The AP currently has Harris leading with about 307,000 votes here in Philadelphia to Trump's 83,000 -- with about 56% of the expected vote in. With an estimated 306,000 expected vote remaining to be counted, that works out to an expected turnout of around 613,000 votes for either Harris or Trump. But in 2020, Joe Biden won 604,000 votes here to Trump's 133,000, for a total of around 737,000.

So Harris may be able to make up the deficits that Geoffrey wrote about earlier in places like Lackawanna (Scranton) if she can get more votes out of Philadelphia than Biden did. Given that the intensity of Democratic Get-Out-The-Vote operations here, especially relative to the COVID-19 election of 2020, that is certainly possible.

With polls closed, ABC News is projecting that Republican Josh Hawley has won reelection to the Senate in Missouri, and Republican Mike Kehoe will win the governor's race, succeeding the current Republican governor, Mike Parson, who is term-limited out. ABC News also projects that Sen. Pete Ricketts, who was appointed after former Sen. Ben Sasse resigned, will keep his seat and win his first election to the chamber.

We're still waiting on a projection in the Nebraska Senate race between Deb Fischer and Dan Osborn, but Nathaniel was right earlier: the independent is underperforming his benchmarks, and Fischer is still a favorite to win.

Ted Cruz looks like he's on his way to a third term in Washington, D.C. Polls ahead of tonight predicted a close, single-digit race in the Senate contest, where Cruz faced a challenge from Rep. Colin Allred. But the results we have now suggest a win will be more squarely in Cruz's lane: He currently leads Allred 54% to 44%, according to vote returns. Political prognosticators followed this race, in part, because Cruz only narrowly won his reelection bid in 2018, against former Rep. Beto O'Rourke. While Allred generated a lot of fanfare for out-raising O'Rourke, the evidence we have so far shows that Allred significantly underperformed him in key parts of the state, including Tarrant County, home to Fort Worth. While O'Rourke and Biden carried this county in 2018 and 2020, respectively, Cruz is currently winning the purple enclave this year by about 2 percentage points.

ABC News projects that Democrat Angela Alsobrooks will win the open U.S. Senate seat in Maryland.

She faced off against Republican Larry Hogan, the former governor in the state. Alsobrooks will replace Sen. Ben Cardin, who retired in May after five decades in politics. With roughly 53% of the expected vote in, Alsobrooks led Hogan 60% to 39%. The Democrat's victory makes her the first Black U.S. senator in Maryland's history.