Virginia's been counting votes for almost an hour and a half, but some key races are still very far from a conclusion. Still, in Virginia's state Senate, it looks like GOP Sen. Siobhan Dunnavant is in trouble in the 16th District in the western Richmond suburbs. She's trailing Democrat Schuyler VanValkenburg by about 3 points, but none of the more Democratic-leaning early vote has been reported yet. A Democratic victory there would probably put them at 20 seats, needing just one more in one of the other swing seats to capture an outright majority in the 40-seat chamber.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538

Speaking of which … ABC News can now project that Amo has won in Rhode Island’s 1st District. I’ll still be watching to see what the final margin is, though, since overperformance in special elections can often tell us which way the political winds are blowing.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538

With 39 percent of the expected vote reporting, Democrat Gabe Amo leads Republican Gerry Leonard Jr. 63 percent to 37 percent in the special election for Rhode Island’s 1st District. This is wholly unsurprising, considering that the district voted for Biden by a similar margin of 64 percent to 35 percent. So far, Amo isn’t overperforming to quite the same degree as Democrats have in state-legislative special elections this year. But that shouldn’t stop him from becoming the first person of color to represent Rhode Island in Congress.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538

In Philadelphia, ABC News projects former Philadelphia City Council member Cherelle Parker will be the city's next mayor. She will become Philadelphia's first female mayor, defeating Republican David Oh.

— Leah Askarinam, 538

Three Southern states hold gubernatorial elections the year before a presidential election: Kentucky, Louisiana and Mississippi. But despite the strong Republican lean of these states, Democrats held the governorships of Kentucky and Louisiana coming into this election. The GOP began the year with a real shot of winning all three, and entering today, they’re already one step of the way there: On Oct. 14, Republican state Attorney General Jeff Landry won Louisiana’s governorship outright, avoiding a November runoff. This was an open-seat pickup for Republicans since Democratic incumbent Gov. John Bel Edwards was term-limited. Now, all eyes are on Kentucky and Mississippi, where each incumbent governor is slightly favored to win reelection in a competitive contest, based on limited polling and race ratings from Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball and The Cook Political Report.

In Kentucky, Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear faces Republican state Attorney General Daniel Cameron. Beshear won in 2019 by less than 1 percentage point against an unpopular GOP governor, but has maintained a high approval rating despite his party identification. He’s painted Cameron as an extreme Republican because of Cameron’s support for Kentucky’s near-total ban on abortion. That message might work: Although Kentucky is conservative, voters last year rejected a constitutional amendment that would have formally stated there is no right to abortion under the state constitution. In his campaign, Cameron has tried to tie Beshear to the unpopular Biden while criticizing the incumbent for his vetoes (later overridden) of anti-transgender legislation. We have very little polling here, but in mid-October competing partisan polls from Hart Research and from co/efficient each found Beshear ahead by differing margins. However, a poll from Emerson College released on Friday showed the two candidates running just about even.

On the flipside, Mississippi is more likely to remain in Republican hands. Republican Gov. Tate Reeves faces Democratic Public Service Commissioner Brandon Presley, one of just two Democrats in Mississippi’s executive branch (and, yes, a second cousin of Elvis). Reeves has played to the GOP base by highlighting his opposition to transgender women playing women’s sports, while Presley has tried to ding Reeves by connecting him to an ongoing scandal involving the misuse of federal welfare funds by the Mississippi Department of Human Services. We have even less polling to go on here than in Kentucky, however. A late October Public Policy Polling survey on behalf of the Democratic Governors Association gave Reeves only a tiny edge, but that’s maybe the rosiest picture for Presley. The next most recent poll from the Mason-Dixon/Magnolia Tribune put Reeves up 8 points.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538