Loudoun County outside of the nation's capitol contributed the third-largest share of Virginia's statewide vote in 2020 (4.4%), and with 95% of its expected vote reporting, Harris clearly leads there by about 16 points, 56% to 40%. That puts her ahead our benchmark for her in Loudoun (Harris +12), but puts her well behind Biden's 25-point margin there in 2020. So on the one hand, Harris may be in a position to win Virginia. However, Loudoun is a highly affluent, highly educated county — the kind of place Harris may need to improve on nationally if she's losing ground in other sorts of places. It is true, however, that Loudoun took a sharp turn to the right in the state's 2021 gubernatorial election, which the Democratic nominee carried by only 11 points en route to a 2-point loss statewide. So we'll want to keep seeing data from other spots before saying Loudoun is a signal of a national trend.

ABC News is projecting that Harris is expected to win Washington D.C., Maryland, and Massachusetts. That will add 24 electoral college votes to her column, but these results shouldn’t be a surprise — both states, and Washington D.C., are overwhelming Democratic.

At poll-closing time, ABC News also projects that Republicans will win Florida's Senate race and its 13th and 27th Congressional Districts. The story here is the same as the statewide call: Republican turnout is simply too high for Democratic candidates to overcome the deficit with the votes that our outstanding.

At 8 p.m., with 76% of the expected vote reporting, Harris is trailing 538's benchmarks for a tied race in the state in every single county. That's not surprising in and of itself; Florida voted for Trump in 2020, after all. But the deficit is large enough for ABC News to project that Trump will win the state's 30 Electoral College votes at the time polls have closed.

With 76% of the vote in, Harris' margin in Miami-Dade County is especially poor, lagging 538's benchmarks by 22 points.