Pennsylvania primaries 2024: Lee and Fitzpatrick survive, matchups set for November

538 tracked congressional and downballot primary races in the Keystone State.

Pennsylvania is already in the thick of campaign season for November's presidential and U.S. Senate races, but on April 23, Democrats and Republicans in the Keystone State chose their candidates in a slate of other consequential races down the ballot this fall.

Among the key races to watch: a couple of incumbent House members — progressive Democrat Summer Lee and moderate Republican Brian Fitzpatrick — both fended off challengers from their right, and ballots are now set for a few other consequential contests that could help determine control of the House next year. Plus, some key battle lines for control of the state government in November are set, with the parties finalizing their candidates for attorney general, auditor, treasurer and both chambers of the state legislature.

538 reporters and contributors broke down the election results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.


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Republican Jeffrey Olsommer on track to win Pennsylvania's only special election

In the 139th state House District special election tonight, the only special for state legislative seats of the evening, Jeffrey Olsommer is on track to hold the seat for his party after former state Rep. Joe Adams resigned in February due to health concerns. Olsommer currently leads Democrat Roberta Skibber by about 6 percentage points, a margin that will likely grow as more election day votes are counted, according to the state election returns site. However, he does appear on track for an underperformance in this seat that Trump won by 28 points in 2020.

—Mary Radcliffe, 538


Only one contested U.S. House Democratic primary is still unprojected

The 14th District in southwest Pennsylvania is a solidly Republican seat, but incumbent GOP Rep. Guy Reschenthaler will have an opponent in November. The question is, who? With 96 percent of the expected vote reporting, Navy veteran Chris Dziados leads business owner Ken Bach 54 percent to 46 percent in the Democratic primary. This makes Dziados a pretty clear favorite to win his party's nomination at this point, although the race is unprojected at this time.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538


Checking in on candidates of color

All of today's congressional primary contests where nonwhite candidates were running have been projected, according to reporting by ABC News. Incumbent Reps. Dwight Evans and Summer Lee successfully fended off primary challengers, while Shamaine Daniels and Blake Lynch were both defeated by Janelle Stelson in a crowded Democratic primary for Pennsylvania's 10th. On the GOP side of things, only one candidate of color was running in a contested primary race tonight: Maria Montero lost to state Rep. Ryan Mackenzie in the 7th District, which Republicans have been eyeing as a potential flip this November.

—Irena Li, 538


Mackenzie projected to win PA-07 and take on Rep. Susan Wild

And now we have a projection! ABC News reports state Rep. Ryan Mackenzie is projected to win the Republican primary race in the 7th Congressional District, setting him up to square off against Democratic Rep. Susan Wild in this highly contested district in Lehigh Valley this fall.

—Kaleigh Rogers, 538


The Keystone State's key Senate race is on autopilot tonight

Pennsylvanians will technically pick their nominees today for the state's U.S. Senate election this fall, though the results won't be a nail-biter — both major party candidates are running unopposed in their primaries. Democratic Sen. Bob Casey Jr. is running for a fourth term, while David McCormick, a former hedge fund CEO and diplomat under the Bush administration, is hoping to claim the seat for Republicans.

While today's primary isn't competitive, the general election matchup is already attracting a lot of attention. Democrats currently have just a one-seat majority in the Senate and are defending at least seven competitive seats this cycle, including Casey's in Pennsylvania. That means control of the chamber could come down to the Keystone State, a prospect that both parties are taking seriously.

Both candidates have already dropped millions of dollars on the race. While McCormick slightly outraised his opponent last quarter, Casey has spent over two and a half times as much money this cycle and has close to twice as much cash on hand as McCormick.

Casey also leads in every poll we've collected of the race, although some of those leads are within the margin of error. All the major election handicappers agree that he appears to have an edge in the race for now, though it's still competitive enough that things could easily change by November. Tonight won't be able to tell us much about the future, but it marks the official start to one of the most closely watched matchups this cycle.

—Cooper Burton, 538