Biden falters in high-stakes debate, Trump spews falsehoods

The contest was seen as a test of each man's fitness for office.

In a historic clash of personality and policy, Joe Biden and Donald Trump took the stage for the first presidential debate of the 2024 election.

The showdown provided a rare opportunity for both candidates to move the needle in what has been a stubbornly tight race for the White House, but at the end of the night, Biden's halting performance raised new concerns among Democrats and cause Republicans to celebrate.

The debate was a rematch for Biden and Trump, who faced each other twice in 2020, but a first-of-its-kind format and a vastly different political landscape presented new challenges for the two rivals.


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Trump falsely claims, 'We had the greatest economy in the history of our country'

False. Unemployment was near historical lows under Trump. However, growth in gross domestic product was well below what previous presidents achieved, and other metrics such as wages and business investment ranged from decent to mediocre.

The annual increases in GDP under Trump were broadly similar to what they were during the final six years under his predecessor, Barack Obama. And GDP growth under Trump was well below that of prior presidents.

-Analysis by Aaron Sharockman, PolitiFact


Onto immigration, the strongest issue for Trump

The third topic of the debate is immigration, and unlike abortion, this is Trump's strong suit. In our 538/Ipsos poll, voters said 56% to 44% that Trump would handle immigration better than Biden. That made immigration Trump's strongest issue out of all the ones we asked about.

-538’s Nathaniel Rakich


Biden stumbles, pauses for several seconds

Biden stumbled as he attacked Trump and defended his own record, pausing for several seconds.

The president was discussing domestic programs he hoped to be able to invest in with the money that would be gained by taxes the wealthiest Americans before trailing off and pausing, ultimately saying "we beat Medicare."

"He did beat Medicare, he beat it to death," Trump responded.


Abortion is one of Biden’s best issues

The second topic of tonight’s debate is abortion. This is good turf for Biden: Abortion rights are broadly popular and have become even more so since Dobbs. In our 538/Ipsos poll released this morning, likely voters said 57% to 43% that Biden would handle abortion policy better than Trump.

-538’s Nathaniel Rakich


5 things to watch in Thursday's debate

Millions of eyeballs will be on Thursday's debate -- here's what to watch for as Biden and Trump face off.

Will any gaffes or knockout punches break through? Conversations on policy are unlikely to break through, but viewers could remember a serious lapse or a zinger that lands.

Will character or policy rule the day? Both sides have lobbed personal attacks -- Biden has dubbed Trump a "convicted felon" and threat to democracy, and Trump has essentially called the president, without evidence, the leader of a crime syndicate. Will the debate stay focused on issues like abortion, immigration and the economy? Or will the two candidates opt for a more scorched-Earth stance?

Typically, a sitting president is debating a governor or senator, with the incumbent's record the main focus. But Trump also spent four years in the White House. Whose record will get more scrutiny?

The debate is happening uniquely early in an election cycle. It remains unclear if any big moments will be washed away by November, or if it'll help set the tone heading into the summer.

The debate is also featuring a novel format -- microphones will be cut off when candidates aren't recognized to speak, and there will be no audience to feed off of. That could deprive Trump of the energy he seeks, helping Biden. But the microphone cutoffs could help "enforce some discipline" on Trump, said GOP strategist David Kochel.

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