Stressed About the Election? If So, You've Got Company (POLL)

Clinton and Trump supporters have one thing in common: They're stressed out.

Nearly half of likely voters in an ABC News tracking poll, 46 percent, describe the election as a source of stress in their lives, including roughly equal numbers of Clinton and Trump supporters. Nearly a quarter, again among both candidates' camps, say the stress is serious.

See PDF with full results here.

Clinton's 12-point margin over Trump holds at 53 to 41 percent in a two-way matchup, indicating that Johnson and Stein aren't drawing disproportionately from either of the two major-party candidates.

Other results also hold in a Clinton-Trump pairing, including for the important element of turnout. Republicans are less likely now than earlier in the campaign to indicate that they intend to vote. Clinton leads by 19 points in turnout among women, while she and Trump are virtually tied among men, reflecting worse results for Trump among all but his core supporters, white men who lack a college degree.

Stress

Election-related stress is, interestingly, particularly high in two quite different groups, standing at 57 percent among liberal Democrats (despite their preferred candidate's lead in polls) and 56 percent among evangelical white Protestants, a core Republican group perhaps faced with questions about Trump's character and values.

Stress over the election is more common among women than men, at 51 percent versus 39 percent. It's not clear whether more women feel stress or they're simply more apt to recognize and report it. There's a difference among whites, depending on their gender and education, with non-college-educated white men the least likely to say the election is causing them stress, at 38 percent, and college-educated white women the most likely, at 59 percent, with other groups falling between those two.

Issues

Sixty-four percent of likely voters, moreover, disapprove of Trump's refusal to say whether he will accept the outcome if Clinton wins. And 58 percent think that by calling the election rigged, he's making excuses in case he loses, not raising legitimate concerns.

Groups

Sizable numbers of men as well as women disapprove of Trump's response to questions about his treatment of women — 66 and 73 percent, respectively. Women, though, are more likely to strongly disapprove, by 12 points. While Clinton has 3 fewer points than her largest lead among women in ABC News and ABC News/Washington Post polls, she has improved among men, to 44 to 42 percent against Trump in the latest data. He led by 19 points among men as recently as Sept. 22.

Much of this movement has occurred among whites, with notable shifts when results are further broken down by gender and education. Trump peaked at 59 points ahead of Clinton, 76 to 17 percent, among non-college-educated white men in late September. He's now at 61 to 29 percent among this group, up by 32 points, which is the usual advantage Republican candidates had in that cohort in recent elections.

Methodology

This ABC News poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Oct. 20 to 23, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,155 likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 36-27-31 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents.

Question 12 was asked Oct. 22 to 23 among 611 likely voters; that result has a 4.5-point error margin.

The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York City, with sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York City. See details on the survey's methodology here.