The Note: Surprise Party
WASHINGTON, Oct. 30, 2004 — -- NOTED NOW
TODAY'S SCHEDULE (all times ET)
Three Days Until Election Day
NEWS SUMMARY
Basics:
1. Either man can still win.
2. The same states are still in play today as were in play at this time yesterday.
3. The media not only crave October Surprises, but demand that each and every October Surprise have a clear winner and a clear loser.
4. Even poker-faced Republicans believe in this equation: OBL tape = more focus on "who will keep you safer?" = Bush advantage = Bush win.
5. A sliver of Democratic strategists believe: OBL tape + aggressive (continued) Kerry attack on Bush record on OBL + a break or two = Kerry advantage = likely Kerry win
6. Most Democrat strategists, however believe one of two things:
a. OBL tape + Mommy Party status + BC04 aggressiveness + tightness of the race + (3) above = Bush advantage = bad feeling …
or
b. OBL tape + Mommy Party status + BC04 aggressiveness + closeness of race + (3) above + the public mind about OBL among voters who matter + Kerry pushback = a wash = no one knows = possible Kerry win
In the absence of any data to grab onto, it is a near certainty that the vast majority of weekend TV chatterers will assume that the tape is good for the President and bad for Kerry, but a sampling of overnight coverage and anecdotal opinion suggests that this will not be a uniform view, and it is even possible that some pundits and reporters will be open to the Notions of (5) or (6)(b).
We continue to believe that a lot of the answer will come partly from how the candidates handle this and partly from how the press does -- and except for the inordinately nuanced (a.k.a.: wishy washy) narrative above, we can't really speak for either group at this hour.
But we will watch along with you.
Other things we will have an eye on today …
Both candidates are in the Midwest for much of the day, President Bush stumping in states that Al Gore won in 2000 before flying to Florida for one of the latest rallies of his campaign, and Sen. Kerry trying to defend Wisconsin and Iowa before heading to Ohio.
President Bush holds rallies in Grand Rapids, MI, Ashwaubenon, WI, Minneapolis (with Vikings head coach Mike Tice), and Orlando at 9:15 am ET, 12:35 am ET, 3:15 pm ET, and 8:00 pm ET, respectively.
Sen. Kerry rallies Appleton, WI, Des Moines, and Warren, OH at 11:00 am ET, 3:15 pm ET, and 8:45 pm ET, respectively, before flying to Dayton to overnight.
The Vice President and his wife hold rallies in Nazareth, PA, Zanesville, OH, and Davenport, IA at 10:00 am ET, 3:20 pm ET, and 7:20 pm ET, respectively.
And Sen. John Edwards travels the farthest distances today, beginning with a 9:00 am ET Marietta, OH rally, followed by a 2:10 pm ET Bangor, ME rally, and an 8:15 pm ET Daytona Beach rally with singer/songwriter Babyface. He flies to Jacksonville to overnight.
In today's Surrogate Watch, the Not Without My Daughters tour hits New Jersey, where Barbara and Jenna Bush campaign, and Florida, where present and past daughters Vanessa Kerry, Cate Edwards, Caroline Kennedy, Karenna Gore-Schiff, and Chelsea Clinton campaign for the first time together. (Alex Kerry is in Hawaii campaigning.)
Former President Clinton is in New Mexico with Teresa Heinz Kerry and Martin Sheen.
Sen. John McCain is in New Hampshire and Sen. Zell Miller is in Minnesota on Bush's behalf.
George P. Bush is in Wisconsin.
CelebWatch: Ashton Kutcher is in Iowa, Leo DiCaprio in New Hampshire, Al Franken and Julia Stiles in Pennsylvania (a MoveOn rally) and, in Ohio, Paul Newman. Jake Gyllenhall, Allison Munn, and Chris and Andrew Heinz; and Howard Dean, Viggo Mortensen, and 311 all campaign on Kerry's behalf (the Dean event is also sponsored by MoveOn).
