Republicans enter the home stretch of the 2014 campaign favored to retake the Senate, based simply on the number of paths they have to 51 votes.
Fighting on heavily Republican terrain, GOP candidates have built on expected advantages in a handful of deeply red states to threaten incumbents across the South and beyond. They’re also moving into what was Obama territory, particularly Iowa and Colorado, while solidifying their chances in states including Arkansas and Alaska.
But just enough wild cards remain in the deck to keep Republicans from early celebrations. Surprising developments in Kansas and Georgia – and even continued uncertainty in Mitch McConnell’s race in Kentucky – are keeping the majority in play for Democrats in the final push.
Below are the latest race ratings from the ABC News Political Unit, with Democrats listed on the left and Republicans on the right:
TOSS UP: 5 total
LEAN DEMOCRATIC: 1 total
LEAN REPUBLICAN: 4 total
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC: 4 total
LIKELY REPUBLICAN: 2 total
SOLID DEMOCRATIC: 7 total
SOLID REPUBLICAN: 13 total
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