Indiana primaries 2024: Spartz survives, big spenders prevail
538 tracked several establishment-versus-insurgent GOP primaries.
Tuesday saw the resolution of several major Republican primaries in Indiana: Voters selected the men who will likely become the state’s next U.S. senator and governor, and three open U.S. House seats were the canvas for fierce primary battles between the establishment and populist wings of the GOP. A maverick Republican incumbent also successfully defended her seat after waffling over her decision to seek reelection.
538 reporters and contributors broke down the election results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.
Latest headlines:
- ABC News reports Jefferson Shreve is projected to win the nomination in the 6th District
- The AP made a call in Indiana’s 3rd
- Spartz projected to win renomination in 5th District, ABC News reports
- ABC News is now reporting that Mark Messmer is projected to win the 8th District GOP primary
- ABC News is now reporting that Braun is projected to win the GOP gubernatorial primary
ABC News is now reporting that Mark Messmer is projected to win the 8th District GOP primary
ABC News reports that state Sen. Mark Messmer is projected to win the crowded GOP primary in Indiana's 8th District, which is currently held by Rep. Larry Buschon. Messmer defeated former Rep. John Hostettler and several other candidates in a race that attracted significant outside spending.
—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections
Shreve is leading in Marion County too
Indianapolis’s Marion County is reporting votes now in Indiana’s 6th, too. And according to the AP, Shreve is beating Speedy there 38 percent to 29 percent, likely cutting off any chance for the more conservative Speedy to prevail.
—Nathaniel Rakich, 538
Messmer projected winner in GOP 8th District primary by the AP
The Associated Press has projected that state Sen. Mark Messmer has won the GOP nomination in the 8th District. He will likely win the general election this fall. ABC News is not reporting a projection in the race yet, but Messmer has about 43 percent of the vote — 27 percent more than his closest challenger — with 40 percent of the expected vote reporting.
—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections
Shreve still in the driver’s seat
We’re up to about half of the expected vote counted in Indiana‘s 6th District, and Jefferson Shreve is still holding steady in the lead with 29 percent. Jamison Carrier and Mike Speedy are running behind at 21 and 20 percent, respectively.
—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections
Why you shouldn't read into early voting numbers
We're starting to see the first results trickle in in Indiana, but you just have to look at another Indiana election to see why you shouldn't overreact when only 1 percent of the vote is reporting ...
—Nathaniel Rakich, 538