President Bush and Sen. John Kerry appear on "Sabado Gigante" back-to-back tonight at 10:00 pm ET, and when they do, they will be seen by what "the longest-running variety show in the world" (per Guinness) claims is 100 million viewers in 42 countries — or, more relevantly, by the 2.5 million Latinos who watched the show last week. LINK
Tomorrow morning, This Week with George Stephanopoulos hosts guests Ed Gillespie, Terry McAulliffe, Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist, and House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi.
And stay with ABC News for Good Morning America Saturday and Sunday, World News Tonight Sunday, ABC News Now, Noted Now and your faithful daily Notes -- all weekend!
The politics of Osama bin Laden:
As Mark Z. Barabak of the Los Angeles Times points out, at a minimum, "Most analysts thought it would aid Bush, at the least, by changing the subject from stolen Iraqi weapons, doctored campaign ads and other developments that had thrown the president on the defensive for the last few days." LINK
Three key grafs:
"For all the anticipation of a last-minute campaign surprise — most of it focused on another terrorist attack — both sides appeared flummoxed at first when Bin Laden intruded on an otherwise routine, if intense, campaign day."
"Like so much else in this bitterly fought campaign, partisans split over its probable impact."
"Republicans, some openly gleeful, saw the Bin Laden tape as helping Bush and hurting Kerry. Democrats, less assuredly, suggested the opposite."
Remember, President Bush's poll numbers have risen when the terror level has been raised. The question remains as to whether or not this tape will have the same effect. All eyes on tracking …
And we wonder if the newsweeklies are polling …
The Washington Post's Dana Milbank takes an absolutely spot-on look at the political implications of the bin Laden message, writing that "Republicans argued -- and some Democrats privately agreed -- that the videotape would revive Americans' fears of terrorism, an issue on which Bush is strongest," and offers a glimpse inside the campaigns as they grappled with a plan after the tape aired -- and the spin began. LINK
"Some Democrats held out hope that the reappearance of bin Laden would remind Americans that Bush still had not caught the arch villain, and lend legitimacy to Kerry's argument that Bush allowed the United States to get distracted in Iraq. But Republicans argued -- and some Democrats privately agreed -- that the videotape would revive Americans' fears of terrorism, an issue on which Bush is strongest."
"Few expected bin Laden's October Surprise to have a major impact on voters' choices. . . . But in an election as close as this one is, even minor influences can have some impact. That concern was evident in the reaction to the tape's broadcast yesterday -- first an unusual silence, then hurried meetings and, finally, cautious statements."
"Clearly, the bin Laden cameo in the 2004 presidential race has the potential to cut both ways. Weighing in Bush's favor is that Americans have typically rallied around the president when they have felt threatened, and bin Laden's tape is menacing. Also, the fact that bin Laden was making his presence known through a videotape rather than through a Madrid-style attack could be seen as evidence that Bush had done his job of protecting the public."
AP's Tom Raum weighs in with his analysis, weighing the arguments from both sides about how the tape helps or hurts: LINK
"It bolsters President Bush's argument that the world is a dangerous place and plays to his strength as commander in chief in fighting the war on terror. But it also underscores Democratic Sen. John Kerry's criticism of the Republican incumbent for not doing more to hunt down bin Laden, vividly dramatizing that the al Qaida leader still is very much at large more than three years after the attacks on the United States."
He also throws in this bit on the tape itself: "U.S. intelligence officials say they believe the tape was made recently and are intrigued that it carried English subtitles -- a first for the terrorist leader, and a possible indication that it was made mainly for a U.S. audience."
The New York Times' Stevenson and Wilgoren write that Bush and Kerry "sounded remarkably similar notes in the wake of Mr. bin Laden's reappearance" before going into Kerry's criticism of the President's "outsourcing" the hunt for bin Laden and Bush's subsequent rebuke. LINK
"The nuisance is back!" David Brooks writes. LINK
"One of the crucial issues of this election is, Which candidate fundamentally gets the evil represented by this man? Which of these two guys understands it deep in his gut -- not just in his brain or in his policy statements, but who feels it so deep in his soul that it consumes him?"
