With an estimated 50 percent of the expected vote counted in the Utah Republican primary for governor, the AP projects that Cox, the incumbent, will win. He currently leads Lyman 60 percent to 40 percent. Cox was booed at this year's nominating convention, but the convention in Utah hasn't really had its finger on the pulse in recent cycles.

—Meredith Conroy, 538 contributor

With 62 percent of the vote estimated to have been counted in the GOP primary for Utah’s 2nd District, per the AP, Maloy has just a 52 percent to 48 percent lead over Jenkins. Maloy’s lead is built on strong performances in Salt Lake and Davis counties, in the Salt Lake City metro area, while Jenkins is doing well in Washington County, home to St. George in the state’s southwest corner. This race could come down to how some of the more rural counties in between vote.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538

This wasn't a race that we expected to be close, but the AP projects that Democratic Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will easily win renomination in New York's solidly blue 14th District. I note the contest only because she faced a primary challenge from former insurance executive Marty Dolan, who originally ran against Bowman in the 16th District primary, but switched races to take on Ocasio-Cortez. Dolan mostly got attention from conservative media outlets — Ocasio-Cortez is their bête noire — but it turns out that, amazingly, appearances on Fox News aren't a good way to win a Democratic primary.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538

In Colorado, the state party organization is in a state of constant disarray, but they found the time to endorse a number of candidates in competitive GOP primaries tonight. Those candidates aren’t doing particularly well: in the 3rd District, former state Rep. Ron Hanks is losing handily to attorney Jeff Hurd; in the 5th District, state party chairman Dave Williams lost to radio host Jeff Crank, and in the 8th District, former state Rep. Janak Joshi lost in a landslide to state Rep. Gabe Evans.

While that’s a poor track record for the state party itself, it’s music to the ears of national Republicans who want to win House races. Hanks, Williams, and Joshi were poor fundraisers who had lots of baggage in their backgrounds and would have made holding onto even GOP-leaning seats more of a challenge. With all three losing tonight, national Republican groups can focus on the most competitive seat, the 8th District, and feel a lot better about the 3rd and 5th Districts.

—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections

On Long Island, Democrats hope to seriously contest the 1st District, a seat Trump would've won by 2 points in 2020, which is currently held by first-term Republican Rep. Nick LaLota. Former CNN political commentator John Avlon and organic chemist Nancy Goroff are battling for the Democratic nomination. Goroff has outraised Avlon $2.3 million to $1.8 million, but her advantage stems from $1.2 million in self-funding.

Avlon has received many endorsements from party leaders, who seem to view him as the more electable pick. In the same vein, the WelcomePAC has spent nearly $1.7 million on ads that claim Goroff — who lost here as the Democratic nominee in 2020 — is a choice the party "can't afford." But Goroff's campaign has promoted her backing from pro-abortion rights groups EMILYs List and Planned Parenthood while hitting Avlon for his past ties to the GOP, including his work as an aide to Republican Rudy Giuliani during Giuliani's tenure as New York City's mayor.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538