New York, Colorado and Utah primaries 2024: Bowman loses, Boebert wins

Three Trump-endorsed candidates also lost in Republican primaries.

June 25 was one of the most jam-packed primary election days of the year: Democrats and Republicans in Colorado, New York, Utah and parts of South Carolina picked their party's nominees for this fall's elections.

Two incumbent representatives — Jamaal Bowman and Lauren Boebert — who have made enemies inside and outside their own parties faced serious challengers in their primaries, but they met with different fates. Bowman lost to a more moderate Democrat, George Latimer, in what was the most expensive congressional primary in history. However, Boebert easily prevailed in her Republican primary despite running in an entirely new district.

It was also a bad night for former President Donald Trump. Going into these primaries, only one candidate he had endorsed for Senate, House or governor had lost; tonight alone, three did, including his preferred candidate to replace retiring Sen. Mitt Romney in Utah.

In addition, the fields are now set in some key congressional matchups this fall. In Colorado, Republicans avoided nominating far-right candidates who could have put normally safe red districts in play. Meanwhile, Democrats picked their fighters in two competitive New York House districts that could help them reclaim the House majority.

538 reporters and contributors broke down the election results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.


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South Carolina Senate loss is a blow for female representation in the state

As Geoffrey just mentioned, the Republican women who voted with Democrats to defeat the near-total abortion ban measure were the only Republican women in the South Carolina Senate. Healy stated earlier this month, "You can’t tell me that’s not a slap in the face of women.” According to the Center for American Women in Politics, South Carolina ranks 47th in terms of female representation in state legislatures.

—Meredith Conroy, 538 contributor


Last Republican woman in South Carolina state Senate loses renomination

In other Palmetto State news, state Sen. Katrina Healy has conceded defeat in the runoff for South Carolina's 23rd Senate District. Healy belonged to a group of three women state senators from the GOP who broke with their party to oppose a near-total abortion ban in the state last year. But this made them targets in their party primaries: Two lost renomination in the June 11 primary, while Healy is now headed for defeat in a runoff after no candidate won a majority two weeks ago.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538


New Yorkers' concerns have significantly evolved since the midterms

While we're starting to get results in the marquee New York races, let's check in on the issues voters in the state are prioritizing this year. Like voters around the country, New Yorkers are most likely to say that the economy is the most important issue facing the state, according to a May Emerson College/The Hill/PIX 11 survey. Thirty-four percent of New York voters said that the "economy (jobs, inflation, taxes)" was the most important issue, and it topped the list for Democrats, Republicans and independent voters. The exact same share overall (34 percent) also named economy as the top issue in polling just before the 2022 midterms.

Beyond that, though, a lot has changed for the state since 2022. Before the midterms, the second most important issue to New Yorkers was "threats to democracy," named by 14 percent of respondents. That has fallen to just 7 percent in the most recent survey, while the issue of immigration has risen to second place, from 3 percent in 2022 to 16 percent. Housing has also risen in importance; in 2022, 3 percent of New Yorkers named "housing affordability" as the most important issue facing the state, compared to 12 percent now. And abortion has fallen as a key issue; in 2022, 11 percent said "abortion access" was their top issue, while just 3 percent say so today. With the exception of immigration, which has risen in salience across the political spectrum, these changes in priorities are particularly pronounced among Democrats in New York.

—Mary Radcliffe, 538


Polls are closed in New York and Colorado

It's 9 p.m. Eastern, and polls just closed in both New York and Colorado, home to tonight's marquee primary contests. We'll have updates from races in both those states shortly!

—Tia Yang, 538


Can Democrats surprise in another House special election?

Amid the many primaries taking place tonight, voters in Colorado's 4th District are also choosing their next member of Congress. Buck, frustrated with his own party, resigned from the House early, triggering a special election to fill out the remainder of his term.

Though Boebert is running for a full term in this district, she isn't running in the special. Instead, Republicans nominated Greg Lopez, the former mayor of Parker, Colorado, and a 2022 candidate for governor. Lopez faces Democrat Trisha Calvarese, a speechwriter, in what should be an uncompetitive special election tonight.

But there's at least an outside possibility the race could surprise us. Democrats recently overperformed in another House special election, in Ohio's 6th District, that was thought to be a walkover for the GOP. That seat, vacated by Republican Bill Johnson, had voted for Trump by 29 percentage points in 2020, but the GOP nominee won by 9 points, an overperformance of 20 percent. Colorado's 4th District voted for Trump by 19 points in 2020, so a similar overperformance would result in a very tight race.

However, there are plenty of reasons why that may not be the case. Unlike in Ohio, where the special election was the only race happening in the state and turnout was in the basement, the Colorado special election is concurrent with a statewide primary race that will boost turnout. And in the 4th District specifically, a contentious primary featuring Boebert and a bunch of other candidates will probably boost Republican turnout specifically.

But it wouldn't take a Calvarese win to be good news for Democrats. Historically, special election results have some predictive power, and Democrats have been putting together a healthy record so far ahead of the 2024 elections. Since the beginning of 2023, Democrats have overperformed partisanship in House special elections by 7 points, according to a 538 analysis, and in special elections overall by a similar margin.

At a moment when national polling looks middling at best for Democrats, a stronger-than-expected showing tonight could provide some much-needed comfort.

—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections