ABC News is reporting that Miller is projected to win the GOP primary against her challenger, Evans. She has 64 percent of the vote with a little more than a third of the expected vote reporting.

Miller has stood by Trump and even voted to overturn the 2020 election results, but that didn't stop Evans from calling her a "commie RINO." The primary was more evidence that state Republican Parties have been tearing themselves apart over issues like loyalty to Trump and the 2020 election results, even as there are only small differences between candidates.

—Monica Potts, 538

ABC News reports that Riley Moore, the state treasurer, will win the GOP nomination in West Virginia's 2nd District. He'll be a shoo-in for the general election this fall and will take his seat alongside his aunt, Shelley Moore Capito, who is set to be the state's senior senator at the beginning of next Congress.

—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections

This Olszewski ad might be my favorite of the cycle so far. He’s shamelessly capitalizing off the success of the American League East-leading Baltimore Orioles — nicknamed the O’s — one of the most exciting young teams in baseball.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538

ABC News reports that Kim Klacik is the Republican's nominee for Maryland's 2nd. Klacik also ran in 2020, when her ad that followed her walking the streets of Baltimore in a red dress and heels went viral. You could write a book about how Republican women campaign for Congress (and people have, FWIW). Klacik's would earn its own chapter, if I was writing it!

—Meredith Conroy, 538 contributor

With Justice term-limited out of the West Virginia governor's office, the open-seat Republican primary features members of three old West Virginia political families: former state Del. Moore Capito, the son of Sen. Shelley Moore Capito; car dealer Chris Miller, the son of Rep. Carol Miller; and Secretary of State Mac Warner, whose father and brother were both state legislators. However, the front-runner is a relative newcomer to the state: Attorney General Patrick Morrisey (whose first campaign was for New Jersey's 7th Congressional District in 2000).

Trump has not endorsed in this race, but (so?) the candidates have been tripping over each other to prove they are the most pro-Trump — and, in a state that recently banned gender-affirming care, the most anti-transgender. For example, a pro-Morrisey PAC has hammered Miller for "pro-transgender events" (its language for drag shows and a free clothing closet for transgender students) at Marshall University, where Miller served on the board of governors until last year. Meanwhile, supporters of Miller have hit back at Morrisey for being a lobbyist for a "drug company that helps turn boys into girls" in an ad that also unsubtly pokes fun at Morrisey's height and weight.

Thanks to his ability to self-fund, Miller has spent twice as much money as Morrisey, $6.2 million to $3.1 million. However, polls indicate it hasn't done that much to boost his support. Instead, it is Capito who looks like he poses the biggest threat to Morrisey: Since April 1, he has risen from 16 percent to 26 percent in 538's polling average of the race, within striking distance of Morrisey at 33 percent. (Miller is at 20 percent, and Warner is at 12 percent.) Capito recently received the endorsement of Justice himself, and if he wins, would likely govern in the incumbent's back-slapping, deal-making style; the Club for Growth and Americans for Prosperity-endorsed Morrisey, though, is more of a hardliner.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538