Pennsylvania primaries 2024: Lee and Fitzpatrick survive, matchups set for November

538 tracked congressional and downballot primary races in the Keystone State.

Pennsylvania is already in the thick of campaign season for November's presidential and U.S. Senate races, but on April 23, Democrats and Republicans in the Keystone State chose their candidates in a slate of other consequential races down the ballot this fall.

Among the key races to watch: a couple of incumbent House members — progressive Democrat Summer Lee and moderate Republican Brian Fitzpatrick — both fended off challengers from their right, and ballots are now set for a few other consequential contests that could help determine control of the House next year. Plus, some key battle lines for control of the state government in November are set, with the parties finalizing their candidates for attorney general, auditor, treasurer and both chambers of the state legislature.

538 reporters and contributors broke down the election results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.


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Republican Jeffrey Olsommer on track to win Pennsylvania's only special election

In the 139th state House District special election tonight, the only special for state legislative seats of the evening, Jeffrey Olsommer is on track to hold the seat for his party after former state Rep. Joe Adams resigned in February due to health concerns. Olsommer currently leads Democrat Roberta Skibber by about 6 percentage points, a margin that will likely grow as more election day votes are counted, according to the state election returns site. However, he does appear on track for an underperformance in this seat that Trump won by 28 points in 2020.

—Mary Radcliffe, 538


Only one contested U.S. House Democratic primary is still unprojected

The 14th District in southwest Pennsylvania is a solidly Republican seat, but incumbent GOP Rep. Guy Reschenthaler will have an opponent in November. The question is, who? With 96 percent of the expected vote reporting, Navy veteran Chris Dziados leads business owner Ken Bach 54 percent to 46 percent in the Democratic primary. This makes Dziados a pretty clear favorite to win his party's nomination at this point, although the race is unprojected at this time.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538


Checking in on candidates of color

All of today's congressional primary contests where nonwhite candidates were running have been projected, according to reporting by ABC News. Incumbent Reps. Dwight Evans and Summer Lee successfully fended off primary challengers, while Shamaine Daniels and Blake Lynch were both defeated by Janelle Stelson in a crowded Democratic primary for Pennsylvania's 10th. On the GOP side of things, only one candidate of color was running in a contested primary race tonight: Maria Montero lost to state Rep. Ryan Mackenzie in the 7th District, which Republicans have been eyeing as a potential flip this November.

—Irena Li, 538


Mackenzie projected to win PA-07 and take on Rep. Susan Wild

And now we have a projection! ABC News reports state Rep. Ryan Mackenzie is projected to win the Republican primary race in the 7th Congressional District, setting him up to square off against Democratic Rep. Susan Wild in this highly contested district in Lehigh Valley this fall.

—Kaleigh Rogers, 538


Pennsylvania features the first real primary challenge against The Squad

The war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza has paved the way for some bitter Democratic primary fights in 2024. Among those most critical of Israel's actions in the conflict has been The Squad, an informal group of around nine progressive Democrats who often clash with their party's establishment. Of that cohort, Rep. Summer Lee of Pittsburgh is the first to face a contested primary in 2024 — but she won't be the last. At least four members, including Lee, have potentially significant primary opposition in part because of their vocal denouncements of Israel — although increasingly negative views of the Middle East nation's actions among the Democratic base means the conflict may not be as helpful to The Squad's challengers as some may have expected.

Should Lee survive, she would join Reps. Greg Casar of Texas and Delia Ramirez of Illinois among those who've won renomination (Casar and Ramirez faced no opposition in their March primaries). But some members with primaries later this summer may have problems, especially the two who are arguably most endangered: New York Rep. Jamaal Bowman and Missouri Rep. Cori Bush. For one thing, they've each been outraised by their leading challengers, and they both have potential scandals that could derail their reelection efforts. Last fall, Bowman pulled a fire alarm in a Capitol office building right before a vote, which resulted in him paying a fine and receiving a censure from the House. And Bush faces investigations by the Department of Justice, Federal Election Commission and House Ethics Committee into alleged misuse of funds to pay her security team, including payments to her husband as part of that team.

Beyond those two, Minnesota Rep. Ilhan Omar may be the other Squad member who could have some trouble. Two years ago, she defeated former Minneapolis City Council member Don Samuels by just 2 percentage points in the Democratic primary; now Samuels is back for a rematch, although Omar has already raised more than twice as much as the $2.4 million she'd brought in by the time of the 2022 primary>. Otherwise, there are few signs that New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Michigan Rep. Rashida Tlaib and Massachusetts Rep. Ayanna Pressley will have difficulties. Ocasio-Cortez does have a challenger, but his largely self-funded effort pales in comparison to Ocasio-Cortez's campaign war chest, while Tlaib's little-known opponents only just filed for the race and haven't reported raising any money. Pressley, meanwhile, has no primary opposition ahead of Massachusetts's May 7 candidate filing deadline.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538