On May 21, voters in Georgia, Idaho, Oregon, Kentucky and California held key elections for Congress and nationally watched local races. Two key figures from one of Trump’s legal cases, Fani Willis and Scott McAfee, easily won their races, while conservatives won a Georgia Supreme Court election fought largely over abortion. In the House, progressives lost two key races in Oregon, while California voters picked a successor to Kevin McCarthy.
As usual, 538 reporters and contributors broke down the election results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.
There aren’t many Republican women running in today’s primaries
There aren't many Republican women to watch today in Kentucky, Georgia, Idaho or Oregon.
In Georgia, eight out of nine Republican House incumbents are running for reelection. The only open seat (due to retirement) is in the solidly Republican 3rd District, and there are no women among the five hopefuls, so the GOP won't be adding any more women to their state's congressional delegation. The only Republican woman in the delegation is Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, who represents the 14th District and is running unopposed in her party primary. Georgia also happens to be one of 18 states that have never had a female governor.
Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene leaves a meeting with House Speaker Mike Johnson, whom she has vowed to remove from his leadership post, at the Capitol, May 7, 2024.
J. Scott Applewhite/AP
In Idaho, both House incumbents (who are Republican men) are running for reelection, and their only challengers are men. Like Georgia, Idaho is one of the 18 states that has never had a female governor (they've never had a female senator, either). Similarly in Kentucky, the five Republican incumbents in the House are running for reelection either unopposed or without serious primary competition; those incumbents and their challengers are all men.
In Oregon, there are two Republican primaries, in the 4th and 6th Districts, where voters will choose who faces off against two Democratic incumbent women. No Republican women are running in the 6th District race to challenge Rep. Andrea Salinas, who won her general election in 2022 by less than 3 points. But in the 4th District, two women are running to face Rep. Val Hoyle, who won her seat by 7 points in 2022: Air Force veteran and attorney, Monique DeSpain, and former Keizer city councilmember, Amy Ryan Courser. DeSpain has vastly outraised Courser and is endorsed by Maggie's List, a group working to elect more Republican women to Congress.
One of today’s biggest elections is for Georgia Supreme Court
Georgia Supreme Court elections are usually quiet affairs; from 2012 to 2018, not a single one was even contested. But this year, a clash over abortion has thrust one of these races into the spotlight. While ideological control of the court isn't at stake on Tuesday, a win by Democrats' preferred candidate in this contentious race could tell us something about the electoral landscape in Georgia, and the continuing salience of abortion, ahead of November.
Rep. John Barrow shakes hands at the Law Enforcement Cookout at Wayne Dasher's pond house in Glennville, Ga., April 17, 2014.
Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Imag
Four of the court's nine justices are up for reelection this year, and three are running unopposed. But the court's newest member, Justice Andrew Pinson, drew a challenge from former Rep. John Barrow. Georgia Supreme Court elections are technically nonpartisan, but in this race, the battle lines are clear: Pinson was first appointed to the court by Republican Gov. Brian Kemp, and Barrow is a former Democratic member of Congress who has campaigned on the idea that Georgia's six-week abortion ban is unconstitutional.
Barrow's comments on abortion got him in hot water with the Georgia Judicial Qualifications Commission for taking a position on an issue that he might have to rule on if he is elected to the court. Barrow went to federal court to argue that he had a free speech right to say whatever he wanted in his campaign, but a judge disagreed — and he could face charges, and even be removed from the Georgia Supreme Court should he win on Tuesday, if he continues to speak out on abortion.
Barrow's campaign is undoubtedly hoping that the kerfuffle, and the issue of abortion more generally, will energize liberals to vote for him on Tuesday. But based on the usual metrics, Pinson looks favored to keep his seat. We haven't seen any polls of the race, but Pinson has outraised Barrow $1.5 million to $881,000, and Kemp is spending $500,000 on Pinson's behalf too.
