Stocks jump on improving economic news, accounting change
NEW YORK -- Wall Street has extended a four-week rally on more good news about the U.S. economy.
Market indicators soared more than 2% following an accounting rule change that could strengthen banks' balance sheets and fresh efforts by world leaders to fight the financial crisis. The day's news buoyed a newfound sense of optimism in the market that the economy may finally be on the mend.
Still stocks were off their earlier highs, as investors are mindful of a closely watched monthly report on employment coming up Friday morning.
According to preliminary calculations, the Dow rose 216.48, or 2.8%, to 7,978.08. Earlier the Dow jumped back over 8,000 before pulling back some late in the day.
The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 23.30, or 2.9% to 834.38 and the Nasdaq composite index jumped 51.03, or 3.3%, to 1,602.63.
"Everyone is in a buying mood," said Eric Ross, director of research at brokerage Canaccord Adams. "Everyone is feeling good. ... A lot of this is simply confidence."
Financial stocks led the rally, getting a big boost after a rulemaking body for the accounting industry relaxed financial reporting rules that force banks to value their assets at current market prices.
The change in "mark-to-market" accounting rules, which should help banks reduce losses, sends another lifeline to the troubled financial industry. Many investors believe financial stocks, which have largely carried the market's four-week rally, are a gauge of when the economy is turning.
The advance came as the world's finance ministers finished a one-day summit in London to discuss efforts to fix the global economy. While the G-20 leaders did not satisfy calls for new stimulus measures, they pledged an additional $1.1 trillion in financing to the International Monetary Fund and declared a crackdown on tax havens and hedge funds.
Another positive indicator on the economy also lifted sentiment on Wall Street. Factory orders posted a large increase, following Wednesday's better-than-expected readings on pending home sales, manufacturing activity and auto sales.
Since a nearly 12-year low on March 9, the Dow is up about 19%. While analysts have warned that the market could retest the lows hit early last month, there's no doubt a growing sense on Wall Street the economy, at least stateside, might be bottoming out.
"The market mindset is: OK, we're not in a tailspin," said Jack A. Ablin, chief investment officer at Harris Private Bank.
The market has managed to shrug off data showing that the job market remains extremely weak. On Thursday, the Labor Department reported a surprisingly large rise in last week's jobless claims, and on Wednesday, data from a research group showed a bigger-than-expected March decline in private sector employment.
Wall Street could be in for a nasty surprise on Friday, however, if the closely-watched monthly employment report comes in worse than expected. Economists currently predict the report will show a loss of 654,000 jobs in March following a decline of 651,000 jobs in February, which was a record third straight month of job losses above 600,000.
Investors could also get other bad news soon as first-quarter earnings start to roll in over the next few weeks. Expectations are already low, but pessimistic forecasts for the rest of the year from companies could easily unsettle the market.
Stocks rallied across the board Thursday, with industrial and consumer discretionary stocks picking up speed as hopes for an economic turnaround increased.
As the market charged ahead, demand for safe-haven assets like gold, Treasurys and the dollar plummeted.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell nearly 1 point, sending its yield up to 2.74% from 2.66% late Wednesday. The dollar fell against other major currencies after the European Central Bank cut its key interest rate by less than expected. Gold prices also fell.
Oil prices benefited from the better-than-expected economic news. Light, sweet crude jumped more than $4 to $52.64 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Stocks are still well below their October 2007 record highs, however, and the market just finished one of its most tumultuous quarters on record on Tuesday. Investors got another dose of volatility on Monday, when stocks dropped sharply as the Obama administration raised the possibility of a U.S. automaker bankruptcy.
"It's premature to suggest that we're out of the challenges, said Richard Hughes, co-president of Portfolio Management Consultants. "But it's equally worthwhile to acknowledge that the rate of decline (in economic data) has subsided in the last 30 to 60 days."
Overseas markets also logged big gains. Japan's Nikkei stock average rose 4.4%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index jumped 7.4%. In Europe, Britain's FTSE 100 rose 4.3%, Germany's DAX index rose 6.1%, and France's CAC-40 rose 5.4%.