The Note: The World According To Trump

— -- NOTABLES

--WHAT THE DEMOCRATS ARE SAYING: Democratic National Committee Director of Hispanic Media, Pablo Manriquez, responded to Trump's immigration plan: "Trump has reignited the GOP's longstanding obsession with mass deportation. Like his fellow GOP candidates Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Marco Rubio and others, GOP front runner trump dismisses a full and equal pathway to citizenship for hardworking immigrants. The GOP should quit treating these families as second class citizens and join democrats who support immigrant families and want to keep them together."

--ANALYSIS -- ABC's RICK KLEIN: "They're not me," Donald Trump told ABC's Martha Raddatz, when asked about the Michele Bachmann-Herman Cain booms that dominated the summer of 2011. Trump's point didn't have to be offered from a helicopter hovering over the Iowa State Fairgrounds to be taken as truth. But the presidential field is as Trumped up as it's ever been. A new Fox News poll -- the first major post-debate poll -- shows Trump comfortably out front in the GOP race for president, securing a quarter of votes in the primary. The next two candidates nearly match him if you combine their numbers: Ben Carson with 12 percent, and Ted Cruz with 10. You want to know why Trump's message is resonating? That's nearly half the primary electorate split between those three men, backing two candidates who've never run for office, and a third who's defined his time in the Senate by attempts to buck the institution and its leaders. Jeb Bush is in danger of becoming a second-tier candidate, if he stays in the single digits for long before his super PAC starts unloading. Scott Walker and Mike Huckabee are right behind them, followed by Carly Fiorina (another political outsider), a surging John Kasich, and Marco Rubio. Chris Christie and Rand Paul may have to continue their debate fight off stage in the hopes of becoming the last candidate to make the Top 10 at next month's debate. August is far from February -- but a campaign is finding a rhythm that Trump is banging out just about by himself at the moment.

--SLIDESHOW: A weekend at the Iowa State Fair: http://abcn.ws/1ULf3Jl

--5 STORIES YOU'LL CARE ABOUT IN POLITICS THIS WEEK: A look at the stories the ABC News Political Unit is tracking this week: http://abcn.ws/1ITBab8

--MEANWHILE IN IOWA: The Iowa State Fair continues today in Des Moines. It's another busy day at the Soapbox with Scott Walker speaking at 11AMET, Carly Fiorina at 1pm, and Lindsey Graham at 4pm. There is also the West Central Iowa Counties Boots and BBQ Bash fundraiser at 6:30pm in Kimballton. Both Rick Perry and Carly Fiorina attend, according to ABC's SHUSHANNAH WALSHE.

FIVETHIRTYEIGHT IN THE NOTE

HILLARY CLINTON'S INEVITABLE PROBLEMS. From FiveThirtyEight's NATE SILVER: Emailgate? #feelthebern? Clinton's declining favorables? The betting markets think everything that's happened to Clinton so far in the campaign is pretty much par for the course. These markets presumably didn't know there would be a scandal involving Clinton and her email server. But it was a pretty good bet that there would be some scandal involving Clinton. (It's not as though there is an absence of them to pick from.) Likewise, while you might or might not have identified Sen. Bernie Sanders as the person to do it, it was a pretty good bet that some challenger to Clinton would be situated about where Sanders is in the polls. So events like these were "priced in" to her stock. The challenges Clinton's campaign has faced - and the media narrative about an "unexpectedly" competitive race - is exactly what you'd expect relative to the historical experience of campaigns like hers. Being the heavy favorite to win the nomination does not mean you expect to go 162-0. http://53eig.ht/1NAxTyI

THE BUZZ

with ABC's VERONICA STRACQUALURSI

TRUMP TACKLES CARLY FIORINA. During a visit to the Iowa State Fair this weekend, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump -- while repeatedly describing her as "nice woman" -- took aim at his GOP rival, former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina, attacking her record in the private sector and her failed California Senate bid, ABC's BENJAMIN BELL reports. "She's a very nice woman, she got fired, she did a terrible job at Hewlett-Packard, she lost in a landslide -- other than that, she's a very nice woman," Trump, echoing recent comments, told ABC's MARTHA RADDATZ when asked for his thoughts on his solo female GOP competitor for the nomination. Trump's comments represent another attack in an ongoing war of the words between the two Republicans, both of whom have cited their business acumen as positives in their run for the presidency. Speaking on "This Week," Fiorina said, "You know, it's not clear to me that Donald Trump is a Republican, first of all, based upon his willingness to run a third party bid and the -- some of the positions that he's taken." http://abcn.ws/1NyIlXr

