Here's a good question from our fellow election nerds over at Daily Kos Elections. What say you guys?

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538

ABC News reports that Randy Niemeyer is projected to win the GOP primary in Indiana's 1st District. This primary wasn't competitive — the party establishment coalesced around Niemeyer — but the result is notable because the 1st District is Indiana's only congressional seat that's competitive in the general election. Niemeyer will now attempt to unseat Democratic Rep. Frank Mrvan in November in this seat that voted for Biden by just 8 percentage points in 2020.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538

ABC News is reporting that wealthy businessman Jefferson Shreve is projected to win the GOP nomination in Indiana's 6th District, east of Indianapolis, with 81 percent of the expected vote reporting. Shreve, who poured millions of his own wealth into the race and who recently lost a bid for mayor of Indianapolis, is a shoo-in in the general election to replace Rep. Greg Pence. With 28 percent of the vote, he's outpacing fellow Republicans Mike Speedy and Jamison Carrier.

—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections

We're tracking how female Democrats and Republicans are doing in Indiana's gubernatorial, Senate and House primaries. As I mentioned earlier, two out of the state's nine sitting House members are women, but the state has never had a female senator or governor.

Among Democrats, women are largely running in places where winning in November is a longshot; in many cases (like the gubernatorial race, and in the 2nd and 6th District), they were unopposed.

Among Republicans, Rep. Houchin has won reelection in the 9th District, and Rep. Spartz has won reelection too, in the 5th District, despite a well-funded challenge. In the 3rd District, Former Allen Circuit Court Judge Wendy Davis is trailing, but that race is still too close to call. And as we already reported, the sitting lieutenant governor, Suzanne Crouch, wasn't able to leverage that role into winning her party's nomination for governor.

—Meredith Conroy, 538 contributor

Braun's record in the Senate on abortion has earned him an A+ rating from the anti-abortion Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America. He's introduced several anti-abortion bills, including a parental notification bill last year that would require parents to be notified when their minor child seeks an abortion and give them a chance to stop it. Before the ruling that overturned Roe v. Wade, Braun had suggested that interracial marriage and same-sex marriage, both issues also related to rights to privacy, should be left to the states, before walking that back and saying he'd misunderstood the reporter's question. Still, he has praised Indiana's near-total abortion ban, but he's also said more recently that he expects tweaks in the coming years.

Of course, Braun was only one of many anti-abortion candidates I'm watching tonight. Messmer's projected win in the 8th District (according to reporting by ABC News) adds another anti-abortion victory to the list, and ABC News is now reporting that Baird is projected to win in the 4th District.

—Monica Potts, 538