The Note: Last Night in New York
— -- NOTABLES
--HOW TRUMP AND CLINTON WON: Hillary Clinton’s resume, her position on gun policy, her support from women and New York Democrats’ racial and ethnic diversity all boosted her to victory in the state’s presidential primary, while Donald Trump’s home-state advantage gave him record margins overall and across a range of Republican voter groups. Yet challenges remain for both, ABC’s GARY LANGER and GREGORY HOLYK note. Clinton won the state despite continued comparatively weak ratings for honesty, and she lost a variety of key groups to Bernie Sanders, including white men, young voters, strong liberals and those especially worried about the economy, perceived Wall Street excesses and free trade. Trump, for his part, continued to do poorly among voters focused on a candidate who shares their values. And underscoring the party’s deep rifts, a remarkable 57 percent of his opponents’ backers said they wouldn’t support him as their party’s nominee in November. http://abcn.ws/1NkPT4I
--DRILLING DOWN ON THE DEMOCRATS: Among other factors, a sense of inevitability helped Clinton: Seventy-two percent of Democratic primary voters said they thought she’ll be the ultimate nominee, LANGER and HOLYK write. Two-thirds, moreover, gave her a better chance than Sanders to beat Trump in November. And Clinton even ran slightly ahead of Sanders as being the more inspirational candidate, an attribute on which Sanders prevailed easily in his Wisconsin win. Clinton won three-quarters of black voters and 63 percent of Hispanics, while whites divided 51-49 percent, Sanders-Clinton. Clinton had a broad 22-point margin among women, typical for her in primaries to date, while Sanders again won white men, by a substantial 16 percentage points. Sanders also won by 2-1 among voters younger than 30, slightly off his average across primaries this year. http://abcn.ws/1NkPT4I
--THE TRUMP TAKE: Sixty-four percent of GOP voters said they were looking for an outsider, a new high. Trump won these outsider voters even more overwhelmingly than usual, with 85 percent of their votes, compared with 65 percent across previous contests to date. It was both record Trump support, as well as record turnout, in this voting group. Six in 10 GOP voters said they were chiefly looking either for a candidate who “can bring needed change” or “tells it like it is” – again a record high, up from 50 percent on average in previous primaries. Trump won 72 percent of “change” voters and nine in 10 of those who prized a plain-talker, both new highs. http://abcn.ws/1NkPT4I The ABC ANALYSIS DESK has more on the Republican exit poll results: http://abcn.ws/1XHqd2C and on the Democratic exit poll results: http://abcn.ws/1S97s7R
--NOVEMBER LOOK-AHEAD: Nearly six in 10 Republican primary voters said the 2016 campaign has done more to divide than to energize the party. That was in a sharp contrast to the Democratic race, in which two-thirds said the contest has done more to energize their side, and many fewer voters ruled out either Clinton or Sanders for their November vote. http://abcn.ws/1NkPT4I
--ANALYSIS -- RICK KLEIN: In a campaign where both sides debated New York values, what New York values most is candidates who call it home, it seems. The ultimate value of New York, though, is questionable in the march to the party nominations. Wins by the front-runners don’t alter stubborn mathematical realities that are likely to leave Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton with company in the race for a while longer. Trump blasted through his supposed ceiling by reaching a new high-water mark, and in the process kept his hopes of capturing a delegate majority alive. He did not and could not, though, significantly widen his narrow path to a first-ballot win. Clinton dispatched with Bernie Sanders in the state Sanders was born in, and where Sanders outspent Clinton substantially. But neither this nor any likely subsequent wins will end the Sanders challenge, not to mention the issues his candidacy has elevated, to Clinton’s regular discomfort. http://abcn.ws/1VAS4UJ
YESTERDAY ON THE TRAIL with ABC’s VERONICA STRACQUALURSI and PAOLA CHAVEZ
CLINTON DECLARES NEW YORK A ‘PERSONAL’ VICTORY. Hillary Clinton accepted her victory in the New York primary by saying that it was a particularly important -- and personal -- win to her, ABC’s MEGHAN KENEALLY reports. "Today you proved once again there's no place like home,” she said at her victory party at the Sheraton hotel in Times Square. "In this campaign we've won in every region of the country, from the north to the south to the east to west, but this one's personal. “Clinton walked on stage alongside her husband, former President Bill Clinton, daughter Chelsea and son-in-law Marc Mezvinsky. She gave her husband a subtle shout-out at one point, repeating a line Bill Clinton said at his 1993 presidential inaugural address. "There’s nothing wrong with America that can’t be cured by what’s right with America,” she said. http://abcn.ws/1Ti9LEM