NOTED: TRUMP ON STATE FAIR HELICOPTER: 'I AM WHO I AM.' Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump brushed aside the notion that bringing a helicopter to the Iowa State Fair was over the top, simply saying the move was quintessentially him. "It's me. I am who I am. It's good for the kids, the kids love it," Trump told ABC's MARTHA RADDATZ aboard his helicopter after she asked the real estate mogul if bringing it to the fair was "a little much." http://abcn.ws/1ULiLTa

BEN CARSON DODGES EXCEPTIONS POSITION TO ABORTION. Retired neurosurgeon and Republican presidential hopeful Dr. Ben Carson yesterday maintained his opposition to abortion, saying he believes life begins at conception, but he declined to say on "This Week" whether he feels there should be any exceptions, such as when a woman is impregnated during a rape, ABC's KATHERINE FAULDERS reports. "I believe that once conception has been achieved, that it is a human life," Carson told ABC's MARTHA RADDATZ when asked about whether he believes there should be an exception to abortion for rape and incest. "What I have said is that, you know, I have spent my life trying to save life, not trying to destroy it." When asked for clarification of Carson's response to rape and incest exceptions a spokesperson said, "Dr. Carson believes abortion is not acceptable after conception." http://abcn.ws/1NbKScT

--BACKSTORY: Carson previously said that he hopes women would go to the emergency room and get an abortion pill in cases of rape or incest. "I would hope that they would very quickly avail themselves of the emergency room, and in the emergency room, they have the ability to administer RU-486 and other possibilities before you have a developing fetus," Carson told Fox News' Neil Cavuto last Wednesday.

--HUCKABEE WEIGHS IN: Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, who is also in the crowded Republican field for the party's presidential nomination, firmly defended his no-exceptions position to abortion yesterday when asked about a 10-year-old Paraguay rape victim who was denied access to the procedure. "A 10-year-old girl being raped is horrible. But does it solve a problem by taking the life of an innocent child?" Huckabee said on CNN's State of the Union. "And I wouldn't even pretend that it's anything other than a terrible tragedy. But let's not compound the tragedy by taking yet another life." http://abcn.ws/1NbKScT

CLAIRE MCCASKILL SAYS HILLARY CLINTON FACING A 'POLITICAL WITCH HUNT.' The continued accusations of illegal activity by Hillary Clinton, four days after the former secretary of state turned over her private email server to the FBI, amount to a "political witch hunt," Sen. Claire McCaskill said yesterday, ABC's HALEY WALKER notes. "Secretary of State Clinton was not the first secretary of state to use personal e-mail, but she's the only one that has turned over tens upon thousands of her e-mails and asked them to become public. Now she's turned over her server. What this has turned into is just a good, old-fashioned political witch hunt," she said. The Democratic senator from Missouri Senator -- a vocal supporter of Clinton's 2016 presidential campaign -- said that despite the controversy she thinks Clinton will be in "great shape" come next November. http://abcn.ws/1Ew76yc

--TREY GOWDY WEIGHS IN: Rep. Trey Gowdy, R-S.C., the chairman of the House Benghazi Committee, said on "This Week" that the decision to turn over Clinton's email server is long overdue. "It is about time," Gowdy said. "We asked her to do that in March to an independent, neutral, detached third party, either a retired federal judge or the inspector general. And she assured us that would never happen." Gowdy described Clinton's decision to use a private email account during her time as secretary of state as "unusual" and says it has delayed his committee's investigation into the Sept. 11, 2012, attack on the U.S. Consulate in Benghazi, Libya. http://abcn.ws/1Ew76yc

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT

DONALD TRUMP'S CHOPPER VS. SCOTT WALKER'S CAMPER. Scott Walker and Donald Trump don't have much in common, other than that they're both seeking the Republican presidential nomination, and their differences are highlighted in the way they campaign. Trump often talks about his wealth, while Walker tells stories about his bargain shopping. The differences are also visible in their choices of transportation: Trump's traveling in his private helicopter, while Walker's hitting the campaign trail in a Winnebago RV. ABC's VERONICA STRACQUALURSI takes a closer look: http://abcn.ws/1TIzNnQ

WHO'S TWEETING?

@edatpost: Nice @ShaneGoldmacher piece: What @MarcoRubio's Biggest Donor Once Wanted from @JebBush http://www.nationaljournal.com/2016-elections/what-marco-rubio-s-biggest-donor-once-wanted-from-jeb-bush-20150817 ...

@bpolitics: Kasich finesses expense of Medicaid expansion for dubious party http://bloom.bg/1hHluPr

@kjplotkin: Iowa House Speaker Pro Tem endorses Bobby Jindal for President http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2015/08/17/matt-windschitl-endorses-bobby-jindal/31836717/ ...

@washingtonpost: Why Donald Trump makes sense to many voters - even some Democrats http://wapo.st/1UNVlg7

@wpjenna: Scott Walker says he is in great health -- except for allergies and a head injury that caused his bald spot: http://wpo.st/TaBV0