I wrote about this earlier, but the “electability” question usually plagues women who run for the presidency because of the perception that a woman can’t win the White House (and hasn’t yet!). But Haley uses the electability argument to support her candidacy over and over again, and is in her speech now, in New Hampshire.

—Meredith Conroy, 538 contributor

The New York Times is reporting more than 95 percent of the vote in Hanover, where Dartmouth is located. As expected, voters there still really don't like Trump! Haley leads him there, 86 percent to 13 percent. That's actually a slight improvement for Trump over his 2016 mark, when he won just 11 percent of the vote there. And remember that in Iowa, the only county Haley won, Johnson County, was home to the University of Iowa. Haley is doing great in the college town primary, but coming up short elsewhere.

—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections

Readers of A Libertarian Walks Into a Bear will have a close eye on the small town of Grafton. But so far, Grafton has yet to report its votes. Trump is likely to do well, as he got 45 percent of the town's votes back in 2016.

—Dan Hopkins, 538 contributor

There are now enough towns where more than 95 percent of the expected vote is in, so we can start to look at the characteristics of the towns where Trump is doing especially well relative to his performance in 2016. The answer: towns that have lower fractions of college-educated voters, but also towns with higher per capita incomes. Farmington, New Hampshire — a town near along the New Hampshire-Maine border — is the town where Trump is overperforming the most so far given the town's demographics.

—Dan Hopkins, 538 contributor

At around 4:30 p.m., Americans for Prosperity Regional Director Greg Moore said on X (formerly Twitter) that he'd heard from sources in the New Hampshire secretary of state office that towns around the state had gone through more than 80 percent of GOP primary ballots available statewide, and that some towns were calling to ask for more to avoid running out. Polls in much of the state closed at 7 p.m Eastern, but a few places are open until 8 p.m.

Now, the Koch-affiliated AFP endorsed Haley to much fanfare earlier this cycle, so high turnout certainly would make Haley supporters feel hopeful about the number of independent voters taking part in the primary, who generally are more likely to support Haley than Trump. Still, ABC News's current total expected vote total in New Hampshire is 330,000 votes. Although that figure may change as the night wears on — it could go higher or lower — that many votes would represent nearly 30 percent of the state's entire voting-eligible population — that is, anyone who is eligible to register and vote. A turnout rate at that mark would be on par with the highest turnout in the state's modern history, which was the highly-competitive 2008 Democratic presidential primary.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538