morgan Winsor and Luis Martinez contributed to this report.