Election 2024 updates: With Arizona, Trump sweeps all 7 swing states

With about two-thirds of Georgia's expected vote reporting, Trump leads by 6 points, 53% to 47%. Among the counties where at least 90% of the expected vote has reported (53 of the state's 159 counties), Trump is doing about 3 points better in margin than he did in 2020 against Biden. In a state Biden carried by just 0.24 points, a statewide trend like that across all counties would surely mean victory for Trump.

Harris' hopes lie in gaining votes in some of the big Atlanta-area counties that were pivotal to Biden's win, as none of those has reported more than about three-fourths of the expected vote yet (and Gwinnett County has reported only 16% of its expected vote). The good news for her is that she's running ahead of Biden in some of those places; the bad news is that some of those counties still have more GOP-leaning Election Day votes to process.

ABC News is projecting that Trump is expecting to win North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas and Wyoming -- all reliably red states. With this, the former president will pick up the four state’s combined 49 electoral votes.

With about 57% of the expected vote in for the Lone Star State, Trump currently leads Harris by 8 percentage points (53% to 45%). If this trend continues, Harris will have underperformed Biden’s 2020 margin. That year, Biden lost by about 5 percentage points -- one of the closest Texas races for the White House in the last quarter century. In 2016, Trump carried the state by 9 percentage points over Hillary Clinton.

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2024 Election: Projections for Texas, N.D., S.D., Wyo.

Donald Trump will win Texas, North Dakota, South Dakota and Wyoming, ABC News projects.

ABCNews.com

It's now 9 p.m. Eastern. The last polling places have closed in another big batch of states: Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas, Wisconsin and Wyoming. Here are our forecasts for the races in those states:

Election observers are closely watching Loudoun County, a suburban and exurban county outside Washington, D.C. In 2020, Biden won 62% of its votes, but with more than 95% of the expected votes in, Harris has just 57%. That's probably not enough of a deficit to cost Harris Virginia, but what might it say about Pennsylvania's southeastern suburbs, where Harris will need to run up the score to win this keystone state in her Electoral College strategy? Looking at elections since 2000, I calculated how Loudoun's performance correlates with the so-called "collar counties" — the suburban counties that surround Philadelphia. It turns out that Loudoun has correlated very highly with the swings in Delaware County, which is just to the west of Philadelphia.