Election 2024 updates: With Arizona, Trump sweeps all 7 swing states

The final electoral college count is Trump: 312, Harris: 226.

By538 and ABC News via five thirty eight logo
Last Updated: November 9, 2024, 9:00 PM EST

Just days after former President Donald Trump was projected to have won the presidency, Trump's transition team operation has begun, with transition co-chairs confirming that he will be selecting personnel to serve under his leadership in the coming days.

Trump is also the projected winner in Arizona, a state the former president flipped after losing it to Joe Biden in 2020.

Trump's projected win in the vital swing state marks a sweep of the battleground states.

Monica Potts Image
Nov 06, 2024, 12:11 AM EST

Michigan downballot races

Most of the congressional races we're watching in Michigan are still too close to call. But in the 3rd Congressional District, with 54% of the expected vote reporting, Rep. Hillary Scholten is maintaining a lead of 57% to her Republican challenger, Paul Hudson's, 41%. In the other competitive districts, the 7th and 8th, the votes are closer. Tom Barrett is running ahead of Democrat Curtis Hertel in the 7th, 54% to 43% with 57% of the expected vote reporting, while the 8th is much closer, Republican Paul Junge and Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet are nearly tied at about 48% each with 29% of the expected vote reporting.

Dan Hopkins Image
Nov 06, 2024, 12:09 AM EST

A nationalized election? So far, yes.

When we see the same trend across a broad range of places — with a shift toward the GOP presidential candidate in all kinds of places, and a small incumbency advantage in competitive Senate races —that's evidence of the nationalization Julia mentioned much earlier.

Dan Hopkins Image
Nov 06, 2024, 12:07 AM EST

The Blue Wall Democratic senators

From some back-of-the-envelope math, it looks to me that if The New York Times's projections about where the presidential races wind up, the Senate races in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania--both of which feature Democratic incumbents--will be razor tight. At present, there is a 3.8 percentage point gap separating Trump and Harris in Pennsylvania, for example, but the Times projects a margin of 2.2 percentage points, meaning that the gap will close by 1.6 percentage points. What's the margin by which Republican Dave McCormick currently leads Democrat Bob Casey? 1.7 percentage points. Likewise, in Wisconsin, Eric Hovde's lead over Tammy Baldwin is 2.3 percentage points--and> the gap between Trump and Harris is projected to close by 1.2 percentage points. In Michigan, however, Democrat Elissa Slotkin's 3.6 percentage-point deficit right now is more than the 3.0 projected closing.

Meredith Conroy Image
Nov 06, 2024, 12:05 AM EST

Harris projected to win Hawaii

ABC News is projecting that Harris will win Hawaii's four electoral votes.

Kamala Harris will win Hawaii, ABC News projects.
0:26

2024 Election: Kamala Harris projected to win Hawaii

Kamala Harris will win Hawaii, ABC News projects.
ABCNews.com