At the end of a story that explains clearly how quickly bin Laden's tape became the subject of partisan bickering, Rick Klein and Pat Healy of the Boston Globe sneak in a blind quote from a Kerry advisor. LINK
"'Who knows how this will affect the race?' the adviser said. 'I do know that it's not going to change a single thing John Kerry says or does between now and the time polls close on Election Day.'"
That is sort of key, too: any new ads (from outside groups, the parties, or the campaigns)? Any new stump lines? And, if not, does it really drive votes?
Tom DeFrank of the New York Daily News reports that a Bush-Cheney campaign official told him, "We want people to think 'terrorism' for the last four days...And anything that raises the issue in people's minds is good for us." The senior GOP strategist added, "anything that makes people nervous about their personal safety helps Bush." The source added the OBL appearance was "a little gift," but it does not guarantee reelection. LINK
"Observers suggested that it was too soon to say how Bin Laden's resurfacing might affect the outcome of the presidential election, if at all," writes Josh Meyer in his Los Angeles Times lead story. LINK
Charlie Cook took on the one hand/other hand duties:
"'You can argue that it shifts attention back to the global war on terrorism and away from Iraq, the economy and healthcare,' said Charles Cook, publisher of the Cook Political Report, an independent election guide. 'Or you can argue that it reminds people that Bin Laden was never caught, that we put the emphasis on Iraq and Saddam Hussein instead.'"
The Washington Post's venerable Dana Priest and Walter Pincus Note that many intelligence and counterterrorism experts say this videotape at this time is about bin Laden raising his public profile, not specifically messing with the U.S. election or condemning a candidate. LINK
The Chicago Tribune's Zuckman and Silva write, "Whether the tape will affect what the candidates say and do in the last days of the race was unclear." LINK
Deb Orin proclaims, "There seems little doubt that Osama's October surprise will be the dominant story this weekend as the final undecided voters make up their minds." LINK
Bin laden in the battlegrounds:
Unfortunately, we aren't able to see the hard copy (or even a pdf of the front page) of the Columbus Dispatch, but if its Web site is any indication of how the story is playing in central Ohio it's not nearly as big a deal as Gov. Schwarzenegger's visit, Ken Blackwell's turnout prediction, or the plethora of election lawsuits before Ohio courts.
The Dispatch relies upon Knight Ridder wire copy for the Osama bin Laden duties. LINK
In Florida, the Miami Herald led with the Boss. And its Bin Laden headline: "Bin Laden says he ordered attacks."
The St. Pete Times has a front page (pre-planned) story on election jitters and gives Bin Laden a separate headline: "Bin Laden: Security key to peace for U.S."
The Philadelphia Daily News' front page is black with a big picture of bin Laden from the tape. Above the photo in smaller letters reads "Before Americans Head to Polls Osama Has a Message." Below the photo in big, block white letters reads "Vote of Caution." LINK
An interesting write up from Knight Ridder's Douglas, Kuhnhenn, and Thomma is in the Philadelphia Inquirer. The lede: "President Bush and Sen. John Kerry dismissed yesterday's videotape from Osama bin Laden, saying it would not affect America, but the terrorist's dramatic reappearance four days before the election threw an October surprise into U.S. politics that could influence the vote." LINK
The Minneapolis Star Tribune prints a Scripps Howard write-up asking "Who would the terror chief prefer to be president - George Bush or John Kerry?" LINK
The Star Tribune also runs the Dalrymple/Hunt AP wire with the header "Bush, Kerry say Bin Laden will be hunted down." LINK
Another battleground state paper which doesn't have its .pdf format front page updated in time for our deadline, but the bin Laden story gets prominent placement on the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel's Web site and the paper relies upon the Washington Post news service for its copy. LINK
The Albuquerque Journal has a huge photo of the video image of Bin Laden splashed across its front page under the headline "Bin Laden Admits He Was Behind 9/11." The paper relies upon the AP story for its coverage. LINK
The major newspaper Web sites in Iowa, Nevada, Maine, and West Virginia have wire stories on bin Laden -- and not prominently featured at that.
