I've been keeping an eye on Wolfeboro, New Hampshire, where Romney owns a summer home. But so far, the community that gave Trump 30 percent of the vote in 2016 has yet to weigh in.

—Dan Hopkins, 538 contributor

Trump's victory speech tonight struck me by how angry it was, especially after his attempt to be a little more conciliatory following Iowa. He wouldn't even mention Haley by name, calling her an imposter instead. He suggested her ally Sununu was on drugs, and brought on Ramaswamy to launch more invectives in her direction. If you're Haley, and you relish getting under Trump's skin in a way that few other candidates have managed so far, why are you going to drop out? Haley is wily and has delighted in running against those who have dismissed her for as long as she's been in politics, so I imagine speeches like Trump's tonight only fuel her.

—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections

Trump gave Ramaswamy 60 seconds on the mic, who used his time to suggest that Haley staying in the race is the "ugly underbelly of American politics." In political science we call that "exit talk," and according to research, women who run for the presidency have been subject to more "exit talk" than men.

—Meredith Conroy, 538 contributor

In a rambling speech with his former challengers Sen. Tim Scott and Vivek Ramaswamy behind him, Trump criticized Haley for giving what he called a victory speech. "She failed badly," he said. He also had words for Gov. Chris Sununu, who'd endorsed her. He said that he would beat Biden and also claimed again, falsely, that he won in 2020. Ramaswamy took over the mic to praise Trump before Trump transitioned to immigration, repeating many of his false claims about open borders. In all, he was ready to dismiss Haley and pivot to the general election.

—Monica Potts, 538

Coming into today, a big question was whether independents would turn out a high level and put Haley in a competitive position versus Trump. Based on the preliminary exit poll, the answer was yes — but not enough for Haley to win. Overall, 45 percent of voters identified as independent or something else, and they went for Haley by 24 points, 61 percent to 37 percent. However, self-identified Republicans made up 4 percent of the electorate and. broke for Trump by 39 points, 74 percent to 25 percent. Even with a little help from the 6 percent who identified as Democrats (went for Haley 84 percent to 6 percent), Haley couldn't catch Trump because of his overwhelming edge among Republicans.

Another aspect of the independent question is New Hampshire's electoral access rules, which permit those not registered with a party — "undeclared" voters — to vote in party primaries. That group, which includes many self-identified independents, did turn out in a big way, making up 47 percent of the electorate to registered Republicans' 50 percent (same-day registrants made up the rest). And Haley won among undeclared voters 66 percent to 32 percent. But Trump won among registered Republicans 74 percent to 24 percent. These numbers will change somewhat after further weighting based on the results, but the big takeaway is that independents put Haley in range, but Trump's dominance among Republicans preserved his edge.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538