Undecided races of the 2024 election: Live results and analysis

California Republican Rep. David Valadao has ground out another tough victory in the Central Valley's 22nd District, where ABC News reports he is projected to win another term. Valadao faced a rematch with former state Assemblyman Rudy Salas, whom he beat by 3 points in 2022.

Big political shifts in the heavily Hispanic district likely helped Valadao exceed that mark this time: He currently leads by about 6 points, 53% to 47%, and while Biden would have carried this district by double digits in 2020, Trump probably came close to winning it this year (or won it outright!). With this victory, Valadao is one of just two of the 10 Republicans who voted to impeach Trump to remain in the House. The other is Dan Newhouse of Washington.

ABC News also reports that in California's 47th District, Democratic state Sen. Dave Min is projected to defeat Republican Scott Baugh, a former minority leader in the state House. With 88% of the expected vote reporting, Min leads by just under 2 percentage points. Like Levin's seat next door, the Orange County-based 47th is located in relatively blue territory. (Biden won both districts by around 11 points in 2020, but the 47th was seen as a GOP pickup target after incumbent Democratic Rep. Katie Porter chose to run for U.S. Senate instead of seeking reelection.) Min, a Korean American, will represent a district whose population is more than one-quarter Asian. Democrats are now up to 208 seats in the House.

Democratic Rep. Mike Levin is projected to win reelection in California's 49th District, ABC News reports. With 86% of the expected vote now counted, Levin leads Republican Matt Gunderson 52% to 48%. This outcome is unsurprising in two senses: The 538 forecast rated this district as "Likely Democratic" before the election, and over the past week, Levin has consistently led in the count — our partners at Edison Research who project races were presumably just waiting for enough of the vote to be counted before committing to a projection. The projection is still notable, though, as it brings Democrats up to at least 207 seats in the next House.

Let's take a step back and look at where things stand in the House of Representatives. While control of the House hasn't been projected yet, Republicans are pretty clear favorites to reach the magic number of 218 seats eventually. They're currently at 215 seats to Democrats' 206. And out of the 14 still-unresolved races, Republicans currently lead in seven:

So when might we get the three Republican projections that would put them over the top? The biggest Republican lead is in California's 22nd District, and we're expecting to get another vote update there tonight; if it doesn't drastically cut into the GOP lead, that race might soon come off the board. We may also get a projection soon in Arizona's 6th District and California's 41st District, where late-counted ballots haven't notably diminished the Republicans' leads, although there are still thousands of ballots left to count. In Iowa's 1st District, counties will certify results today and tomorrow, but the race is within recount range, and Democrats have until Nov. 18 to request one, which could delay a projection (although recounts rarely change election results).

The remaining GOP-led districts could take longer to project — if Republicans even win them at all. In California's 13th and 45th Districts, Democrats have been gaining on Republicans as mail-in ballots have been counted, and they may very well pull into a slim lead by the end. And in Alaska's at-large district, ranked-choice voting will likely determine the winner, and ranked-choice tabulations won't take place until Nov. 20.