ABC News is projecting that Trump is expected to win Indiana’s 11 electoral votes. That is not a surprise. In previous elections, he won the state by 57% to 38% over Clinton in 2016, and 55 to 32 over Biden in 2020.

Now that all polls have closed in Vermont and Kentucky, ABC News is projecting that Harris will win Vermont's three electoral votes, and that Trump will win Kentucky's eight votes. Of course, this should come as no surprise; according to the final 538 forecast in these two states, there was a less than 1 in 100 chance of either state flipping its support from the party it backed in 2020.

It's now 7 p.m. Eastern, which means polls in our first bunch of states have now fully closed! That means we may get our first projections of the evening shortly. Keep an eye out as results roll in from Indiana and Kentucky (where many polls closed at 6 p.m. Eastern), along with all of Georgia, South Carolina, Vermont and Virginia. Here are our forecasts for the races in all of those states:

Many polling places are also closing in Florida and New Hampshire. Stay tuned for our forecasts in those states when they've fully closed in an hour.

We won't know much until later, of course, but the vibe in Milwaukee has very much been one of mobilization, with Democrats in particular determined not to make the same perceived mistakes that the Clinton campaign made in 2016. Turnout in Milwaukee, a Democratic city with a large Black population, has been lower than in the rest of the state in recent elections. With a competitive Senate race and the polls very close in the presidential race, this has been a source of concern for Democrats. But it looks like there's been a lot of energy going into addressing this turnout gap.

Here's the anecdotal view from the ground as we wait for better data: I spent a little time in a coffee shop today, and I might have been the only one who wasn't out canvassing. One person (in a Harris shirt) went around the coffee shop to make sure everyone had voted. On Saturday, I heard reports that the northwest side of the city, a predominantly African American area, had been so thoroughly canvassed by early afternoon that the volunteers were sent home or to other areas. Friends working the polls in the city have suggested a lot of activity and new registrations.