That’s right, Meredith, and as I mentioned earlier, Fitzpatrick beat Ehasz by 10 points in 2022, but there are signs that this race could be tighter. It’s a purple district that has seen some shifts to the left, namely some recent school board elections. Voters flipped the Central Bucks School District from majority Republican to majority Democratic in an election last year, and Democrats swept the Pennridge School Board election. Of course, school board elections have their own quirks, particularly with some of the identity politics issues that have come to a head in recent years, but we could see a similar friction emerge with abortion as a hot-button issue in the general. While Fitzpatrick is hardly an anti-abortion activist, it’s an area where he hasn’t been as clearly moderate (he’s voted for abortion bans, for example, and his campaign website avoids the issue entirely), and Ehasz has a clear advantage on this front. Of course, Fitzpatrick’s incumbency and the more conservative reaches of the district could certainly be enough to keep him in his seat, but I’d be willing to bet it will be by a slimmer margin than last time, if he manages to pull it off.

—Kaleigh Rogers, 538

Coming as no surprise to anyone, ABC News projects that Biden and Trump will win their respective primaries in the Keystone State. But that doesn't mean voters are going to be happy about the outcome in November. In a March survey by Franklin and Marshall College, a majority of Pennsylvania voters said they would be sad if either Biden or Trump is reelected. When asked if they would feel happy or sad if each candidate won, 50 percent said they would be sad if Biden won and 53 percent said the same about Trump. Forty-eight percent said they would be happy if Biden won, and 43 percent would be happy if Trump won.

—Mary Radcliffe, 538

ABC reports that Democratic Rep. Dwight Evans is projected to win his primary in the central and west Philadelphia-based 3rd District. With 29 percent of the expected vote reporting, Evans has a resounding 89 percent of the vote over challenger Tracey Gordon, the city's former register of wills. Evans has effectively secured a fifth term in Congress tonight, with no Republican challenger currently on the ballot in this majority Black, deep-blue district.

—Irena Li, 538

As Kaleigh just mentioned, Fitzpatrick is well ahead of his challenger from the right, Houck, in the 1st District. This means those voters will see a redux of the 2022 race, when he beat Democrat, Army Apache helicopter pilot Ashley Ehasz. Ehasz is supported by EMILY's List, the pro-choice organization working to elect more women to Congress.

—Meredith Conroy, 538 contributor

We'll be keeping an eye on how candidates of color perform in tonight's House primaries. Racial diversity in Congress has steadily grown over the past two decades, with nonwhite representatives skewing heavily Democratic. In today's races, six candidates of color are running in Democratic primaries compared with four Republican hopefuls.

In the Pittsburgh-area 12th District, Democratic Rep. Summer Lee is seeking a second term after winning a fiercely contested primary by less than 1,000 votes in 2022, when she became the first Black woman to be elected to Congress from Pennsylvania. This year, she faces a primary challenge from Bhavini Patel, an Indian-American small business owner and Edgewood Borough Council member. Patel has aligned herself as a more moderate, pro-Israel foil to Lee, a member of The Squad — a group composed entirely of young progressives of color — who was heavily targeted by AIPAC in her first congressional bid.

Democratic Rep. Dwight Evans, another Black incumbent, is facing a primary challenger in Tracey Gordon, former Philadelphia register of wills. The majority Black, deep-blue 3rd District spans much of central and west Philadelphia, where tonight's winner is all but guaranteed to win the seat in November. The scandal-embroiled Gordon is an underdog candidate here, though she has some experience with that: She defeated a 40-year incumbent in the 2019 primary on the way to becoming the city's register of wills, but lost her reelection bid last May.

A six-way Democratic primary in the 10th District includes Harrisburg City Council member Shamaine Daniels and Blake Lynch, a former local radio executive. Daniels was the Democratic nominee in 2022, but was defeated by Republican Rep. Scott Perry, the former chair of the hard-right House Freedom Caucus. Whoever wins tonight will face Perry in November.

On the Republican side, attorney Maria Montero is one of three Republicans vying to face 7th District Democratic Rep. Susan Wild in what is anticipated to be a highly competitive general election. Entrepreneur Aaron Bashir, former Army chaplain Alfeia Goodwin and business executive James Hayes are each running unopposed in today's Republican primaries in their districts. All three are assured a spot on the ballot in November, but face long odds against Democratic incumbents in solidly blue districts.

—Irena Li, 538