ABC News Vote 2004: Bush vs. Kerry:
The Washington Post's VandeHei and Allen wrap Friday on the trail, with a focus not on the politics of bin Laden. LINK
The New York Times' Broad and Sanger examine the "blur of charges and countercharges" over missing explosives from Al Qaqaa. LINK
An Army demolition expert said yesterday that his former unit destroyed hundreds of tons of explosives in Iraq, but the Pentagon said it cannot confirm they were from Al Qaqaa. LINK
The New York Times' David Halbfinger on the latest College outlook. LINK
Democratic media consultant Dan Payne (and former advisor to Sen. Kerry) looks at the state of the race and predicts a Kerry win by 6-10 electoral votes. LINK
The New York Times' Kit Seelye on those who have switched their allegiances since 2000. LINK
The Boston Globe's Milligan looks that different issues in battleground states that could influence the race. LINK
The Boston Globe's Beth Healy reports that the performance of stocks "has been a strangely accurate indicator of whether an incumbent president wins reelection." They are predicting just as close a race as the pollsters at this point. LINK
The Pentagon extends the tours of 6,500 troops in Iraq ahead of the January elections. LINK
The New York Times' Jim Dwyer reports on that unpublished portion of the Sept. 11 commission's report, which includes "broadly inaccurate accounts provided by several civil and military officials." LINK
ABC News Vote 2004: ballotwatch: legal wars
The 6th circuit U.S. Court of Appeals upheld the ruling that stopped Republican challenges of 35,000 voter registrations. LINK
The Washington Post's Dan Eggen and Jo Becker look at how government and voting officials are coping with their fear of a 2000 recount repeat. LINK
ABC News Vote 2004: Bush-Cheney '04:
Gov. Schwarzenegger's star power gets big play in the Los Angeles Times. (It also apparently earned him a little patience from the President during his long introduction.) The photo of the Governor and the President dominates the front page and dwarfs that of the bin Laden photo. (Note Note: Please raise your hand if you believe Dan Bartlett is just as happy without the Bush/Schilling photo as he would have been with it.) LINK
The Los Angeles Times also takes a look at the less than full-throated surrogate. LINK
The Boston Herald's Noelle Straub writes, "After a morning rife with glitches and unwelcome surprises, President Bush righted himself last night with the larger-than-life help of California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger in staging the most raucous, energized rally of recent days." LINK
The Boston Herald's Straub and Guarino chronicle the politics of Curt Schilling. LINK
The Washington Times Notes the President's speech in Manchester, NH Friday was "his first speech in weeks in which he neither named Sen. John Kerry nor derided Mr. Kerry's Senate record." LINK
ABC News Vote 2004: Kerry-Edwards '04:
Matea Gold of the Los Angeles Times reminds her readers that Kerry's intent yesterday was to pull back from his "ripped from the headlines" approach and put forward a positive closing argument. Be sure to Note Ms. Gold's nugget on the Social Security ad in Maine. LINK
The Boston Globe's Pat Healy marks the return of Vietnam to Sen. Kerry's rhetoric yesterday. LINK
The Washington Times writes that Kerry's "closing argument" will ask voters to cast their ballots by seeing the world through a different set of eyes. LINK
We love this lede from the Washington Post's Evelyn Nieves on former President Bill Clinton stumping for Kerry in Vegas: "He was an hour late. So when President Bill Clinton took the stage this afternoon at the Clark County Government Center amphitheater, the crowd acted like starving dogs presented with thick, juicy steak." LINK
The Washington Post's John Wagner looks at KE04's electoral prospects in North Carolina (read: not promising) as Sen. Edwards cast his vote in Raleigh. LINK
The Washington Post's Annie Gowen on last-ditch Democratic efforts to win Virginia, led by Gov. Mark Warner. LINK
ABC News Vote 2004: Florida:
Can you dig it? A calm day for Florida.. with Democrats actually praising the Secretary of State.
