We're tracking races for president, Senate, House and more across the country.
Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. With wins in Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, Trump is on track to win the presidency.
Voters are still at polling places around the country, casting ballots to decide who controls not only the White House, but also Congress, state and local governments.
Reporters from 538 and ABC News will be following along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on the results. Keep up to date with our full live blog below!
When we see the same trend across a broad range of places — with a shift toward the GOP presidential candidate in all kinds of places, and a small incumbency advantage in competitive Senate races —that's evidence of the nationalization Julia mentioned much earlier.
From some back-of-the-envelope math, it looks to me that if The New York Times's projections about where the presidential races wind up, the Senate races in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania--both of which feature Democratic incumbents--will be razor tight. At present, there is a 3.8 percentage point gap separating Trump and Harris in Pennsylvania, for example, but the Times projects a margin of 2.2 percentage points, meaning that the gap will close by 1.6 percentage points. What's the margin by which Republican Dave McCormick currently leads Democrat Bob Casey? 1.7 percentage points. Likewise, in Wisconsin, Eric Hovde's lead over Tammy Baldwin is 2.3 percentage points--and> the gap between Trump and Harris is projected to close by 1.2 percentage points. In Michigan, however, Democrat Elissa Slotkin's 3.6 percentage-point deficit right now is more than the 3.0 projected closing.
ABC News is projecting that Harris will win Hawaii's four electoral votes.
2024 Election: Kamala Harris projected to win Hawaii
It's now 12 a.m. Eastern, which means all polling places have closed in Hawaii. Here are our forecasts for the races in the Aloha State:
Many polling sites are also closed in Alaska, but stay tuned for more information when the state's sites have fully closed.