Importantly, a victory for Barrow wouldn't drastically alter the Georgia Supreme Court's partisan makeup; eight of the court's nine justices, including Pinson, were appointed by Republican governors. But Democrats would surely see an upset win from Barrow as more evidence that abortion is a winning issue for them.
It's 6 p.m. Eastern, which means our first polls of the night — in the half of Kentucky that’s in the Eastern time zone — are now closed. There aren’t many contentious races here, but we’ll keep an eye on early returns as we wait for polls to close in the rest of the state and in Georgia, at 7 p.m. Eastern.
According to the Center for American Women and Politics, in primaries that have been decided through May 8, 41 percent of Democrats' U.S. House nominees thus far are women, compared to just 14 percent of Republicans'. In short, Democrats are nominating many more women in this cycle than Republicans, thus far.
We are watching several Democratic women today who are looking to add to those numbers, including a couple of primaries in Oregon where multiple female candidates are facing off in races that have drawn contentious outside spending.
In Oregon's 5th District, two women — state Rep. Janelle Bynum and attorney Jamie McLeod-Skinner — are running to face the one-term incumbent, Lori Chavez-DeRemer, in the general. Chavez-DeRemer, one of just 34 Republican women in the House, won election in 2022 by defeating McLeod-Skinner by just 2 percentage points. In 2022, with support from progressive groups like Our Revolution and Indivisible, McLeod-Skinner successfully mounted a progressive challenge to defeat a seven-term incumbent (Kurt Schrader) before losing to Chavez-DeRemer. In today's primary, McLeod-Skinner doesn't have endorsements from Our Revolution or Indivisible, but she is endorsed by many local groups, and a few sitting members of Congress, while Bynum is endorsed by EMILYs List, plus Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek. No matter who wins, November's general election will be a rematch. Bynum defeated Chavez-DeRemer in state house races in 2016 and 2018. This district will play a crucial role in the Republicans' attempts to maintain their slim majority in the U.S. House.
In Oregon's deep-blue 3rd District, several women are competing for the nomination to replace longtime Rep. Earl Blumenauer, who is not seeking reelection. In this crowded primary, two progressive women look to be the leading candidates — state Rep. Maxine Dexter and former Multnomah County Commissioner Susheela Jayapal. Jayapal's sister is Rep. Pramila Jayapal, the Democratic congresswoman from Washington, and member of The Squad. EMILYs List has not endorsed in this race.
Elsewhere in the state, EMILYs List has endorsed two Oregon incumbents — Rep. Val Hoyle in the 4th District and Rep. Andrea Salinas in the 6th. In 2022, Hoyle won her general election by about 7 points, and Salinas won hers by less than 3 points. Both are seen as targets for Republicans aiming to pick up seats this fall.
In Georgia's safely blue 6th District, recently redrawn due to redistricting, the Democrats' entire field is women: Rep. Lucy McBath (who currently represents the 7th District), state Rep. Mandisha Thomas and Cobb County Commissioner Jerica Richardson. And in the 13th, Rep. David Scott, who is 78 and also just saw his district redrawn, faces a host of challengers, two of whom are women — Uloma Kama, a physician, and Karen Rene, an attorney.
Rep. Lucy McBath (D-GA) speaks at a press conference following a Democratic caucus meeting, at the U.S. Capitol on June 08, 2022 in Washington, DC.
Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images, FILE
Finally, in Idaho's 1st District, Kaylee Peterson is running unopposed to face Rep. Russ Fulcher in this deep-red district in November, as she did in 2022. And in Kentucky, Erin Marshall is running unopposed in the 1st District, which is also a safely red seat and therefore an unlikely pickup for Democrats. I've written before that Republicans are more likely to nominate women as sacrificial lambs (which is a candidate who runs unopposed in a primary for a losing November seat to give members of their party a choice in the race), but Democrats do it, too! A Democratic woman (Shauna Rudd) is also running in Kentucky's 6th District against four men. This is also a safely red seat.
