Addressing his first divided Congress, Biden says 'the soul of this nation is strong'

Republicans interjected during his speech and pushed back in their own.

President Joe Biden on Tuesday night delivered his second State of the Union address in a pivotal moment as he laid out not only his accomplishments and agenda but made the case for his leadership ahead of an expected announcement on running for reelection.

Unlike his first two years in office, Republicans now control the House of Representatives and Speaker Kevin McCarthy, sitting behind the president for the first time, has threatened to block Biden's agenda.

Partners at FiveThirtyEight provided analysis in the blog below before, during and after Biden's speech.


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Abortion wasn’t a big topic in State of the Union

Toward the end of his speech, President Biden called on Congress to codify Roe v. Wade and promised to veto a national abortion ban. But that was pretty much all he had to say about the issue, which was noteworthy given what an eventful year it's been for abortion rights and access. Since the Supreme Court overruled Roe last summer, more than a dozen states have imposed near-total bans on abortion and the support for abortion access ended up being a major issue in the 2022 midterms.

Biden's lack of attention to the issue might be reflective of the fact that there's really not much he can do when it comes to abortion rights -- Democrats in Congress didn't have the votes to codify Roe last fall, and with a divided Congress, there isn't likely to be more action. State legislatures and courts will have a much bigger impact on abortion access in the meantime. But some Democrats might have wanted Biden to say more on the topic, because their views on abortion are changing. For example, polling by Civiqs shows that Democrats are more likely to support legal abortion in all cases than they were even two years ago.

-FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux


Biden wants you to know he's focused on lowering health care costs

President Biden spent some time in his speech outlining the ways that last year’s Inflation Reduction Act is addressing health care. Polls show that Americans care a lot about reducing health costs, and they tend to think that prescription drug prices are too high.

The Inflation Reduction Act tackles prescription drug prices in a few ways. For one thing, it requires the government to negotiate for some drugs that are covered under Medicare. It also limits monthly co-pays for insulin and it will cap out-of-pocket drug costs for Medicare recipients down the road.

That could make a big difference for the significant share of older Americans who take prescription drugs. According to a Kaiser Family Foundation analysis, prices increased faster than inflation between 2019 and 2020 for half of drugs covered by Medicare.

-FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux


What Biden said he would veto if it comes to his desk

President Biden drew several red lines as he addressed the new Republican majority in the House.

On health care, Biden said if anyone tried to "do anything to raise the cost of prescription drugs" -- like repeal the Inflation Reduction Act provisions -- he would veto it. He said the same if lawmakers passed a national abortion ban, prompting cheers from Democrats.

Biden also delivered a firm stance on Social Security and Medicare, calling them a "lifeline for millions" that he won't let be taken away, which leading Republicans have echoed.


Some presidents say a lot more than others during the State of the Union

Biden's remarks on Tuesday totaled roughly 7,300 words. That's on the high side historically, which led to a lengthy speech: Since Lyndon Johnson's first evening national address in 1965, the average word count is around 5,500 words. Now, those totals have varied quite a bit, ranging from Jimmy Carter's laconic 3,300 words in 1979 to Bill Clinton's loquacious 9,200 words in 1995. For his part, Biden's speech is slightly shorter than his first national address in 2021 (8,000 words) and last year's State of the Union (7,700).

Of course, different people speak at different rates, so what takes one person five minutes to say might take another eight. Not to mention, applause breaks have become commonplace. For his part, Biden's two previous speeches to Congress have each lasted a touch over an hour, and he came in a little above that mark again this evening. By comparison, Donald Trump's speeches contained somewhat fewer words than Biden's, ranging from 5,000 to 6,200 words. But Trump spoke for around one hour and 20 minutes in three of his four national addresses. Still, no one can rival the master of stemwinders: Clinton's final State of the Union, in 2000, lasted nearly one and a half hours.

-FiveThirtyEight's Geoffrey Skelley


Inside House chamber ahead of Biden's SOTU address

Members began steadily streaming into the House chamber on Tuesday with Vice President Kamala Harris around 8:30 p.m. ET, including some former lawmakers who are also using floor privileges.

The realities of a divided government are on full display -- little conversation between Democrats and Republicans across the aisle on the House floor.

The vice president has been making small talk with House Speaker McCarthy -- overheard on the mics saying it's a "packed house."

Former Rep. Rodney Davis, R-Ill., was seen joking to Rep. Joe Wilson, R-S.C.-- infamous for shouting "you lie!" at former President Barack Obama during a joint address of Congress -- to "sit down, sit down Joe."

Former Department of Housing and Urban Development Secretary Ben Carson is at the speech as one of the only former Trump officials spotted thus far.

Newly independent Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema made her way in, standing next to GOP Utah Sen. Mitt Romney and was then speaking with Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell.

For some, the most coveted seats appear to be along the aisle. That's where embattled Rep. George Santos chose to sit, in position to shake the president's hand as he enters and exits the chamber. Santos still has time to switch seats.

Some of the president's fiercest critics are also along the aisle: Republican Reps. Matt Gaetz and Lauren Boebert.

Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene was carrying around a white balloon through the halls of Congress for much of the day to mock the administration's handling of the suspected Chinese spy balloon -- but decided to not bring it into the chamber.

Speaker McCarthy's guest, Enes Freedom, New York City Mayor Eric Adams, Cabinet secretaries Pete Buttigieg and Jennifer Granholm and pollster Frank Luntz have also filed into the room.

-ABC News Senior Congressional Correspondent Rachel Scott, Katherine Faulders and John Parkinson