Georgia trends Trump, Harris will need help from big Democratic vote bases
With about two-thirds of Georgia's expected vote reporting, Trump leads by 6 points, 53% to 47%. Among the counties where at least 90% of the expected vote has reported (53 of the state's 159 counties), Trump is doing about 3 points better in margin than he did in 2020 against Biden. In a state Biden carried by just 0.24 points, a statewide trend like that across all counties would surely mean victory for Trump.
Harris' hopes lie in gaining votes in some of the big Atlanta-area counties that were pivotal to Biden's win, as none of those has reported more than about three-fourths of the expected vote yet (and Gwinnett County has reported only 16% of its expected vote). The good news for her is that she's running ahead of Biden in some of those places; the bad news is that some of those counties still have more GOP-leaning Election Day votes to process.