That's because they agree with the four pages of guidelines she issued for dealing with challenges at the polling sites.
"State law allows each political party and candidate to post a single preapproved poll watcher at each precinct. They must be registered to vote in that county, and they cannot be a candidate or law enforcement officer. While historically there to gauge voter turnout, this year some are expected to challenge voters. Under state law, they must do so in a sworn affidavit. Election workers on site are then charged with deciding if the challenge if valid." LINK
"Roberts' memo recommended supervisors designate areas in each precinct where a challenge might be resolved, away from the table where other voters are checking in. It also spelled out that the poll watchers' challenge must be substantiated by evidence. The memo also said that inclusion in the state's flawed felon voter database is not sufficient evidence. Hood discarded the list in July after critics found multiple flaws in the data."
"If a challenge is successful, the would-be voter must be offered the chance to cast a provisional ballot, the memo said. That would allow a voter to appeal the precinct workers' decision before the county canvassing board, which reviews all provisional ballots before they can be counted."
The Washington Post's Dale Russakoff looks at the huge number of in-person early voting around the country, Noting that voting data analyses peg the number of Floridians who've voted early or absentee numbers 1.5 million, and officials predict that at least 20 percent of RVs will have cast their ballots by Tuesday. LINK
Perhaps the biggest problem on election day in Florida: so many darn ballots to count. LINK
So who's winning the early vote in Florida? The GOP thinks they're doing very well, and it's true that have banked slightly more registered Republicans than Democrats have. But historically, the GOP in Florida has blown the Democrats away, and this year, the gap appears to be much narrower.
So both sides can claim success.
The Washington Post's Manuel Roig-Franzia looks at the influence and political savvy of Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, deemed "as smart as Karl Rove" by a longtime Democratic operative in the Sunshine State. And that savvy, coupled with his position overseeing the voting process in Florida, make him a target of criticism and controversy. LINK
"This is going to be the biggest election of our history and we will be there to shine the light on any efforts to keep people from voting," said Michael Moore, director of the Bush-bashing film "Fahrenheit 9/11," Michael Moore told a crowd of 3,000 in Miami Beach Friday. LINK
Stephanie Mansfield of the Washington Times writes :Mocked for her use of cosmetics during the 36-day recount battle and vilified by Democrats as a partisan with close personal ties to Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Mrs. Harris [Katherine] has once again become a target in this battleground state." LINK
ABC News Vote 2004: Ohio:
The Columbus Dispatch duo of Niquette and Rowland write up the shift from pre election challenges to Election Day challenges at polling sites. LINK
"Ohio voters are nearly split over their choice for president, according to a new Plain Dealer poll that shows President Bush's lead over John Kerry has shrunk to 3 percentage points, making the race statistically too close to call."
"Ohio voters surveyed say they favor Bush over his Democratic challenger, 48 percent to 45 percent, down from a Plain Dealer poll of the same size conducted in mid-September, when the president held an 8-point lead, 50 percent to 42 percent. Five percent of voters in the new poll say they are undecided, down from 6 percent in September," writes Mark Naymik of the Cleveland Plain Dealer. LINK