TRUMP SAYS ‘WE DON’T HAVE MUCH OF A RACE ANYMORE’ AFTER PROJECTED NY WIN. Donald Trump declared his projected New York Republican primary victory as a greater sign for the campaign in general. “We don't have much of a race anymore based on what I'm seeing on television," Trump said at his victory speech in Manhattan tonight. ABC’s MEGHAN KENEALLY reports, Trump's victory speech came after he was projected as the winner of the Republican primary, and though there have been no firm reports on the number of delegates he will collect as a result, he appeared confident. "We're going to end at a very high level and get a lot more delegates" than pundits predicted "even in their wildest projections," he said. http://abcn.ws/1rhIppA
NOTED: TRUMP WON EVERY SINGLE NEW YORK COUNTY, EXCEPT FOR MANHATTAN. As of this morning, Donald Trump has swept every single New York county in the state's Tuesday primary, save for one: his own. With the 99 percent of precincts reporting in Manhattan, Ohio Gov. John Kasich pulled off a small upset over the Republican front-runner with 45.2 percent to Trump's 41.8 percent in the borough. http://abcn.ws/20WPEPJ
AFTER NEW YORK PRIMARY, TED CRUZ’S PATH TO GOP NOMINATION GETS MORE COMPLICATED. After the New York primary, it is now mathematically impossible for Texas Sen. Ted Cruz to clinch the Republican presidential nomination before the July convention using only bound, or pledged, delegates. Donald Trump will receive an estimated 89 delegates, ABC’s RYAN STRUYK reports. That’s enough to block Cruz from having any chance of reaching the requisite 1,237 delegates needed before this summer’s Republican National Convention. http://abcn.ws/1NAtRpo
MAJORITY OF RUBIO’S LOUISIANA DELEGATES PUSH BACK AGAINST CLAIMS THEY’RE BACKING CRUZ. Despite reports that Louisiana’s 10 uncommitted delegates will likely vote for Ted Cruz on the first ballot at the Republican convention in Cleveland, four of the five delegates previously assigned to Marco Rubio have come out with a joint statement declaring they are undecided about who they will vote for this summer. ABC’s ALANA ABRAMSON and JOHN KRUZEL report, the statement, signed by Louisiana delegates Stephanie Berault, Kirk Williamson, Luke Letlow and Leslie Tassin, all of whom were allocated to represent Marco Rubio at the convention, unequivocally says they are now uncommitted and have not decided how they will vote. http://abcn.ws/20USEMp
RUDY GIULIANI ENDORSES TRUMP. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani threw his support behind GOP front-runner Donald Trump yesterday, saying he is the "best choice" and comparing him to retired Yankees pitcher Mariano Rivera. Giuliani endorsed Trump in an interview with CNN, but repeatedly stressed that he is not involved with the Trump campaign, Tuesday. CNN's Chris Cuomo prompted Giuliani, asking him, “Why not say, ‘I'm Rudy Giuliani, I mean a lot in New York politics, I endorse Donald Trump?’” Giuliani complied: “I'm Rudy Giuliani, I mean a lot in New York politics, I endorse Donald Trump." ABC’s CHRISTOPHER DONATO and VERONICA STRACQUALURSI have more. http://abcn.ws/1SQHuSH
IN CASE YOU MISSED IT
DONALD TRUMP’S JET NOT REGISTERED WITH FAA. Donald Trump's glistening Cessna jet that he flies across the country to appear at campaign events is not registered with the Federal Aviation Administration. The Cessna 750's registry expired on Jan. 31, 2016 and has not been renewed. Did Trump know his plane was going to expire? He likely did, according to FAA spokesperson Laura Brown. "The FAA sends notices several months before the aircraft’s registry expires, reminding the owners to re-register the aircraft," explained Brown. ABC’s BECKY PERLOW has more. http://abcn.ws/1Ti6Fk5
WHO’S TWEETING?
@jmhansler: When @RealBenCarson gets more votes than @tedcruz... http://www.westchestergov.com/boe99/linkcounty.aspx …
@BillKristol: New York politics has been all downhill since New Yorkers failed to "Keep Keating" in 1964.
@mattfleg: Cruz speech had a bit of a "We Didn't Start the Fire" feel. Moon landing, Wright Brothers, Lincoln, JFK, Steve Jobs.
@TheAtlantic: Republican delegates in Cleveland could nominate Donald Trump but not his running mate http://theatln.tc/1WERzbn
@daveweigel: # of senators who endorsed Rubio: 5 # of them who have endorsed Cruz since Rubio dropped out: 0