Georgia, Oregon, Idaho and Kentucky primaries 2024: Willis, McAfee win; tough night for progressives
Abortion didn’t help liberals flip a Georgia Supreme Court seat.
On May 21, voters in Georgia, Idaho, Oregon, Kentucky and California held key elections for Congress and nationally watched local races. Two key figures from one of Trump’s legal cases, Fani Willis and Scott McAfee, easily won their races, while conservatives won a Georgia Supreme Court election fought largely over abortion. In the House, progressives lost two key races in Oregon, while California voters picked a successor to Kevin McCarthy.
As usual, 538 reporters and contributors broke down the election results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.
Latest headlines:
Two challengers are neck-and-neck in a Kentucky state Senate seat
In a Kentucky state Senate seat, it looks like an incumbent, state Sen. Adrienne Southworth, may be unseated by one of her two challengers, both former Navy SEALS. Aaron Reed is at 39 percent, and the other challenger, Ed Gallrein, is at 38 percent, with more than 95 percent of the expected vote reporting, while Southworth is at 22 percent.
Southworth, who represents the district just east of Louisville, was weakened by fights against her own party, largely stemming from her spreading election fraud conspiracy theories. But there's also little ideological daylight between Reed and Gallrein, and one political observer, Teri Carter, wrote that it largely seemed like a competition to wear the biggest cowboy hat. Control of the state Senate isn't at stake because Republicans have a supermajority in the legislature, but battles like this one could make a difference for issues like whether school vouchers can be used to pay for private schools in the state.
—Monica Potts, 538
Lest you think only Democrats have competitive state legislature races in Georgia …
… There’s a downballot GOP race worth checking in on as well! In the 131st state House District outside of Augusta, five candidates are running to be the Republican nominee, hoping to replace retiring state Rep. Jodi Lott. Right now, a local construction company owner, Rob Clifton, is in the lead, with 49 percent of the vote, with more than 95 percent of the expected vote in. If he can’t clear the majority threshold, he’ll have to face off against the next highest vote-getter — retired educator Paul Abbott — in a runoff. Clifton lapped the other candidates when it came to fundraising, raising over $100,000. The next highest fundraiser, cigar shop owner Russell Wilder, raised just half that. If Clifton wins the nomination, he’ll be facing off against Democrat Heather White in November, though Republicans have an edge in this district that Trump won by 62 percent in 2022.
— Kaleigh Rogers, 538
AP projects Pinson to be reelected to the Georgia state Supreme Court
After enjoying a lead throughout the night, the writing is on the wall. The Associated Press has called the Georgia state Supreme Court race for incumbent Justice Andrew Pinson, the conservative candidate on the ticket. As we discussed earlier, there were probably a number of reasons why Pinson pulled it off — incumbency, a nonpartisan race, the fact that the court wasn’t up for grabs, and good old-fashioned money — and it’s likely a combination of all these factors that led to his win.
—Kaleigh Rogers, 538
Knott County, Kentucky, residents will soon be able to buy booze
In Kentucky, each county can determine whether to allow alcohol sales, and to what degree. In the 2023 general election, several counties approved the sale of alcohol after having been dry for decades. Tonight, after 3 previous failed attempts, a small southeastern Kentucky county finally voted to approve liquor sales. Cheers, Knott County.
—Mary Radcliffe, 538
Dexter projected to win in Oregon's 3rd District
Well, that wasn't as interesting as we expected. ABC News is reporting that state Rep. Maxine Dexter is projected to win the Democratic primary in Oregon's solidly blue 3rd District. With 45 percent of the expected vote reporting, Dexter leads Jayapal 53 percent to 25 percent. This result prevents some history: Had Jayapal won this race and gone on to win the general election, she and her sister Pramila Jayapal (a representative from Washington state) would've been the first sisters to serve in Congress at the same time while representing different states. In November, Dexter will almost certainly win the general election and succeed retiring Rep. Earl Blumenauer in the Portland-based seat.
—Geoffrey Skelley, 538