Biden falters in high-stakes debate, Trump spews falsehoods

The contest was seen as a test of each man's fitness for office.

In a historic clash of personality and policy, Joe Biden and Donald Trump took the stage for the first presidential debate of the 2024 election.

The showdown provided a rare opportunity for both candidates to move the needle in what has been a stubbornly tight race for the White House, but at the end of the night, Biden's halting performance raised new concerns among Democrats and cause Republicans to celebrate.

The debate was a rematch for Biden and Trump, who faced each other twice in 2020, but a first-of-its-kind format and a vastly different political landscape presented new challenges for the two rivals.


0

Trump falsely claims, 'We had the greatest economy in the history of our country'

False. Unemployment was near historical lows under Trump. However, growth in gross domestic product was well below what previous presidents achieved, and other metrics such as wages and business investment ranged from decent to mediocre.

The annual increases in GDP under Trump were broadly similar to what they were during the final six years under his predecessor, Barack Obama. And GDP growth under Trump was well below that of prior presidents.

-Analysis by Aaron Sharockman, PolitiFact


Onto immigration, the strongest issue for Trump

The third topic of the debate is immigration, and unlike abortion, this is Trump's strong suit. In our 538/Ipsos poll, voters said 56% to 44% that Trump would handle immigration better than Biden. That made immigration Trump's strongest issue out of all the ones we asked about.

-538’s Nathaniel Rakich


Biden stumbles, pauses for several seconds

Biden stumbled as he attacked Trump and defended his own record, pausing for several seconds.

The president was discussing domestic programs he hoped to be able to invest in with the money that would be gained by taxes the wealthiest Americans before trailing off and pausing, ultimately saying "we beat Medicare."

"He did beat Medicare, he beat it to death," Trump responded.


Abortion is one of Biden’s best issues

The second topic of tonight’s debate is abortion. This is good turf for Biden: Abortion rights are broadly popular and have become even more so since Dobbs. In our 538/Ipsos poll released this morning, likely voters said 57% to 43% that Biden would handle abortion policy better than Trump.

-538’s Nathaniel Rakich


Incumbent presidents have often had a tough first debate

Biden had a poor start to this debate, and if he ends up being viewed as the "loser" tonight, he'd be just the latest incumbent president to go through this. Incumbent presidents like Ronald Reagan in 1984, George W. Bush in 2004, Barack Obama in 2012 and Trump in 2020 all lost 2 to 3 points in the polls after their first debate.

Reagan, the last president to face real questions about his age -- he was 73 in 1984 -- had a meandering performance that prompted questions about whether he had gotten too old for the job. Reagan shot back in the second debate against Democratic nominee Walter Mondale, who was in his mid-50s, with the famous line: "I will not make age an issue of this campaign. I am not going to exploit, for political purposes, my opponent's youth and inexperience." Reagan, however, also had a roaring economy, which helped him win a landslide reelection victory.

-Geoffrey Skelley, 538