"Secretary of State J. Kenneth Blackwell projected last night that nearly 5.8 million Ohioans will go to the polls or vote absentee. If he's right, the turnout would top the total from the 2000 presidential race by almost a million and would exceed by 750,000 the Ohio record, set in 1992 when independent H. Ross Perot joined Bill Clinton and George H.W. Bush on the presidential ballot," reports the Columbus Dispatch. LINK
The Los Angeles Times has an excellent roundup of yesterday's Buckeye State court activity. LINK
ABC News Vote 2004: Pennsylvania:
The Philadelphia Inquirer reports the deadline for receipt of overseas and military ballots in Pennsylvania has been extended until eight days after the election. However, this may not be the end since GOP leaders then went and filed a separate motion in state court to push back the deadline even further. LINK
The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports the seemingly last scheduled presidential candidate trips to the Keystone State. LINK
ABC News Vote 2004: Iowa:
The Des Moines Register's Tom Beaumont makes the case for Iowa's central role in this presidential contest. LINK
Beaumont also reports that all four candidates will be in the state "within 72 hours of Election Day." LINK
The Des Moines Register's Frank Santiago reports that as much as 30 percent of Iowa's votes may be cast early. LINK
Reflux redux: the Washington Post's Mark Leibovich on Iowa as the "acid test." LINK
ABC News Vote 2004: Colorado:
Long lines persisted -- even on the last day of early voting. Half of voters are expected to cast ballots by absentee or early voting. LINK
Senate candidate Ken Salazar ventured into Golden, Colorado Friday! LINK
Both candidates are out wearing holes in their shoes. LINK
Salazar and Coors differ big-time on Iraq. LINK
A new Rocky Mountain News/News 4 poll shows Bush is leading Kerry 51 percent to 42 percent. LINK
Frustration and controversy swells over missing/delayed absentee ballots. LINK
The politics of national security:
It looks like the President will not have an intelligence reform bill to sign prior to the election. LINK
Nader-Camejo:
Ralph Nader will campaign in his native state of Connecticut today. The independent candidate has mostly stayed away from battlegrounds in the days leading up to Nov. 2. LINK
Day in the Life with Ralph Nader on the trail, a la NPR. LINK
S.L. Price, Ralph Nader, and gems in the bargain book shelf. LINK
The AP Notes more than a dozen states missed the recommended dealing for dropping their overseas ballots. "One of the reasons: legal arguments over whether independent candidate Ralph Nader should be listed on ballots." LINK
ABC News Vote 2004: the Senate:
Lois Romano of the Washington Post sizes up President Bush's coattails in the Oklahoma Senate race. LINK
TODAY'S SCHEDULE (all times ET):
—9:00 am: Sen. John Edwards holds a Fresh Start for America rally, Marietta, OH
—9:00 am: Elizabeth Edwards holds a women for Kerry-Edwards rally at Clark State Community College, Springfield, OH
—9:15 am: President Bush holds a Victory 2004 rally at the DeVos Place, Grand Rapids, MI
—10:00 am: Vice President and Lynne Cheney hold a Victory 2004 rally at Nazareth Area High School, Nazareth, PA
—10:30 am: Sen. Zell Miller holds an RNC rally at the Chanticleer Theater, Council Bluffs, IA
—11:00 am: Sen. John Kerry holds a Fresh Start for America rally, Appleton, WI
—11:30 am: Elizabeth Edwards holds a Moms for Kerry-Edwards rally at the Plumbers & Pipefitters Union Hall, Columbus, OH
—11:30 am: Jenna and Barbara Bush attend a Students for Bush rally at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
—11:45 am: Sens. John McCain, Judd Gregg, and John Sununu participate in a Politics & Eggs lunch, Bedford, NH
—12:00 pm: Vanessa Kerry, Cate Edwards, Caroline Kennedy Schlossberg, Karenna Gore-Schiff and Chelsea Clinton hold a rally on behalf of the Kerry-Edwards ticket at Fred Ball Park, Tampa, FL
