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Election Day 2024 live results: Trump projected to win Pa., third swing state

We're tracking races for president, Senate, House and more across the country.

Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. With wins in Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, Trump is on track to win the presidency.

Voters are still at polling places around the country, casting ballots to decide who controls not only the White House, but also Congress, state and local governments.

Reporters from 538 and ABC News will be following along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on the results. Keep up to date with our full live blog below!


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Harris' best path is through the 'Blue Wall'

It is increasingly looking like Harris' best -- and perhaps only -- path to 270 electoral votes is by winning the three "Blue Wall" states: Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. These states are so named because they voted for Democrats in every presidential election from 1992 to 2012, helping give Democrats a bulwark in the Electoral College. But Trump flipped them in 2016, and ever since, they have been near-essential for Democrats in order to win.

Going into Election Day, surveys indicated that, among the seven main swing states, Harris was polling the best in these three states. She would have liked to have won some of the Sun Belt states, sure, but the northern battlegrounds were more fertile ground. As things stand right now in those states, more votes have been counted for Trump than for Harris, but late-counted ballots are expected to be more Democratic, so they are probably still her best bet to win.


Republicans projected to retain control of New Jersey’s 7th District

ABC News is projecting that Republican Rep. Tom Kean, Jr. will retain control of New Jersey's 7th District. With 85% of the expected vote in, he currently leads his Democratic opponent, Sue Altman, 52% to 46%.

The race was closely monitored by political prognosticators as the results here could impact which party ultimately controls of the U.S. House. Beyond that, the race was worth watching for a number of other reasons. For starters, while New Jersey itself is solidly blue, the 7th District is the state's only swing one, and Democrats were hoping to flip it blue again. (In 2022, after the district was redrawn to become more favorable to the GOP, Kean, Jr. successfully unseated Tom Malinowski, a Democrat.) A win tonight for Kean, Jr. doesn't mean that the district will stay red forever, though. NJ-07 is the only one in the state that, theoretically, could be up for grabs by either major political party in a competitive election year. It has a partisan lean of R+3.

Notably, polling ahead of tonight predicted a much closer race. An October Monmouth University survey found that while Kean, Jr. had an edge with voters on issues including the economy and immigration, they trusted Altman more on abortion policy. When it came down to who to vote for, the survey found the two candidates essentially deadlocked: 46% of registered voters said they "definitely" planned to back Kean, Jr., compared with 44% who were clearly in Altman's camp.

Kean, Jr. should be a loyal vote to the GOP House caucus next year. During his reelection bid, he primarily stuck to his party's talking points, including drumming up fear regarding migrants entering the U.S.. Notably, during a candidate debate, he briefly froze when asked whether he supports Trump's mass deportation plan. "We need to ensure that we have the people who can be leaders, to find the common ground, to secure our southern border, and to. He breaks with some of his party's members on at least one issue, though: He says he supports "reasonable" restrictions on abortion, including banning the procedure after 20 weeks.


Democrats will hold New York's 18th District

ABC News has projected that Democratic Rep. Pat Ryan will win reelection over Republican Alison Esposito in New York's 18th District in the Hudson Valley. With 88% of the expected vote reporting, Ryan leads by about 13 points, 56.6% to 43.4%.


New York's 1st Congressional District to remain in GOP hands

ABC News has projected that Republican Rep. Nick LaLota will win a second term in New York's 1st District on Long Island, as he leads Democrat John Avlon by nearly 12 points with 88% of the expected vote reporting. The seat was always a longshot for Democrats, who'd hoped that Avlon could break through.