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Undecided races of the 2024 election: Live results and analysis
We're tracking unresolved races in the Senate, House and more.
Former President Donald Trump has won back the White House, and Republicans have won control of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. But we still don't know how big the GOP's Senate and House majorities will be, since there are still several races that don't have a projected winner. The outcomes of these elections could have major implications for how easy it will be for Trump to enact his second-term agenda.
However, it could be a while before we know who won these races. California — home to multiple undecided House races — is still working through counting all its ballots. Other races will require ranked-choice voting to resolve. And still others, like Pennsylvania's Senate race, could go to a recount.
We at 538 will be tracking it all on this live blog dedicated to all the outstanding races of the 2024 election. Join us for live updates, analysis and commentary until the last major race is decided.
Key Headlines
Trump wins Arizona, completing sweep of the swing states
ABC News reports that Trump is projected to win Arizona. That was the last unresolved state on the presidential level, so we now know that Trump will win the Electoral College 312-226 — a sweep of the seven big swing states.
Democrats hold Nevada's Senate seat
ABC News reports that Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen is projected to win reelection in Nevada. Her lead over Republican Sam Brown is up to 48% to 46%. Still, that's narrower than the polls suggested going into Election Day. Rosen becomes the third Democratic Senate candidate to win while Trump was carrying their state — all by the skin of their teeth.
Democrats pull off narrow win in Maryland House district
ABC News reports that Democrat April McClain-Delaney has pulled off a narrow win over Neil Parrott in Maryland’s 6th Congressional District. With just around 91% of the vote in, the Democrat leads her Republican challenger 51% to 49%, even though Biden carried the district by 10 percentage points in 2020. The seat became open after Democratic Rep. David Trone decided to run for U.S. Senate — where he lost in the primary. At this point, every individual House win is good news for Democrats as it’s still within the realm of possibility (though unlikely) that they could flip the GOP-controlled chamber.
Maine will keep its state flag
In what was surely the most important ballot measure of the year, Question 5 in Maine — which would have changed the Maine state flag — has failed 55% to 45%, according to the AP. The campaign started as a simple vexillological debate between the current flag, which features the state seal on a blue background, and a version of the state's original flag, which had a star and pine tree on it. However, the ballot measure became a culture war issue as conservatives bristled at the "erasure" of the state seal, which features a farmer and sailor on it. That can be seen in a map of the results, in which liberal areas voted for the new flag and conservative ones voted against it.