The only presidential primary-related news you should pay attention to tonight is that Jason Palmer, the Democratic winner in American Samoa on Super Tuesday, is on the ballot again today in West Virginia! With 69 percent of the expected vote in, ABC News has projected that Biden will win the Mountain State's Democratic primary, but Palmer is sitting in second place with 12 percent of the vote.

—Irena Li, 538

With Morrissey's projected win in the Republican gubernatorial primary, the GOP in West Virginia is nominating a slate of anti-abortion candidates. In Maryland's 6th, Parrott's projected win for the Republican nomination means that abortion could be a big issue in the competitive district in November. Maryland voters, like voters nationwide, are supportive of abortion rights, and this fall they'll decide on an amendment that would enshrine abortion rights in the state constitution. The projected Democratic primary winner, McClain Delaney, has championed abortion rights in her campaign. In an interview with The Baltimore Sun, Parrott said abortion should be left to the states.

—Monica Potts, 538

Dunn's fundraising and national profile always made him look like the frontrunner in Maryland's 3rd, but Elfreth ran strong from the beginning, and the scant polling of the race we had showed her even with Dunn or ahead of him, before, during and after the UDP spending push (which, as Geoff noted, allowed the pro-Elfreth voice to be louder on TV than the pro-Dunn voice). And Elfreth's team was confident heading into today. I spoke with one of her allies this morning who was blunt in their assessment of the state of the race: "Elfreth will win it. She had TV plus organizing." Sometimes, it's that simple!

—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections

Meredith, the race seemed very close in a way that made it hard to project just who would win. It's true that Dunn raised a very large amount of money and definitely had a lot of traction online. But Elfreth raised a fair bit herself and actually represents part of the district in the Maryland state legislature, whereas Dunn didn't have an initial base of support as he hails from outside the seat in Montgomery County. Most critically, Elfreth received ample outside support from United Democracy Project, the AIPAC-associated super PAC. So while Dunn had raised $4.6 million to Elfreth's $1.5 million, UDP spent $4.2 million in support of Elfreth while Dunn had no outside help. To be clear, a candidate's campaign dollar goes farther when booking ads than for outside groups, but as Jacob pointed out in late April, the combined broadcast ad time bought by Elfreth and UDP sometimes outdistanced Dunn during the campaign.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538

In Baltimore, Democratic voters are choosing between a current and former mayor, and the race looks very close. Former mayor Sheila Dixon is currently leading incumbent Brandon Scott by less than a tenth of a percentage point with mostly early vote reported, according to the state's board of elections.

This is Dixon's third attempt to return to the mayor's office since she resigned in 2010 after being found guilty of embezzlement. In 2016, she narrowly lost the primary to Catherine Pugh, who later went on to plead guilty to conspiracy and tax evasion. Then in 2020, Dixon lost the primary to Scott by just 2.1 percentage points, though a crowded field of 24 candidates meant neither put up a strong showing.

Perhaps ironically, Dixon's campaign this time around focused in part on crime, an issue that 79 percent of Baltimore voters cited as "extremely serious" or "very serious" in a March Washington Post/University of Maryland poll, far more than other areas of the state. Thirty-two percent of Baltimore City voters also told the pollsters that they feel "not too safe" or "not at all safe" from crime in their neighborhoods.

Two different surveys of the mayoral primary in April both showed a single-digit race with Scott ahead, so this one might go down to the wire.

—Mary Radcliffe, 538