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Election Day 2024 live results: Trump projected to win North Carolina, a swing state

We're tracking races for president, Senate, House and more across the country.

By538 and ABC News via five thirty eight logo
Last Updated: November 5, 2024, 11:56 PM EST

Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. According to 538's forecast, both candidates have a roughly equal chance to win.

Voters are still at polling places around the country, casting ballots to decide who controls not only the White House, but also Congress, state and local governments.

Reporters from 538 and ABC News will be following along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on the results. Keep up to date with our full live blog below!

Julia Azari Image
Nov 05, 2024, 10:12 PM EST

What can we learn from so-called bellwethers?

As we watch results come in and slice and dice the political geography of the most competitive states, I'm cautiously watching a few bellwether areas. Semafor's David Weigel identifies Hamilton County, Indiana, as such a place to watch, where Trump's victory there was more narrow than Republican victories in the past. It's a suburban area that illustrates the general shift toward the Democrats in the suburbs. Right now, with 94% of the expected vote reported, Trump is on track with the same vote share he won there in 2020 -- 52%. Another county that Weigel called attention to is DeKalb County in Georgia, which he considers an indicator of whether Trump is really improving his performance with Black voters. With 87% of the expected vote counted, Trump is at 17% compared with 16% in 2020.

Some observers also look at congressional districts rather than counties. One district that's drawn some attention, especially given all the focus on Pennsylvania, is Pennsylvania’s 7th District, where Democrat Susan Wild is running for reelection. It's probably too early to learn much from this race, with about 52% of votes in -- but Wild’s Republican opponent, Ryan Mackenzie, has a narrow lead.

So there's not much that's new here, and it's worth thinking a bit more deeply about the whole idea of bellwethers, which suggest the power of national trends -- across demographic groups or geographic categories (e.g., suburban voters). But we don't really know exactly what it all means until we have more data.

Meredith Conroy Image
Nov 05, 2024, 10:09 PM EST

Checking in on abortion ballot measures around the country

We are watching the 10 states with abortion measures on the ballot tonight. A few of these have been called: As we noted moments ago, in Florida, the abortion amendment is projected to fail to reach the 60% threshold needed to pass. In Maryland, Question 1, which would add a section to the state constitution guaranteeing a right to reproductive freedom, is projected to pass, with 74% voting for the amendment with 63% of the expected vote reporting. In New York, Proposition 1, which would also change their constitution to protect reproductive freedom, is projected to pass, with 68% voting yes with 49% of the expected vote reporting.

We’re watching the ballot measures in remaining states which remain too close to call, and will continue to update the liveblog throughout the night.

G. Elliott Morris Image
Nov 05, 2024, 10:05 PM EST

ABC News projects Harris will carry Colorado; Trump will take Montana and Utah

The ABC News Decision Desk has projected Kamala Harris will win Colorado's 10 Electoral College votes. ABC News also projects Trump will carry the deep-red states of Montana and Utah, combining for 10 electoral votes in his column.

Amina Brown Image
Nov 05, 2024, 10:03 PM EST

Angela Alsobrooks is running ahead of her benchmarks in Maryland's Senate race

Despite the popularity of former Republican Gov. Larry Hogan, Maryland’s Senate race is poised to reaffirm the blue leanings of the Old Line State with Democrat Angela Alsobrooks running ahead of her benchmarks in most counties.