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Undecided races of the 2024 election: Live results and analysis
We're tracking unresolved races in the Senate, House and more.
Former President Donald Trump has won back the White House, and Republicans have won control of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. But we still don't know how big the GOP's Senate and House majorities will be, since there are still several races that don't have a projected winner. The outcomes of these elections could have major implications for how easy it will be for Trump to enact his second-term agenda.
However, it could be a while before we know who won these races. California — home to multiple undecided House races — is still working through counting all its ballots. Other races will require ranked-choice voting to resolve. And still others, like Pennsylvania's Senate race, could go to a recount.
We at 538 will be tracking it all on this live blog dedicated to all the outstanding races of the 2024 election. Join us for live updates, analysis and commentary until the last major race is decided.
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Welcome (back)!
The presidential race may be decided, but here at 538, we are just getting started tracking election results. There are still dozens of unprojected races in the House and Senate, and we will use this live blog to track them all until the last race is projected or we collapse from exhaustion (whichever comes first).
The biggest missing piece of the puzzle right now is the House of Representatives. Either party could still win control there, although Republicans are in a better position right now. ABC News has projected that the GOP will win at least 204 seats and Democrats will win at least 190.
Meanwhile, ABC News has already projected that Republicans will win the Senate, but we still don’t know how big that majority is going to be. Republicans currently have 52 seats, but six states remain unprojected, and Republicans look like they could easily win some of those (e.g., Pennsylvania or Nevada).
Needless to say, the results of these races have big policy implications. If Democrats manage to win the House, they will have veto power over much of Trump’s agenda. Even if Republicans win the House by a narrow margin, they could find it difficult to govern given the rancor within their caucus. And in the Senate, there’s a big difference between 52 Republican seats (where moderate Republican senators might be able to hold up parts of Trump’s agenda) and 54 or 55 Republican seats (where they would be able to pass bills, and confirm judges and Cabinet members, more easily).