Super Tuesday primaries 2024: Trump and Biden dominate, Haley drops out

538 tracked how Trump and Haley did, plus key U.S. House and Senate races.

March 5 was Super Tuesday — the biggest election day of the year until the one in November! With former President Donald Trump projected to win 14 of the day's 15 GOP presidential nominating contests, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley announced Wednesday morning that she is suspending her campaign.

It was also the first downballot primary day of 2024, with important contests for Senate, House and governor in states like Alabama, California, North Carolina and Texas.

538 reporters, analysts and contributors broke down the election results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.


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Trump projected to win Colorado

ABC News can now project that Trump will win the Colorado primary. With almost half the expected vote reporting already, Trump has 60 percent to Haley's 36 percent. It's Trump's eighth win of the evening already, and this one is particularly rough for Haley, as this was one of the few states where she had the best shot at an upset win.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538


Will Minnesota be nice for Trump?

Polls have now closed in Minnesota, which was a sleeper battleground in the 2016 general election, but tends to support Democrats. There are a greater-than-average number of college graduates in the state, which should be good for Haley, but there's also a sizable white working class population, which, if you're reading this live blog, you probably already know, is good news for Trump.

—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections


Trump projected to win Alabama

In one of the least surprising developments of the night, ABC News projects that Trump will win Alabama. Only 5 percent of the expected vote has reported there, but Trump leads Haley by a punishing 69-point margin, 83 percent to 14 percent. We expected Alabama to be one of Trump's strongest states, and that looks to be the case.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538


Our first glimpse at Colorado

Going into tonight, I thought that Colorado could be a dark horse state for Haley. There wasn't a single poll of the race there, and the state's highly educated demographics seemed like a good fit for her.

Well, so far, it ain't happening. With 28 percent of the expected vote reporting, Trump is taking 57 percent of the vote there, while Haley has just 40 percent.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538


Final thought: Is it time to finally pivot to the general?

As we discussed earlier, using presidential primary results to read the tea leaves of the general election seems to be a particularly fraught exercise. The dynamics (and electorates) of the two types of contests are wildly different, and several of my colleagues pointed out a variety of ways in which this type of analysis could go awry.

But now that Biden and Trump are both within weeks of officially securing their party nomination, I wonder if we'll start to see the conversation around the election turn. As Elliott noted earlier, Trump's speech tonight sounded more like a pivot to the general: Rather than mentioning Haley, he focused on Biden. And with the State of the Union on Thursday, Biden will also have an opportunity to try to focus the nation on his priorities for a potential second term. So it seems like both Trump and Biden have an opportunity to try to start communicating with the nation on their respective visions for the country.

The wildcard, for me, is whether voters are ready to pay attention. If they're not, then the messaging coming from the two candidates might start to turn into a low hum of background noise, essentially taking the edge off of any possible messaging wins as the campaigns beat the same drums for 8 straight months. If voters are ready to tune in, though, we may start to see polls shift in one direction or the other as campaigning begins in earnest.

—Mary Radcliffe, 538