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Election Day 2024 live results: Trump projected to win North Carolina, a key swing state

We're tracking races for president, Senate, House and more across the country.

Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. According to 538's forecast, both candidates have a roughly equal chance to win.

Voters are still at polling places around the country, casting ballots to decide who controls not only the White House, but also Congress, state and local governments.

Reporters from 538 and ABC News will be following along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on the results. Keep up to date with our full live blog below!


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Will Republicans make inroads in Texas’s border-area congressional seats?

In the Lone Star State, most political observers will be keeping an eye on the Texas Senate race (which I previewed here. But I'll also be keeping an eye on three congressional races taking places in TX-15, TX-28 and TX-34.

Two of these three seats are represented by Democrats — Reps. Henry Cuellar of Laredo and Vicente Gonzalez of McAllen are the incumbents for TX-28 and TX-34, respectively. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report suggests suggests that these two seats should remain Democratic, but the races could still be competitive. Cuellar was indicted in May on charges of bribery and money laundering, which could hurt him in the polls. Gonzalez, on the other hand, faces a comeback bid against former Republican Rep. Mayra Flores. As a result, national Republicans are pouring a ton of money into this seat to help clinch her victory. What's more, these two have gone head-to-head once before. Gonzalez unseated Flores in 2022 after serving three terms in the neighboring 15th District, which was redrawn during the 2021 redistricting process to be more favorable to Republicans.

In the 15th District, meanwhile, Democrat Michelle Vallejo is making another run against freshman Rep. Monica De La Cruz, a Republican. In 2022, this was considered one of the more competitive congressional races in Texas and De La Cruz's win was viewed as a watershed moment in Texas Republicans' outreach to Latino voters. With her victory in 2022, De La Cruz became the first Republican to ever represent the district. This year, however, it looks as though De La Cruz is more-certain to win reelection, as the Cook Political Report named this a "likely Republican" seat. But Vallejo has somewhat abandoned some of the progressive stances that made her a darling of the left just two years prior. This year, she's joined Rep. Colin Allred (the state's Democratic Senate candidate) in criticizing so-called "chaos" at the Texas-Mexico border — a pivot to the middle that angered some of her past supporters. Given that border security and immigration-related issues are top of mind for Texans, it makes some sense that Vallejo would try to moderate her views in order to attract some disaffected Republicans or independents. But it's unclear if this move will ultimately help her reach the 50% vote threshold. The available polling and fundraising we have, at least, suggests that this race is still very much De La Cruz's to lose.


Trump projected to win several early states

ABC News projects that Trump has won the presidential race in Alabama, Florida, Missouri, Oklahoma and Tennessee. These were all states won by the former president four years ago, and states in which he maintained large polling leads through most of the contest. Together, these 5 states gain him 67 electoral votes.


Polls closing at 8 p.m.

It's now 8 p.m. Eastern, and results are going to start flooding in from a big crop of states. The last polling places have closed in Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, the District of Columbia, Florida, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and Tennessee. Here are our forecasts for the races in those areas:

Many polling places are also closing in Kansas, Michigan, North Dakota, South Dakota and Texas — more on those states when they've closed in full.


Georgia vote count update

As of 7:45 p.m. ET, statewide, with 14% of the expected vote reporting statewide, Trump leads in Georgia with 62% of the vote, followed by Harris with 38%.

However, there is still many votes left to tally from more Democratic areas of the state, including the Atlanta metro area.

In Douglas County, which is considered part of metro Atlanta, with 74% of the expected vote reporting, Harris leads by more than double Trump’s margin for now with 65.9% of the vote, followed by Trump with 33.6%.