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Undecided races of the 2024 election: Live results and analysis

We're tracking who will win the House and other outstanding contests.

Last Updated: November 6, 2024, 12:47 PM EST

The presidential race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris has been decided, but there are still several downballot races where the winner isn't yet apparent. Control of the House of Representatives is still up in the air, and while ABC News has projected that Republicans will win the Senate, the size of their majority is still TBD. Needless to say, both of these things will have major implications for how easy it will be for Trump to enact his second-term agenda.

However, it could be a while before we know who won these races. Many of them are in states like California, Arizona and Nevada that take days to count all their ballots. So we at 538 are settling in for the long haul with this live blog dedicated to all the outstanding races of the 2024 election. Join us for live updates, analysis and commentary until the last major race is decided.

Jacob Rubashkin Image
Nov 07, 2024, 11:35 AM EST

The Maine Event

Hi everyone! Now that my time on ABC News’s House Decision Desk has come to a close, I’ll be chiming in here over the next few days as we get final results in outstanding races across the country.

First up is in Maine, where ABC News reports that Harris is projected to win statewide. She currently leads, 53% to 45%. But Maine is one of the two states that allocates electoral votes by congressional district, and Trump carried the 2nd District, so the state’s electoral votes actually split 3 for Harris and 1 for Trump.

If you’re wondering why there’s no projection in the Senate race despite Sen. Angus King currently running 18 points ahead of his nearest opponent, that’s because King has 52 percent of the vote, and will need to finish with above 50 percent to avoid heading to a ranked choice voting instant runoff against his two opponents, Republican Demi Kouzounas and Democrat David Costello. King would be highly favored in an instant runoff as well.

Amina Brown Image
Nov 07, 2024, 11:34 AM EST

Brown doesn't need much to catch up

As Geoff mentioned, Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen is carrying a slight lead over Republican challenger Sam Brown, but with 7% of the expected vote still outstanding, Brown needs to win only about 57% of the remaining expected vote to catch up. If the county partisanship holds up in the way Geoff just described, Brown winning 57% of the remaining expected vote is possible.

PHOTO: A bar chart comparing the current vote total versus the expected vote share Sam Brown needs to win.
How can Republican Sam Brown win Nevada's U.S. Senate race?
Amina Brown for 538

Geoffrey Skelley Image
Nov 07, 2024, 10:28 AM EST

Las Vegas could help Rosen pull out a win in Nevada's U.S. Senate race

Clark County, home to Las Vegas, reported some 48,000 votes in Nevada's U.S. Senate race, which amounts of almost all of the remaining votes in the county at this point. This tranche of ballots was relatively Democratic-leaning, in keeping with past return patterns that we've seen in Nevada. Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen made a net gain of nearly 15,000 votes from this batch, which put her into the lead statewide: She now leads Republican Sam Brown by about 1 point, 47.6% to 46.7%, with 93% of the expected vote reporting. At this point, there are perhaps 30,000 or more outstanding votes in Washoe County, which includes Reno and is pretty 50-50 in terms of partisanship, and a few thousand in redder localities like Nye and Douglas Counties. Rosen has a bit less than a 13,000-vote lead statewide, which seems somewhat likely to hold up — but that's not a given.

Monica Potts Image
Nov 06, 2024, 5:09 PM EST

Harris delivers remarks to supporters in Washington, D.C.

At about 4:30 p.m. Wednesday, Harris delivered remarks in front of supporters gathered at Howard University. She said it was important for those who supported her and voted for her to accept the results of the election, but not to give up the fight. She called for supporters to mobilize and organize to support democracy, the rule of law and reproductive rights and other freedoms.

Delayed for today is a reckoning with reported lower Democratic turnout in key swing states and the unconventional process that led to Harris advancing to the top of the ticket after Biden's decision to run for a second term. Of course, many factors led to Trump's win, but overall its clear that voters around the country were familiar with him and his campaign promises and voted for him despite the unfavorable opinion voters have of him, concerns they may have had with regard to the events of January 6, and the fact that he is the first president-elect with felony convictions and other indictments.

Harris's speech comes at a time when Democrats are thinking about the fact that not only is Trump is poised to return to the presidency, but that he will at least do so with a Republican majority in the Senate, and possibly the House.

Harris warned her supporters, "do not dispair," ending on a hopeful note by calling on Americans to "fill the sky with the light of a brilliant billion stars — the light of optimism, of faith, of truth and of service ... And may that work guide us even in the face of setbacks toward the extraordinary promise of the United States of America."

For more updates, our ABC News colleagues are continuing to cover the latest from the presidential campaigns on our Election Day live blog.

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