Despite the popularity of former Republican Gov. Larry Hogan, Maryland’s Senate race is poised to reaffirm the blue leanings of the Old Line State with Democrat Angela Alsobrooks running ahead of her benchmarks in most counties.

With 55% of the expected vote in for North Carolina, I'm identifying patterns for the counties in and around the state's biggest metro areas. Harris is meeting or slightly exceeding her benchmarks in counties that comprise the Research Triangle -- Wake, Durham and Orange -- with at least 75% of the vote reported in each. On the flip side in Union County, just outside of Charlotte, Trump is outperforming his benchmark of R+22.8 by 2 points with more than 95% of the vote reported there.

As expected, Mississippi’s Senate race has been projected by ABC for Roger Wicker, the longtime Republican incumbent. In that race, Wicker is facing Democratic challenger Ty Perkins. In 2018, which was a Democratic-leaning year generally, Wicker still beat his Democratic challenger by almost 20 percentage points.

Of any state, Mississippi has the highest fraction of African Americans, and voting there tends to be very racially polarized. As a result, it has relatively little year-to-year variation in its federal races (although a Democratic gubernatorial candidate did make last year’s gubernatorial election interesting, losing by only 3 percentage points.

Only 20% of the expected vote is reporting in Wisconsin, but I can already tell it's shaping up to be another photo finish there. Currently, Harris has 51% and Trump has 47%. In the Senate race, though, Democrat Tammy Baldwin is running slightly ahead of Harris. She currently has 55% to Republican Eric Hovde's 43%.