—12:15 pm: Actresses Christie Brinkley and Melissa Fitzgerald and Gov. Ed Rendell attend a Moms for Kerry rally, West Chester, PA
—12:30 pm: Former Texas Gov. Ann Richards attends a GOTV canvass on behalf of the Kerry-Edwards ticket at the Highland Senior Center, Albuquerque, NM
—12:35 am: President Bush holds a Victory 2004 rally at the Brown County Veterans Memorial Stadium, Ashwaubenon, WI
—1:15 pm: George P. Bush holds a rally on behalf of his uncle at the Tres Hermanos Restaurant, Milwaukee, WI
—1:45 pm: Actress Jessica Lange and actor Peter Boyle visit union member homes, Plymouth, PA
—2:00 pm: Sen. John McCain holds a GOTV rally, Manchester, NH
—2:10 pm: Sen. Edwards holds a Fresh Start for America Rally, Bangor, ME
—2:15 pm: Sens. Jon Corzine and Frank Lautenberg and Reps. Bob Menendez, Donald Payne, and Steve Rothman criticize President Bush's handling of homeland security in New Jersey at the Ross Dock, Fort Lee, NJ
—2:15 pm: Teresa Heinz Kerry, Gov. Bill Richardson, Martin Sheen, and others hold a rally at the Kachina Lodge, Taos, NM
—2:30 pm: Sen. Zell Miller holds a rally at the Duluth Entertainment Convention Center, Duluth, MN
—3:15 pm: President Bush holds a Victory 2004 rally at the Target Center with Minnesota Vikings head coach Mike Tice, Sen. Norm Coleman, Gov. Tim Pawlenty, and others, Minneapolis, MN
—3:15 pm: Sen. Kerry holds a Fresh Start for America rally at the State House, Des Moines, IA
—3:00 pm: Vanessa Kerry, Cate Edwards, Caroline Kennedy Schlossberg, Karenna Gore-Schiff, and Chelsea Clinton hold a BBQ/rally, Kissimmee, FL
—3:00 pm: Monica Gabrielle, whose husband died on Sept. 11, 2001, and Gov. Richards hold a Women for Kerry rally at Tiguex Park, Albuquerque, NM
—3:00 pm: Gov. Jennifer Granholm, Lt. Gov. John Cherry, Sens. Carl Levin and Debbie Stabenow hold a Moms for Kerry rally at Detroit Metro Beach, Mount Clemens, MI
—3:00 pm: Actresses Christie Brinkley and Melissa Fitzgerald and Gov. Rendell attend a Moms for Kerry rally, Rosemont, PA
—3:00 pm: Ralph Nader speaks at Saint Anselm College, Manchester, NH
—3:15 pm: Sen. McCain holds an RNC GOTV rally, Salem, NH
—3:20 pm: Vice President and Lynne Cheney hold a rally at the Hallowed Hills Conference Center, Zanesville, OH
—3:30 pm: Elizabeth Edwards greets volunteers at Carpenter's Hall, St. Paul, MN
—3:30 pm: George P. Bush holds a rally on behalf of his uncle at the Milwaukee County Victory Center, West Allis, WI
—4:45 pm: Teresa Heinz Kerry, Gov. Richardson, Sen. Jeff Bingaman, and Martin Sheen hold a rally at the San Juan Pueblo Dome, Espanola, NM
—5:00 pm: Former Vice President Al Gore holds a rally on behalf of the Kerry-Edwards ticket, Flint, MI
—5:00 pm: Al Franken, actress Julia Stiles, and other entertainers hold a MoveOn.org rally at the Sheet Metal Workers Union Local 19, Philadelphia, PA
—5:30 pm: Bill Clinton and Teresa Heinz Kerry hold a rally in the Santa Fe Plaza, Santa Fe, NM
—6:00 pm: Elizabeth Edwards holds a rally at William McKinley Middle School, Cedar Rapids, IA
—6:00 pm: Vanessa Kerry, Cate Edwards, Caroline Kennedy Schlossberg, Karenna Gore-Schiff, and Chelsea Clinton hold an early vote rally, Plantation, FL
—6:10 pm: Sen. McCain visits with Bush-Cheney volunteers, Portsmouth, NH
—7:20 pm: Vice President and Lynne Cheney hold a rally at the River Center, Davenport, IA
—8:00 pm: President Bush holds a Victory 2004 rally at Tinker Field, Orlando, FL
—8:00 pm: Ralph Nader speaks at Eastern Connecticut State University, Willimantic, CT
—8:15 pm: Sen. Edwards and singer/songwriter Babyface hold a Fresh Start for America rally, Daytona Beach, FL
—8:30 pm: Vice President Gore holds a MoveOn PAC rally at the Paramount Theatre, Denver, CO
—8:45 pm: Sen. Kerry attends rally at Courthouse Square in Warren, OH