Super Tuesday primaries 2024: Trump and Biden dominate, Haley drops out
538 tracked how Trump and Haley did, plus key U.S. House and Senate races.
March 5 was Super Tuesday — the biggest election day of the year until the one in November! With former President Donald Trump projected to win 14 of the day's 15 GOP presidential nominating contests, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley announced Wednesday morning that she is suspending her campaign.
It was also the first downballot primary day of 2024, with important contests for Senate, House and governor in states like Alabama, California, North Carolina and Texas.
538 reporters, analysts and contributors broke down the election results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.
Latest headlines:
Trump projected to win Colorado
ABC News can now project that Trump will win the Colorado primary. With almost half the expected vote reporting already, Trump has 60 percent to Haley's 36 percent. It's Trump's eighth win of the evening already, and this one is particularly rough for Haley, as this was one of the few states where she had the best shot at an upset win.
—Nathaniel Rakich, 538
Will Minnesota be nice for Trump?
Polls have now closed in Minnesota, which was a sleeper battleground in the 2016 general election, but tends to support Democrats. There are a greater-than-average number of college graduates in the state, which should be good for Haley, but there's also a sizable white working class population, which, if you're reading this live blog, you probably already know, is good news for Trump.
—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections
Trump projected to win Alabama
In one of the least surprising developments of the night, ABC News projects that Trump will win Alabama. Only 5 percent of the expected vote has reported there, but Trump leads Haley by a punishing 69-point margin, 83 percent to 14 percent. We expected Alabama to be one of Trump's strongest states, and that looks to be the case.
—Geoffrey Skelley, 538
Our first glimpse at Colorado
Going into tonight, I thought that Colorado could be a dark horse state for Haley. There wasn't a single poll of the race there, and the state's highly educated demographics seemed like a good fit for her.
Well, so far, it ain't happening. With 28 percent of the expected vote reporting, Trump is taking 57 percent of the vote there, while Haley has just 40 percent.
—Nathaniel Rakich, 538
What are Trump's and Haley's must-win states tonight?
Based on each state's politics and demographics, 538's G. Elliott Morris has calculated how many delegates both Trump and Haley need to win in each state today to be on pace for the nomination. Here are those numbers:
In total, Trump's magic number tonight is 497 delegates, while Haley's is 543. Elliott's model thinks Trump needs to sweep Arkansas, California, Tennessee and Texas while also taking about half of the delegates available in Alaska, Colorado and North Carolina. Meanwhile, if she wants to have a shot at winning the nomination, Haley must win all the delegates in Alabama, California, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Utah, Vermont and Virginia — a tall order on a night where winning even one state isn't a certainty.
—Nathaniel Rakich, 538